(photo: Sports Illustrated)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 39-26
Season Best Bet Record: 14-6
11/29 Card:
Clemson/Penn State u134
Missouri -1
Michigan +4
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Clemson/Penn State u134 : I do not foresee a scenario where we sniff this number. Let’s jump into the numbers. Pace of play is going to be our friend in this one. Penn State comes in ranked 330th in pace, and Clemson is right there in the cellar at 332. There are only 363 Division 1 teams folks. These are not aberrations either. Clemson finished last year at 279, and Penn State at 350. There will be a lot of walking the ball up the floor and late shot clock scenarios. Both are in the upper quadrant in regards to defensive efficiency, and I think both defenses have a chance to excel here. Penn State is heavily reliant on jump shots, and that won’t fly in a hostile road environment against a good defense. Also, Clemson is still struggling on the offensive side of the ball while PJ Hall is getting back to full health. Perfect mixture for the under. I don’t like it enough to play it, but think Clemson wins a close one here if you want some extra action.
Score Prediction: Clemson 64 – Penn State 60
Missouri -1 : This is my Best Bet. I am really struggling to understand why Vegas opened this line basically near a PK. It has now been steamed up to -2.5 at most places. Missouri is an ELITE offense. They are currently averaging 93.3 points per game, and lead the country in assists at 23.1 per game. Think about that. More than Baylor, More than Arizona. Dennis Gates has also brought his defensive intensity from Cleveland State to Columbia. The Tigers also lead the nation in steals per game at 13.9. Next closest is Tennessee at 12.0. In comparison, Wichita State averages 8.5 assists per game, and 5.0 steals. I am not scared of a flukey hot shooting night from the Shockers because they have been downright dreadful in that regard as well. 26% from 3, and 41.9% from the field. My brain and analytics scream Missouri. Have to make it the Best Bet when both come together.
Score Prediction: Missouri 77 – Wichita State 67
Michigan +4 : Massive night for Juwan and the Wolverines. Admittedly, the season hasn’t started as hot as they would have hoped.. but this is a perfect spot for Michigan to get a win over #3 UVA and get the season rolling. There are a few key factors that I think could be in Michigan’s favor tonight. The glass. UVA beat Illinois and Baylor behind some hot shooting, but lost the battle on the offensive glass in both. Hunter Dickinson and Terrance Williams are tenacious on the boards and should get some easy put backs in a slower paced game. Touching back on UVA’s hot shooting. I think we see some regression to the mean in a hostile road environment. UVA is shooting 44.8% from three on the season. It is largely the same team from last year where they shot 32.2%. Michigan is not careless with the basketball, and shouldn’t fall into UVA’s defensive trap. I like the Wolverines to definitely cover the number, and probably to win. Sprinkle the ML.
Score Prediction: Michigan 63– UVA 61
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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