(photo: sportsnaut.com)
I will do my best to provide *at least* a daily group of 3-5 picks for all of you snipers out there. The goal is a 2-1 (3-2) night. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay! 20/21 Season: 58%
Season Record: 237-210-16
Best Bet Record: 20-8
2/15 Card:
Kent State +9
Sparty/Penn St o129
Villanova -4
Indiana State +12
Indiana -3
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Kent State +9 : Toledo is the class of the MAC this season, but the Golden Flashes are catching too many points here. Kent State is on a 6 game winning streak; and have proven they can hang with the Rockets by notching a 3 point victory over Toledo on New Year’s Day. I probably would not run to sprinkle the ML here, but I think this game will be decided between 5-7 points. A key cog in this winning streak for Kent State has been Giovanni Santiago. Over the last few years, when he plays well .. Kent State plays well. He is averaging 18 ppg over the last three games on 19/28 shooting from the field (12/20 from distance). Only one turnover for Santiago in this three game stretch as well. Kent State has won the last 9 games that he has played. Give me the points.
Score Prediction: Toledo 77 – Kent State 71
Sparty/Penn State o129 : This matchup touched 144 points back in December, and I think we get close to reaching that total again. The pace played with everything you want in an over. Penn State shot 42.9% and still scored 64 points. Sparty assisted on 21 out of 31 baskets, and Penn State assisted on 14 of 27 baskets. I believe that these are repeatable stats in regards to the total. This should be a close game, and I also love having the late foul crutch when betting an over.
Score Prediction: Michigan State 69 – Penn State 68
Villanova -4 : Providence has been playing with fire recently, and I feel that this may be the game where they get burned take step back. Villanova is a prideful bunch, and the Big East is certainly still within reach. I think this veteran group will enter the Dunkin Donuts Center with a business trip type of attitude. A.J. Reeves is still banged up and not playing well, and I think the backcourt duo of Collin Gillespie & Justin Moore will take this game over. Jay Wright’s Fortune 500 program takes an important road W here.
Score Prediction: Villanova 70 – Providence 63
Indiana State +12 : Too many points here. I had this line at +8 for the Sycamores. Especially, with the form that their star player is in. Cooper Neese has scored 35 & 28 points in his last two times out. He never comes out of a game, and knows how to stay out of foul trouble. He is the ultimate run killer for an opponent, which is a key for a spread this large. While I do think that Missouri State wins at home without much of a threat, I just like Neese and the Sycamores to keep this around 8-9 in the end. Micah Thomas is questionable for Indiana State with a non-Covid related illness. I like the play regardless, but keep an eye out on word on his status if you feel inclined.
Score Prediction: Missouri State 73 – Indiana State 65
Indiana -3 : Best Bet. Assembly Hall will be rocking tonight in a game the Hoosiers desperately need on their road to earning an at-large bid. I love the way the Hoosiers matchup against this Badgers side. They had the lead in Madison earlier this season with 1:18 left, but Wisconsin ended up pulling out a 5 point victory after late fouls. This was also in a game where TJD failed to score double figures. Last season he had 23 & 12 against the Badgers frontcourt, and I expect a similar type of performance tonight instead of the one we saw earlier this year. Defensively, TJD and Race Thompson were able to really limit the offensive impact of Wahl and Crowl. I think that is repeatable due the the wide gap of an athletic advantage favoring the Hoosiers. Hype home crowd. Must win revenge spot. Give me the Hoosiers for a Best Bet.
Score Prediction: Indiana 70 – Wisconsin 62
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!