11/23 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: The San Diego Union-Tribune)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 32-16-0

Season Best Bet Record: 10-4

11/23 Card:

Wisconsin +2

San Diego State PK

Vanderbilt +8.5

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Wisconsin +2 : I like this veteran Badger team in a low scoring affair. There are a few key metrics that I am looking at here. What are two major factors when deciding a winner in a low possession game? Second chance points and hitting big threes. Wisconsin is currently 6th in the country in not allowing their opponents to gain offensive rebounds. An edge on the glass will be crucial tonight. Also, Wisconsin has a major edge in three point percentage over Dayton – 38.5% to 29.5%. Tyler Wahl is a gamer, and don’t forget this team won the Maui Invitational last year. They don’t treat these Feast Week tournaments as a vacation. Badgers win in a close one.

Score Prediction: Wisconsin 65 – Dayton 61

San Diego State PK: The Arkansas rotation has to be gassed rolling into this one. The Mitchell brothers have played sparingly, and it has been their main five playing all of the minutes the last two days. Playing a third day in a row without a bench is no bueno. Especially, against a team that gets up in your ass with defensive pressure. The Aztecs have had heavy rotation and I imagine that they will be the livelier of the two sides tonight. Also, Arkansas appeared to treat the Creighton game as a championship. A lot of energy and emotion was used up. Can they get back up and defeat a fantastic Aztecs team with a short rotation? I don’t think so. This is my Best Bet. Aztecs by double digits.

Score Prediction: San Diego State 76 – Arkansas 64

Vanderbilt +8.5 : I like getting this many points in a game with lower possessions. There are a few factors that I believe are in the Commodores favor to keep this one close tonight. This is Saint Mary’s first road game. They have blasted their opponents on their home court, but will that travel? Vanderbilt has already traveled and had a huge win at Temple on their home court. Secondly, I like Vanderbilt’s size in this game. I think that Myles Stute and Liam Robbins could cause the Gaels a lot of trouble on the glass. Jerry Stackhouse is a fantastic coach, and that will come out in a slower paced game. Vandy keeps this one close throughout.

Score Prediction: Saint Marys 66 – Vanderbilt 61

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

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