(photo: Marshall University)
I will do my best to provide *at least* a daily group of 3-5 picks for all of you snipers out there. The goal is a 2-1 (3-2) night. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay! 20/21 Season: 58%
Season Record: 102-103-7
12/15 Card:
Belmont -5
Howard +10.5
Marshall +4
Winthrop -3
Bellarmine -1
Morehead State 1H +8.5
Utah State -2
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Belmont -5 : UT Chatt is too public of a dog for my liking. This smells like a spot where the Bruins light up the nets at home and Vegas takes home the cash. I will be siding with them tonight. The Bruins are not shooting as well as they are capable, but they are still firing up volume. Murphy and Smith will get hot soon. Ben Sheppard has taken a massive step on the offensive and defensive side of the ball this season, and will be tasked with Malachi Smith tonight. Hopefully, he can limit his production. Also, I have been super impressed with freshman, Will Richard. Especially, of late. 23 & 9 @ Samford, and 15 & 6 @ SLU. This newly found production increases the ceiling for the Bruins this year.
Score Prediction: Belmont 75 – UT Chatt 67
Howard +10.5 : First of two “let down” spots that I am attacking tonight. Georgetown is coming off of a massive home upset of Syracuse over the weekend. However, we have seen Georgetown lay some clunkers on the offensive and defensive side of the ball this season. No better time for one of those to occur after feeling great about yourself over the weekend. This inner-city rivalry will definitely be more appetizing for the Bison tonight. Beyond the want-to factor, Howard actually has some impressive offensive team stats this season. They are shooting 39% from distance as a team, and everyone in the starting 5 is shooting at least 72% from the stripe. Freshman guard, Elijah Hawkins, has had a very impressive start to the season. Maybe some extra motivation tonight since Georgetown did not recruit??
Score Prediction: Georgetown 80 – Howard 74
Marshall +4 : I truly believe the Thundering Herd win outright tonight. I will have a ML sprinkle here for sure. Taevion Kinsey will be rostered in the NBA. I guarantee this. In order to beat this team, you have to have a 6’4-6’6ish lockdown wing defender. Lunden McKay is that type of weapon for the Bobcats, but he is still out due to injury. There is seemingly nobody on the roster to stop Kinsey from getting 25+ tonight. Also, the Thundering Herd have a MONSTER weapon on the defensive end in Big O. Anochili-Killen is averaging FIVE!!! blocks per game on the year. This will cause issues for Sears and Brown at the rim. Love the Thundering Herd on the road in this one.
Score Prediction: Marshall 77 – Ohio 75
Winthrop -3 : While this number scares me, I cannot help but pay attention to the talent disparity in this game. The Phoenix do not do anything particularly well, and are 2-8 on the year. There is simply nobody with the size, or the skill, to check Burns or Hightower tonight. Play it and check your winning balance in two hours.
Score Prediction: Winthrop 77 – Elon 67
Bellarmine -1 : The Knights are undervalued in the market due to a 5-6 record with no quality wins. However, those six losses came from a murderer’s row: Gonzaga, UCLA, Purdue, WVU, Saint Mary’s, Murray State. This team is battle tested and ready to add some D1 wins to their resume. The line movement has been toward the Knights, and we ride into the night with them..
Score Prediction: Bellarmine 69 – South Dakota 66
Morehead State 1H +8.5 : The other “let down” spot that was mentioned earlier. Xavier is coming into this game after defeating the Bearcats in their crosstown rivalry. It is my prediction that they could have a sleepy start in this one, and then roll in the second half. I think there is a decent edge in Morehead State on a 1H line. Players like Broome, Hollowell & Cooper are capable enough to pour some points in if Xavier does not take them seriously. This team has a decent shot to make some noise in the OVC.
Score Prediction: 1H Xavier 35 – Morehead State 30
Utah State -2 : I know the line is too low. I know Weber State wants this one badly. I know that the players are calling on the fans to show out. I don’t care. This team has nothing to check Justin Bean and Brandon Horvath. Utah State also has the better perimeter shooters. Coming off of the BYU loss (UNO does not count as a “get right” spot), they will want this one badly as well. If I’m wrong, I’m wrong. Dying with Mr. Bean.
Score Prediction: Utah State 76 – Weber State 69
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!