12/9 Starting Five Write-Up

(photo: Sports Chat Place)

I will do my best to provide *at least* a daily group of 3-5 picks for all of you snipers out there. The goal is a 2-1 (3-2) night. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay! 20/21 Season: 58%

Season Record: 87-81-7

12/9 Starting Five:

Texas PK

Kent State -6

Purdue -11

Colgate -3

Iowa -3

————————————

Texas PK : The Longhorns will put the country on notice tonight. Seton Hall is a great team, and will definitely have a sizable home court advantage tonight. However, this line should not be sitting at PK. Texas is being completely undervalued due to the early season game against Gonzaga. It was the first big matchup of the season, so it drew in crazy ratings and everyone watched the poor performance. The Longhorns did not play well, but they were fitting all of their important portal pieces into the mix. While they haven’t played stiff competition since, this team has seemingly figured out roles and how they are going to succeed moving forward. They have shared the ball very well and have jumped all the way to 16.1 assists/game. They have many high caliber guys that can create their own shot in a tough environment, and they make their free throws throughout the entire roster. Chris Beard is a Top 3 coach in the country, and he pulls out a masterclass at the Prudential Center.

Score Prediction: Texas 71 – Seton Hall 66

Kent State -6 : I was against the Golden Flashes the other night when we cashed a Towson ticket, but I believe this is a great “get right” spot. Detroit Mercy will just not be a competitive team against solid competition this season if Noah Waterman continues to play like this. Averaging 3 ppg in limited minutes since his return from injury will not be good enough. Antoine Davis cannot do it alone. The Golden Flashes will have a sizable advantage in the post in this matchup. Justyn Hamilton should have his way around the basket, and should record a few blocks on the other end. The Golden Flashes are shooting 82% from the stripe on the season, and I think they will be there often against an undersized/bad Titan defense. Kent State by double digits.

Score Prediction: Kent State 80 – Detroit 68

Purdue -11 : Rutgers is a bad basketball team. We faded them last time out against Illinois, and we will do it again tonight. Geo Baker will be out again for this one, and there are reports of the flu running through the Scarlet Knight locker room. Per Pikiell, it has affected some of their “experienced players”. I do not believe the rocking home court at The Rac (again, will not call it Jersey Mikes Arena) will be a factor tonight, because this game will be like 20-6 before you even blink. Rutgers was dreadful defending the three in Champaign, and that is baaaaaaaad news with Purdue coming in. The Boilermakers are shooting 44% from distance as a team, and have drained 84 threes in 8 games. Rutgers does not have a capable point guard to drive offense, and they simply won’t be able to score with Purdue. Boilermakers in a blow out.

Score Prediction: Purdue 74 – Rutgers 56

Colgate -3 : This spread may come as a surprise to casual CBB bettors that have just checked in after CFB season, but Colgate is just an absolute better basketball team than Pitt. Also, I’m not attributing much to home court as this is finals week and Colgate is not a sexy name. Pitt is going to have serious issues keeping up with Colgate’s offense tonight. Especially, if Odukale is not back in the lineup (per reports: unlikely that he is). Pitt will be trading twos for threes in this matchup. Colgate is shooting 40% as a team from distance, and have made a scorching 106 threes in 9 games. Pitt is shooting 29.9% from distance, and have made 35 threes in 8 games. Glaring disparity there. Pitt will have a slight size advantage, but Colgate is a smart team and will make a bad free throw shooting team (62%) earn their post points from the line. Love the Raiders here.

Score Prediction: Colgate 75 – Pitt 65

Iowa -3 : An undefeated ranked team that is an underdog to a non-ranked team at home. This should be an auto-play of Iowa just for that scenario. However, all of the analytics/game flow predictions point to the Hawkeyes as well. That is why this line has quickly shot to -6 this afternoon. Thankfully, we grabbed it at the open. Iowa has the edge in every offensive category: offensive efficiency, rebounding, FG%, 3P %, FT%. If Iowa State is smart, they will try to limit possessions .. but I do not believe they are capable of controlling pace. Iowa has also figured out something on the defensive end with their 3/4 court trap defense. Ahron Uhlis and Tony Perkins are a major piece of this. The sophomore guards bring a “junkyard dog” mentality to the defensive end, and that is something that Iowa has greatly missed in recent seasons to compliment their highly effective finesse offense.

Side Note: A drunk Iowa State fan sent Jordan Bohanon to the hospital in a bar fight earlier this year. Bohanon already owns the Cyclones with a 4-1 record in the rivalry. Think he might be eager to pop off tonight???

Score Prediction: Iowa 81 – Iowa State 73

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

Leave a comment