(photo: Twitter – @YSUCoachCalhoun)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 2-2-0
Season Best Bet Record: 1-0
11/9 Card:
Davidson -4
UT Martin/Youngstown State u155.5
San Diego -4
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Davidson -4 : I fully expect Wright State to feel the hurt of losing Tanner Holden and Grant Basile to the portal early in this season. A season opener is a tough time for the Raiders to be taking on a Davidson team. Especially, since Davidson has already had a regular season tune-up this week. I worry about Wright State’s ability to handle Sam Mennenga on the offensive glass without Basile. Mennenga averaged 1.6 offensive rebounds per game a year ago. Also, you want to catch Davidson when they are in a shooting slump, right? That is when the Wildcats are vulnerable. However, that does not look to be the case early in this season. Davidson shot 15-34 from three in their season opener. Give me Davidson and the McKillop system. Matt will fill in right where his father left off.
Score Prediction: Davidson 79 – Wright State 71
UT Martin/Youngstown State u155.5 : Best Bet alert. My favorite play of the season so far. Let’s get into the numbers. Both of these teams ranked in the Top 40 for possessions per game in their opener. Youngstown State scored 92 points. This matchup screams over right? Well, this may be a chance for oddsmakers to pounce on simple minded gamblers. We will start with Youngstown State. This team played a pace extremely out of character against Canisius because the Golden Griffiths wanted to run, and shots were falling for the Penguins. It is easy to get sucked into that game flow in an opener. However, this is the furthest thing from what Jerrod Calhoun wants to run. Here is where the Penguins have ranked in possessions per game under Calhoun in the last three seasons: 19/20 – 204th ; 20/21 – 189th ; 21/22 – 265th (!!!). Calhoun will be sure to have his team control the tempo in their home opener. UT Martin also looked putrid on offense in their opener. The shot 32.3% from the field, 15.8% from distance, 62.5% from the stripe + 17 turnovers. I have this game in the 140-143 area. Major, major value. Let’s get to 2-0 on Best Bets!
Score Prediction: Youngstown State 74 – UT Martin 66
San Diego -4 : We will zig, while everyone else zags. Dunk City is the talk of the college basketball world after their upset of the Trojans in LA this week. Defeating their former coach on his homecourt in the process. That will get the general public lining up to back this team as an underdog. Not so fast my friend. San Diego has secretly pieced together one of the best mid-major frontcourts in the country through the transfer portal. The Toreros added a pair of Pac 12 transfers in Jaiden Delaire (Stanford) and Eric Williams Jr. (Oregon). Both of these guys played major minutes in the Pac 12 and are seasoned veterans. Williams started playing college ball in 2017, and Delaire in 2018. This frontcourt is also paired with a sensational backcourt in Townsend & Sisoho Jawara. Both are double digit scorers that can shoot the lights out. Also, they have a fabulous sixth man coming off of the bench in Marcellus Earlington. The former St. John’s guard has really flourished in his role in San Diego. I really like the makings of this team, and that is combined with what we are seeing in Vegas. Early money is showing 54% of the tickets on Florida Gulf Coast, but 55% of the money on San Diego. Let’s ride with the Toreros.
Score Prediction: San Diego 75 – Florida Gulf Coast 65
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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