(photo: USA Today Sports)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 60-41
Season Best Bet Record: 24-10
12/13 Card:
Citadel/UNC o144
Texas Tech -17
Memphis/Alabama u152
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Citadel/UNC o144 : Best Bet of the night. Wow, we are certainly going to see some CLV here. Up to 147 at most places. The Citadel are one of the smaller teams in the nation. They allow their opponents to gain an offensive rebound on 32% of their possessions. That ranks 318th in the country. Hitting the offensive glass is the pillar of the Tar Heel attack. While they have not succeeded as much as normal in that area so far this season (mostly due to competition faced), I think they will boost those numbers considerably tonight behind strong nights from Bacot and Nance. Also, the Citadel rank 232nd in defensive efficiency. We could be pushing for free Bojangles biscuits at the Smith Center tonight. 100 piece is certainly in the range of possibility. I also believe there is a path for the Citadel to score tonight as well. The Heels rank 168th in defensive efficiency, and just not have shown a lot of effort there thus far. This has led to their opponents scoring 33.2% of their points from the 3 point line. The Citadel have a few shooters that can take advantage of open looks. Austin Ash (Iowa transfer) has 29 made threes this season, and Elijah Morgan is shooting 43.8% from distance. Pace will also be in our favor tonight. Citadel ran with the high octane offense of CofC last time out, and they will run again with UNC tonight. I like the Heels to cover the spread as well. However, I feel more confident in trusting the over.
Score Prediction: UNC 92 – Citadel 61
Texas Tech -17 : I really worry about Eastern Washington’s ability to score tonight in Lubbock. The Red Raiders are once again dominant on the defensive side of the court. They currently rank 23rd in defensive efficiency, and that number will only continue to rise. They are turning their opponents over on 21.5% of possessions, and that is bad news for an Eagles team that ranks 241st in turnovers per possession. The points off of turnovers metric will definitely be in favor of the Red Raiders tonight, and I also believe that they will feast at the line. Tech ranks 44th in the nation in points from free throws. Eastern Washington is 144th in the country in allowing opponent free throws, and their schedule has not seen anyone close to as physical as Texas Tech. I love the Red Raiders in this spot.
Score Prediction: Texas Tech 73 – Eastern Washington 51
Memphis/Alabama u152 : I love the defenses in tonight’s matchup. I think we will see a lot of dead ball turnovers which will be key for our under. The Tide come in ranked 24th in defensive efficiency. That is super impressive considering their gauntlet of an early season schedule. The number is also skewed due to allowing 101 to UNC in quadruple OT. In reality, their defense was pretty solid in that game. Memphis is no slouch either. The come in at 46th in defensive efficiency. Both teams also have a Top 25 metric in their cap on that side of the ball. Alabama is in the Top 25 for block percentage, and Memphis for steals per possession. This game should be physical, and we will see some free throws. Alabama is sub 70% from the line, and Memphis is riding just above it. Hopefully, we see a poor performance from the stripe in our favor. Lastly, I think Memphis will take an approach similarly to the one that I discussed with San Francisco last night. Their path to staying competitive in this game will be to play at their pace. They rank 117th in pace, and we will see them playing potentially slower tonight to combat Nate Oats’ wishes for the Tide to run and gun. I think we see a game in the low 70s, with one of the teams potentially finishing in the 60s. Would lean Memphis on the spread, but not playing it due to my respect for Bama’s home court at Coleman.
Score Prediction: Alabama 75 – Memphis 70
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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