(photo: Heartland College Sports)
I will do my best to provide *at least* a daily group of 3-5 picks for all of you snipers out there. The goal is a 2-1 (3-2) night. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay! 20/21 Season: 58%
Season Record: 216-203-14
Best Bet Record: 15-7
2/7 Card:
Drexel -4
Texas ML
Montana -2
Grambling -4.5
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Drexel -4 : Usually, I hate betting the team that won the first matchup of a conference battle. However, I think the 4 points are justified tonight. I would play this to -5. JMU is really banged up rolling into Philadelphia for this one. The most important absence will be Takal Molson. The senior guard meant so much to the Dukes on the offensive & defensive end. Speaking of defense, JMU continues to be horrible on that end of the floor. They rank almost dead last in the country in 2pt % defense. Credit to Jim Root over at the 3MW for pointing that out. Drexel is coming off of a long road trip schedule, and should be eager to put on a good performance in their first game back home. Dragon up.
Score Prediction: Drexel 74 – JMU 67
Texas ML : Best Bet siren. What a spot for the Longhorns. If not now, then when? I loved the way Texas responded to the ass beating in Lubock. The Longhorns absolutely dismantled a quality Cyclones team on Saturday. Now, it is time to get their marquee win of the season and get rolling on their path for a deep tournament run. Defense will be the key to victory tonight. The interior should be a very difficult place for KU to try to butter their bread with Bishop and Disu protecting the rim, and it will be hard for Braun and Agbaji to find room from distance with the pressure defense. I just have a hunch that Chris Beard plays chess tonight, while Bill Self plays checkers. Lastly, Kansas is also not the same team on the road in Big 12 play. Three point wins at K State & OU, while getting thumped in Lubbock in their most recent affairs. You mess with the Beard, you get the Horns (don’t sue me Rothstein)
Score Prediction: Texas 66 – Kansas 62
Montana -2 : Revenge SZN. The Grizz will be fired up to get this done tonight after dropping two devastatingly close ones to the Thunderbirds last year. Also, my analytics have the Grizz rated higher on the defensive end, and actually slightly higher on the offensive end as well. That may surprise some people. My favorite thing about Montana? They shoot 80 PERCENT from the free throw line. That is just as elite as it gets in basketball. No matter the level. That will be a big factor tonight in a close one.
Score Prediction: Montana 75 – Southern Utah 69
Grambling -4.5 : Alabama A&M is one of the worst offensively rated teams in my model. 37.7% from the field, 27.3% from distance & 67.5% from the line. Adding to that, they have a 9.8/14.3 ast/turnover ratio. This team is just dreadful. Grambling is a team that can get hot offensively at home and make some shots, and A&M just won’t be able to keep up. One last nugget. To go along with that horrible 3point%, they only have one player on the roster that has made 10+ threes on the season. It is impossible for them to shoot themselves back into games unless Garrett Hicks is in Steph Mode. Donte Jackson knows that and will have his guards denying everything coming his way. Grambling should win pretty easily here.
Score Prediction: Grambling 73 – Alabama A&M 64
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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