12/28 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: CBS Sports)

I will do my best to provide a daily three ball of picks for all of you snipers out there. The goal is a 2-1 night, with some 3-0’s sprinkled occasionally. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little three ball parlay!

Season Record: 32-18-2

12/28 Three Ball:

UC Santa Barbara ML

Wisconsin 1H -5

Gonzaga -39

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UC Santa Barbara ML: This is a system play. If you have been following me, I have pointed out the spots in where Vegas is making the most of their money this season. It is on the second leg of a back-to-back match-up in consecutive days. They rarely change the line from the prior match-up, even if the prior was a blow out. That is the case here with UCSB. They were routed by 19 points yesterday, yet they are -1. We are taking the contrarian play and going with UC Santa Barbara ML.

Score Prediction: UC Santa Barbara 70 – UC Irvine 65

Wisconsin 1H -5: The Badgers have really asserted their dominance since their slip-up against Marquette. They have had a TOUGH schedule with Sparty, URI, Louisville, Loyola, and Nebraska. They have taken care of all of them by double digits (Sparty by 9, but you get the picture). The aged veterans on this team are what impress me the most. D’Mitrik Trice is 24 years old, and has the primary ball handling duties. He has a 3:1 assist/turnover ratio, and just had his breakout performance of the season against Sparty (29 pts / 57% from 3). I love to bet on teams with leadership at that position. The starting lineup also includes seniors Potter, Reuvers, and Davison. This team is efficient on both sides of the ball, and I believe that Maryland will struggle in this road match-up. They have not proven much on the road this season, after going down double digits at the half in their only road games of the season against Clemson and Purdue. Greg Gard knows this and will have his boys fired up to pounce early. To avoid a bad beat in a conference game, we will take the 1H and get out of there.

Score Prediction: 1H Wisconsin 36 – Maryland 26

Gonzaga -39: This game will get very, very ugly. The Zags just manhandled a nationally ranked UVA team on Saturday, and are rolling into a match-up with one of the worst teams in the country. UVA is an elite defensive team, and love to slow the pace – yet, the Zags scored 98 and could’ve easily gone over the century mark had they left the starters in. Here is a nugget for you – Northern Arizona is 324th out of 330 teams in the country in defensive efficiency. Good luck fellas. There will be 7+ Zags in double figures and they likely go over 100 here. This game may need a parental advisory.

Score Prediction: Gonzaga 105 – Northern Arizona 52

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

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