12/7 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: LINK nky)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 52-31

Season Best Bet Record: 20-7

12/7 Card:

VCU -8

BYU -9.5

Wazzou/NKU o126

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VCU -8 : Jacksonville’s physical approach can sometimes sneak up on teams in “step up” games, however that won’t fly against VCU. The Rams are as physical of a program as you will see in college basketball. You will not out tough them. Also, Jacksonville has a massive turnover issue this season. They rank 360th (out of 363) in the country in turnovers per possession at 24.7%. VCU currently ranks 9th in the country in turning over their opponents at 25.2% of possessions. Ace Baldwin is back in the mix and averages 4 steals per game himself. This is just a terrible matchup for Jacksonville. The Rams will let out some early season frustrations at the Siegel Center.

Score Prediction: VCU 68 – Jacksonville 55

BYU -9.5 : No CLV here, however this is the right play. I had this a BYU win by 12+, so I am happy with my number even though it is not the best out there. Definitely don’t want to make a habit of that though. I am guessing the steam towards Utah Valley is trending from their win over the Cougars last season, but news flash .. Fardaws Aimaq is in Lubbock, TX now. He was the reason that the Wolverines were able to upset BYU with a 24 & 22 performance. This is a great revenge spot for Mark Pope and the Cougs. He is a phenomenal coach and will definitely use this motivation angle prior to this one. Utah Valley is 0-3 on the road this season, and got blown out by Utah State and Boise State. Teams of similar caliber to BYU. BYU is starting to get really quality play from Dallin Hall. The freshman is averaging 12.7 ppg over the last three. He will need to continue this play while Johnson and Knell are out injured. Fousseyni Traore should be in line for a big night. Aziz Bandaogo is the only line of defense in the post for Utah Valley. I predict Traore’s phenomenal footwork will get him into foul trouble quickly.

Score Prediction: BYU 78 – Utah Valley 66

Wazzou/NKU o126 : Best Bet of the night. I had this game at 135, so we are getting 9 points of value. I believe there is a path for both teams to score tonight. Wazzou should be able to live in the paint and get kick out opportunities, and NKU should continue to score from the guard position. These teams are not elite defensively by any means. Washington State ranks 100th in defensive efficiency, and the Norse come in at 211. Wazzou has a home loss to Utah, but they have absolutely blown out inferior opponents in their other three home games. They averaged 87ppg in wins over Texas State, Detroit Mercy and Eastern Washington. NKU has also been packing an offensive punch recently. Marques Warrick is averaging 29ppg over his last three. Including a 45 point outing against Tennessee Tech in Double OT. He will absolutely get his again tonight. I think we easily sail over the 126.

Score Prediction: Washington State 73 – Northern Kentucky 62

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

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