11/17 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Oregon Live)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 14-13-0

Season Best Bet Record: 5-4

11/17 Card:

Penn State -2

Towson +1

CofC/Davidson u163

Portland -4

San Diego +7.5

————————————

Penn State -2 : The guard play from the Nittany Lions this year is incredible. FIVE guards are averaging double figures so far, and I predict we will see that through the end of the season. That is key when facing a Furman team who can fill it up. This will be a close affair throughout, but I think Penn State’s size in the post will help them pull away. The Nittany Lion guards will kill you with second chances. One of the best rebounding assets Penn State has is freshman center, Kebba Njie. He is averaging 5rpg while only playing 12.7 minutes. That is crazy efficiency on the glass. Let’s get our morning started with a W!

Score Prediction: Penn State 76 – Furman 71

Towson +1 : I may be walking into a trap here, but these teams could not be further apart in my personal power ratings. I had this game as Towson -5. Towson can flat out score the basketball, and UNCG has really struggled on that side of the court since Wes Miller departed for Cincinnati. The Spartans are shooting 42.8% from the field, 67.6% from the line and 30.9% from distance. Their defense may keep them in this one, but Timberlake and Holden will carry Towson to another road win.

Score Prediction: Towson 67 – UNCG 62

CofC/Davidson u163 : This number has ballooned too far. These are two exceptional offenses and I am thrilled to be attending in person tonight, but hitting over this total would be a “best case” scenario in regards to offense. Both teams have shown signs of straying from being efficient on that side of the floor anyways. Ex: Davidson’s 1H vs Wright State & CofC’s 2H vs Richmond. Davidson is kind of outmatched athletically here, so I would not be surprised if Foster Loyer tries to slow the tempo down at times. Also, there is a tournament aspect to this game. Those situations always tend to play to an under. Especially, a 2nd game in a session. These teams will have to wait for South Carolina and Colorado State to conclude before getting their 20-25 minute warm-up. Early in the season, not having their typical warm-up could affect the shooting early on. I see this game in the 70s.

Score Prediction: CofC 78 – Davidson 76

Portland -4 : This is my Best Bet. The offensive mismatch in this game is very vast. Air Force is coming off of a performance in which they only scored 61 points in regulation and lost to Texas A&M Commerce in OT. On the other end, Portland continued their hot shooting at Kent State in going 10-24 from three. They are shooting 40% from distance as a team on the season. Turnovers were the problem for the Pilots in their loss to Kent, but Air Force has not shown the ability to turn their opponents over. If Portland can keep the turnover number to 15 or less, they will win this game by double digits. Tyler Robertson will also reach the 20 point plateau if you have a book that offers player props in this kind of matchup.

Score Prediction: Portland 75 – Air Force 65

San Diego +7.5 : Good news. Our secret isn’t out yet. The Toreros are still getting disrespected in the market. This team has a fantastic Pac12 transfer frontcourt, and exceptional guard play. The only thing will be to watch the availability of Sisoho Jawara. He missed San Diego’s win over NJIT. No information was given publicly for his absence. I have a feeling he is playing today from some things that I have seen out there, so I was confident in locking in +7.5. If he is deemed officially active well before tip, you could see some massive line movement down to around +5.5 to +5. Go ahead and lock this one in.

Score Prediction: Utah State 75 – San Diego 72

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

Leave a comment