11/22 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Pac-12)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 30-15-0

Season Best Bet Record: 9-4

11/22 Card:

Creighton/Arkansas o141.5

Oral Roberts +9

Arizona -1

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Creighton/Arkansas o141.5 : I think we have the perfect mixture of scheme to put up points in this one. Creighton is normally a team that let’s their opponent dictate the pace, so Arkansas should bait them into a high possession game here. That won’t be such a bad thing for Creighton anyways. The Jays are currently 4th in offensive efficiency in the country. They were impressive yesterday in putting up 76 points against a tough Texas Tech defense. Creighton is shooting 51% as a team on the year, and Arkansas is not far behind at 49%. Both defensive metrics for these teams are skewed due to competition in the early going. With the help of the soft Maui rims, we will sail over the total in this one. Should be a very fun game to watch.

Score Prediction: Creighton 78 – Arkansas 73

Oral Roberts +9 : Similar to opening night vs Saint Mary’s, the market is not showing enough respect to Max Abmas and the Golden Eagles. Oral Roberts is the perfect underdog to back. They are exceptional at scoring the basketball, and they don’t turn it over. 56 threes thru 5 games, and only 10.4 turonvers/game. Utah State is rated at 100th in defensive efficiency, and that is coming off of a year where they finished rated 95th. I do not foresee a defensive performance from the Aggies that will keep Oral Roberts from having a competitive game. The over might be a solid look as well, but I will gladly take the points with the talented Golden Eagles.

Score Prediction: Utah State 84 – Oral Roberts 78

Arizona -1 : Best Bet of the night. This team is a wagon. The Wildcats are currently leading the country in points per game, pace, and offensive efficiency. Firing on all cylinders with a deep bench. It will be hard for a San Diego State defense, who is underperforming for their standards, to prepare for this in a tournament setting. People had questions about Arizona’s schedule, but they silenced the haters with a trouncing of Cincinnati last night in their Maui opener. San Diego State is a great team and will keep this close, but my data suggests this as closer to Arizona -5.5 on a neutral. Too much value to pass up. I would not be shocked to see this get steamed up closer -2.5 to -3 before close, but I would still take it there.

Score Prediction: Arizona 82 – San Diego State 75

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

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