11/28 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Pitt Athletics)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 38-24

Season Best Bet Record: 13-6

11/28 Card:

Arkansas/Troy o140

Pittsburgh +10

Sam Houston +4

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Arkansas/Troy o140 : Bud Walton Arena will be fired up for this one tonight. The Hogs are returning home after a very successful trip to Maui, and it is coming off of the heels of a bad end to the season for the football program. This fan base is now all-in on this electric basketball team. That should really fuel the pace in this game. Arkansas is already 18th in the country in possessions per game, so the added momentum from the crowd should keep the pace moving. Also, Troy has nobody that can guard Anthony Black. I really love this kid. He should be a Top 5 pick in the upcoming draft per my eyes. The 6’7 point guard can do it all on the court. The reason why I like the over instead of Arkansas here is I feel like the defensive efficiency could be a little sloppy after returning home from such a big Feast Week tournament. I see this game in the 13-15 point win range for Arkansas. -17 is too rich for my liking.

Score Prediction: Arkansas 81 – Troy 67

Pittsburgh +10: My oh my are we going to receive some nice CLV in this one. The line is already down to +7 across the majority of the books. This is my Best Bet of the night. I feel like the oddsmakers were not accounting for the return of John Hugley in this opening line. He is an absolute game changer for this team, and Northwestern really has nobody to deal with prominent post players following the exits of Pete Nance and Ryan Young. Hugley has quickly made an impact in limited minutes to start the year. 13ppg in 21 minutes per game. Also, Blake Hinson is really flourishing after transferring from Ole Miss. These two will cause a lot of issues for the Wildcats. Also, I just really love the backcourt that Capel brought in from the portal. Nelly Cummings and Greg Elliot are really good players. This line was way too high. It should be a 5 point affair either way. Pitt may even win.

Score Prediction: Northwestern 68 – Pitt 65

Sam Houston +4 : Defense travels. We will be rocking with one of the better defensive units in the country tonight. The Bearkats are 6th in the country in defensive efficiency, and 4th in points allowed at 48.3. You may be wondering about the competition that they have played, but it has actually been decently tough. They have already knocked off Oklahoma and Utah. The Bearkats are also scoring to go along with this defense. They are averaging 81.5ppg on 17 assists. I really, really like this team. They could add another upset under their belt tonight. Nevada’s lack of a true point guard will really hurt them against a potent defense.

Score Prediction: Sam Houston 64 – Nevada 63

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

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