(photo: Maddie Washburn)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 69-49
Season Best Bet Record: 30-10
12/20 Card:
Providence ML
Miami +3.5
Florida -2.5
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Providence ML : Trusting Big East home court here. This stat could be trivial, but Marquette is 0-3 in games decided in 5 points or less. The Golden Eagles have had a phenomenal season and have blown out some incredible opponents, but I feel like this metric could rear its ugly head tonight. The free throw line has caused a lot of these problems. They just are not getting to the free throw line. Marquette is 293rd in the country in points from the stripe. They are not getting to the line effectively enough, and are only shooting 69.1% as a team when they get there. They are 62.8% in their last three, so that metric is even trending downward coming into this one. Providence is 55th in the country in points from free throws, and are shooting at a 73.3% clip as a team. Free throws matter in close games, and I think the Friars edge Marquette in a close one due to the stripe. I had this game at -3, so will take the ML value.
Score Prediction: Providence 75 – Marquette 72
Miami +3.5 : Can UVA’s defense travel? I’m not so sure. They have only had one road test this season, and allowed Michigan to shoot 53.1% from the field. Including that outing, Michigan is only shooting 46% as a team this season. I think Ormier can find similar success to Dickinson and Howard tonight. Also, this is not a great matchup athletically at the guard position for UVA. Isaiah Wong will have his way with Clark. Look for him to drive Clark often. The Hurricanes also get a huge uptick in production from the three point line at home. They shoot it at 36.2% at home, comparatively to 28.2% on the road. UVA should not be laying 3.5 points in this matchup. I think the Canes win a close one, so I will gladly take the points. Let’s not forget. Miami led UVA at the half by 8 in Coral Gables last season and ended up letting it slip away for a 2 point Cavs victory. Revenge will be on their mind as well.
Score Prediction: Miami 70 – UVA 68
Florida -2.5 : Best Bet of the night. I smell a double digit victory for Florida here. A healthy Kyle Lofton is a biiiig problem for Gator opponents. Ohio felt that pain to the tune of a 34 point win for the Gators last time out. Lofton had 15 points & 7 assists in 25 minutes of work. He looked a lot closer to the Lofton that we have seen at Bonaventure over the years. With another 6 days off, he should be primed to carry Florida to a statement win in the Jumpman Invitational. Also, this is a juicy juicy juicy matchup for Colin Castleton. The Sooners rank 219th in the country in opponent percentage of points from 2. He is going to maul them in the post. This should be an easy wire-to-wire cover. Love the play.
Score Prediction: Florida 74 – Oklahoma 64
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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