12/17 Three Ball Write-Up

(Photo: Villanova Athletics)

I will do my best to provide *at least* a daily group of 3-5 picks for all of you snipers out there. The goal is a 2-1 (3-2) night. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay! 20/21 Season: 58%

Season Record: 106-108-8

12/17 Three Ball:

ECU +3.5

Villanova -6

SDSU +3

————————————

ECU +3.5: I love the Pirates in this spot. The line movement is pointing to ECU as well. I love the way that Tristen Newton is leading the Pirate offense this season. He is averaging over 5 assists per game, and shooting at a 50/39/87 clip. That is something you want in a point guard when backing a dog. I also believe the Pirates will have an athletic edge on the glass in this one. There is really nobody to match Vance Jackson (Arkansas transfer) and Brandon Johnson on the boards on the Flames roster. 2nd chance points will be crucial for the Pirates to remain competitive, because we know Liberty is very efficient on the offense end. In their last D1 game, the Flames had trouble defending without fouling against a SFA team that plays a lot like ECU. The Pirates will need to driver to the basket and make their free throws count today.

Score Prediction: ECU 64 – Liberty 63

Villanova -6 : 2u play for myself. I love, love, love this spot for Villanova. The Fortune 500 program. Shout out Rothstein. I think that Ryan Hawkins and Ryan Kalkbrenner are going to have a terrible time with Villanova’s interior defense. I am not sure that Creighton can get enough from their guard play to outweigh that. Don’t let the Baylor game fool you. Villanova missed a lot of bunnies early, and the game got away from them at a rocking Ferrell Center. Look for a veteran-led Villanova to be more poised tonight, and Gillespie to hit his patented dagger threes in the 2nd half. This team is an Elite 8 or better this year. They won’t drop back-to-back games, and shoot 77% as a team if we need foul shots late. Spread should be -8.5. Will take the 6.

Score Prediction: Villanova 74 – Creighton 63

SDSU +3 : Sprinkle the ML here. There is nowhere to hide Tommy Kuhse defensively in this matchup. It would be suicide to have him on Matt Bradley, so he will likely have the assignment of Trey Pulliam. Look for Trey to have a big, big night. I think Saint Mary’s could also have trouble on the boards against this athletic and lengthy SDSU team. If the Gaels allow 2nd chance points, this could lead to an upset for the Aztecs. This game is being played in Phoenix. So, not a home court advantage even though SDSU is listed as the home team.

Score Prediction: SDSU 62 – Saint Mary’s 60

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

Leave a comment