12/11 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: umassathletics.com)

I will do my best to provide a daily three ball of picks for all of you snipers out there. The goal is a 2-1 night, with some 3-0’s sprinkled occasionally. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little three ball parlay!

Season Record: 4-2

12/11 Three Ball (four point play!):

UMass -6

Murray State / S Illinois over 136

Iowa -7.5 1H & -12 full game

UMass -6 : The Minutemen will get us going early this Friday afternoon with a winner! They are returning two impact freshmen from last season that should finally have them somewhat competitive in the A 10 this season. First, we will start with Tre Mitchell. He has a chance to be one of the best bigs in the country. He ended last season on a tear, and had 34 & 12 in his last contest against what would’ve been a URI tourney team (go to hell coronavirus). He will be balanced out by his fellow sophomore, T.J. Weeks, at the guard position. He averaged 14.8 ppg as a freshman, and shot 48% from three. Northeastern lost their four leading scorers going into this season, and do not return a senior. I feel good laying the 6 here.

Score Prediction: UMass 78 – Northeastern 66

Murray State / S. Illinois over 136 : We are going off of a pure analytics play in this spot. While both teams have played inferior competition to start the season, they both have shown an intention to push the pace. S. Illinois ranks Top 10 in pace to start the season, and Murray State is shooting 58% from the field. I also love Tevin Brown for Murray State. He can create so much offensively. We get over the total in this one.

Score Prediction: Murray State 75 – Southern Illinois 69

Iowa -7.5 1H & Iowa -12 full game: This is a no brainer. “Lock it and don’t over analyze” is what I have told myself. No need to get lost in the weeds with numbers to talk myself into staying away from this one. Iowa is #3 in the country for good reason. They were head and shoulders better than a ranked Tar Heels team that came into Iowa City this week. The Hawkeyes did allow UNC back into the game at one point, but stretched the lead out in the end for a double digit victory. There will be no let down during the game vs their rivals tonight. Iowa will get out early and look to embarrass the Cyclones. Iowa State is undersized and can’t score the basketball. What are Iowa’s strengths? Post play of Garza and Nunge, to go along with snipers from behind the arc. There is simply no reason to believe Iowa State can keep this close. Iowa will cash these for the four point play!

Score Prediction: Iowa 88 – Iowa State 70

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

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