(photo: Southeastern Conference)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 72-52
Season Best Bet Record: 31-11
12/22 Card:
San Diego -4
Vandy/Alabama A&M o137
Creighton 1H -4
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San Diego -4 : Northridge does not have a win over a D1 opponent this season, and they certainly aren’t getting their first vs our Toreros. They could play this game on Mars. Isn’t happening. Go ahead and lock this in now. I like San Diego today even without Townsend and Delaire, but if one (or both) are activated the line will sky rocket. There isn’t much news out there in regards to their injuries and they are labeled as undisclosed. So, there is a chance we may get a gift of an activation tonight. Regardless, Northridge has absolutely no way to stop Eric Williams Jr. or Seikou Sisoho Jawara. The Matadors are 246th in the country in defensive efficiency, and simply cannot handle the caliber of those two players. They don’t have a good offense to compliment the bad defense, so there is no way that they keep up in this one. They shoot 42.3% from the field and 31.6% from three. Somehow, the offensive efficiency (299th) is rated even worse than their defensive metric. Don’t be scared of the injuries. San Diego can survive without them tonight.
Score Prediction: San Diego 72 – CSUN 65
Vandy/Alabama A&M o137 : Best Bet of the night. It looks like we will receive some great CLV here. The number is already up to 138.5. I would still play this to 139.5 as I said in a tweet. 140 and higher you start to lose value. I have this game at 144 points. I think Vanderbilt will be able to score at will. Alabama A&M is rated 262nd in defensive efficiency. Also, I think there are metrics that point to the Bulldogs being able to score enough to carry us over. Alabama A&M is ranked 22nd in pace in the country. Vanderbilt will happily run with an inferior team. The higher caliber team almost always has the advantage when there are extra possessions. So, I really believe that pace will be our friend tonight. Also, I like what I am seeing on three point metrics in this matchup. Alabama A&M is low key one of the best three point shooting teams in the country. They are shooting 41.3% from distance. That is on 92 makes in 11 games. Vanderbilt is also not great at guarding the three point line. They are 92nd in the country in opponent three point percentage, and 122nd in percentage of opponent points from the three point line. Last game before Christmas.. is Vandy really going to be locked in defensively? I love the over here.
Score Prediction: Vanderbilt 81 – Alabama A&M 63
Creighton 1H -4 : This was dangerously close to a Best Bet, but I liked the over in Vandy just a bit more. The Jays will get an inspired home crowd in Omaha tonight. The fans are really rallying together online to create a great atmosphere tonight to get Creighton back on track. Also, the return of Ryan Kalkbrenner cannot be understated. He is the absolute difference maker on this team. On both sides of the court. They also now have developed Fred King a bit, so he should be able to provide more valuable bench minutes comparative to when Kalkbrenner was healthy before. No real metrics to point to tonight, just a hunch that this crowd propels this Jays team to a nice halftime lead tonight. I am not confident in playing the full game. 8 is just too much in this matchup. Butler could definitely fight back in the 2H and backdoor this number.
Score Prediction: Creighton 38 – Butler 30
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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