(photo: The Columbian)
I will do my best to provide *at least* a daily group of 3-5 picks for all of you snipers out there. The goal is a 2-1 (3-2) night. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay! 20/21 Season: 58%
Season Record: 109-112-9
1/3 Starting Five:
Towson +1
UTRGV/Sam Houston u149
Texas So. / Southern o137
Iowa 1H -4.5
Oregon 1H -4.5
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Towson +1 : Looks like we got 3.5 points of CLV on this one. Guaranteed to be a kiss of death if this season continues the way it started! This line now sits at Towson -2.5, and rightly so in my opinion. The CBB betting market has started to make a proper adaptation to the reaction of a star player being out. Cam Holden will be out for the next three weeks due to a broken jaw, but Towson is still the right side in this matchup. As good as he is, he has only led Towson in scoring in 2 games this season. This team is DEEP. They will definitely miss Holden on the glass, but the Tigers should still have a slight rebounding edge over the soft interior of Drexel. Towson also makes threes to go along with not turning over the basketball. Necessary attributes when backing a road dog. The Tigers get it done in their CAA opener.
Score Prediction: Towson 70 – Drexel 67
UTRGV/Sam Houston u149 : There is too high of a margin for error within these offenses for a total this high in my opinion. Plus, Sam Houston is the better team while playing at home. That is key because they will like to play at a slower pace than the Vaqueros, and they should be able to control the tempo. In Sam Houston’s last five contests, they have allowed 64, 51, 61, 53, and 55 points. If the spread is in-line, which I think it is, another defensive performance like this will lead to an easy under. Last little nugget, Sam Houston is dead last in the country in free throw percentage. 358th. The cellar. Hopefully, some missed free throws will be our friend tonight if Sam Houston leads late.
Score Prediction: Sam Houston 73 – UTRGV 64
Texas Southern / Southern o137 : I think this game will be played at a nice tempo tonight. Both defenses are allowing over 70ppg, and I see areas where both offenses can exploit their holes. Texas Southern is very careless with the ball, and Southern will take HUGE advantage of that with their pressure defense. I would not be shocked to see fast break points push 20 for the Jaguars. On the other end, Texas Southern should absolutely dominate the post and offensive glass. The Tigers are averaging 40.4 rebounds per game, to 29.5 for the Jaguars. 2nd chance points should help even-out the scoring from the turnovers they are giving away. A low 70s game gets us over.
Score Prediction: Southern 74– Texas Southern 70
Iowa 1H -4.5 : This team makes every shot they take at Carver-Hawkeye. That is just a fact. Maryland does not have the weapons to shoot with Iowa in this game tonight. The offensive efficiency rating comparison is 2nd to 174th. This is also Maryland’s first road game. Not a great place to get your feet wet on the road. I believe Iowa gets out to an early lead, and I would like to try to cash this before any backdoor cover comes into play in a B1G matchup.
Score Prediction: 1H Iowa 39 – Maryland 30
Oregon 1H -4.5 : Oregon played their best half of basketball last time they were on the court. That is what is giving me optimism for this play tonight. They finally got quality play from their three-headed backcourt monster in Richardson, Young & Harmon. Dante also looked great on the offensive glass as well. This team can defend and make life difficult for a Colorado team that I think will struggle in Pac 12 play. The Buffaloes lost both of their “step-up games” this season. One of them being their only road game of the season at UCLA. They were down 16 at the break at Pauley Pavilion, and I expect another deficit at the half in Eugene. Again, taking the 1H and avoiding a tight game down the stretch in a conference game. Go Ducks.
Score Prediction: Oregon 35 – Colorado 27
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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