(photo: Frogs Today)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 71-50
Season Best Bet Record: 30-11
12/21 Card:
VA Tech/BC u134
UNC/Michigan u155
TCU +1.5
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Va Tech/BC u134 : I am scared of a VT assault that could carry us over this total, but I have to trust the data. Let’s start with pace. Virginia Tech comes into the game ranking 290th in pace, and BC isn’t too far ahead of them at 261. These teams like to walk the ball up the court and get into half-court sets, and really make an emphasis on stopping opponent fast breaks. The Virginia Tech defense has a MAJOR edge tonight. They come into this as a Top 50 defense in the country, and Boston College sits at 296th in offensive efficiency. If this game was in Blacksburg, I would just lay the points as well. VT is a strong lean for me, but just playing the under here. I could see a late BC flurry backdooring VT backers.
Score Prediction: Virginia Tech 70 – Boston College 59
UNC/Michigan u155 : I love the under in this matchup. We saw 124 points last year in this matchup. A lot of the same players will feature tonight. The number won’t be even close to that low, but I see a range of 146-150. Dickinson and Bacot have been going back and forth on podcasts this offseason/season, and it seems like they have had this one circled for a while. They want to go mano a mano in the post to help solidify who should be the All-American between the two. These two can command the ball in the post whenever they want from their teammates, and it should happen quite often tonight. Post work is lovely for an under. Especially, with two quality defenders engaged in stopping the other. I really worry about Michigan’s guard play. They will continue to struggle to score with high level opponents. On the other end, I can see UNC doing what they have done all year long and play to the quality of their opponent. Michigan has some length to bother Carolina defensively. As long as the Wolverines get back in transition, there is a chance they make life really tough on Carolina in the half court. We are playing on a neutral here, and neither team is comfortable with the rims at the Spectrum Center. That is a plus. A big plus after the clanking we saw from UF and Oklahoma last night. Hopefully, that continues.
Score Prediction: UNC 76 – Michigan 72
TCU +1.5 : Best Bet of the night. The Horn Frogs won’t be undervalued in the market for long, so take advantage of this while you can. TCU caught a lot of heat for beating Arkansas Pine Bluff by 1 in their opener, and then losing to Northwestern State a week later. Many have written them off. Not so fast my friend. All this has shown is just how crucial Damian Bough is to the success of the Horn Frogs. Bough did not feature in those games due to injury, and TCU is 4-0 in his return. Including, an impressive 13 point victory over Providence. Baugh is doing everything on the court for Jamie Dixon. Here is a snapshot of what he has done in those 4 games: 11.5 ppg / 50% 3pt / 5.3 rpg / 4.8 apg / 1.8 spg. This production is also freeing up Mike Miles Jr. He is finally starting to cook like we saw in the NCAA Tournament. Emmanuel Miller is also healthy and productive now. Everything is rounding into form for the Horn Frogs, and I will take advantage of the market before it catches up. Also, note that this game is not being played in Utah’s home arena. It is being played at Vivint Arena – home of the Jazz. It will still be a pro-Utes crowd, but hard to replicate a hostile atmosphere in an NBA gym. I am not giving Utah full homecourt in my handicapping tonight. Horn Frogs by 5.
Score Prediction: TCU 73 – Utah 68
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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