(photo: The San Diego Union-Tribune)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 76-56
Season Best Bet Record: 31-14
12/29 Card:
Alabama A&M +27.5
Iowa -4
San Diego +15.5
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Alabama A&M +27.5 : Alabama A&M has been playing up to their competition the last few times out. The Bulldogs have really ramped up their non-con schedule as we end 2022. They suffered defeats to Illinois and Vanderbilt before Christmas break, but had these games in nail biter territory for the Illini and Commodores deep into the 2H. They can credit that to their improved defense. They held Illinois to 42.1% from the field and forced 18 turnovers. The Bulldogs followed up that impressive defensive performance with holding Vanderbilt to 38.6% from the field, and forcing another 12 turnovers. Also, this team also continues to knock down the three ball. They are shooting 41% on the season after another 40% performance from distance against Vanderbilt. A&M has not lost a game by more than 21 this season, and I had this game at +22. I will take the 5.5 points of perceived value. Ohio State is a phenomenal team, but I like the way that the Bulldogs have brought a toughness to these “step-up” games. We could also potentially see a less intense Buckeyes performance after Christmas break in a game where they will comfortably lead throughout.
Score Prediction: Ohio State 81 – Alabama A&M 59
Iowa -4 : Best Bet of the night. This team is chomping at the bit to get back on the court and send a message. The Hawkeyes suffered the worst upset in CBB history in the eyes of Vegas last time out. They were 31.5 point favorites over Eastern Illinois, and lost by 9. They were completely embarrassed, and have admittedly seen their names dragged in the press over the last week. They weren’t able to get back out on the court quickly to make the public forget about that performance because that was the last game before Christmas break. We have not seen them since 12/21. I fully expect their best performance of the season tonight. Also, it helps getting your best player back in the fold. Fran McCaffery has said that Kris Murray is healed and ready to go at 100%. Also, his son Connor will be back as well. Kris will bring efficiency and stat production that the Hawkeyes will need, and Connor will bring the intensity and leadership needed to get the best out of this team in a game that Iowa really needs to win to avoid their season unraveling. This is not a knock against Nebraska. They are having a fine season. They will just be on the wrong end of an offensive onslaught from Iowa. They can really hang it out people when they get going. They rank 10th in the country in offensive efficiency, and I fully expect them to play above that level tonight.
Score Prediction: Iowa 81 – Nebraska 70
San Diego +15.5 : This *is not* breaking news, but I have heard some chirping that this is the game that the Toreros plan on bringing Townsend and Delaire back in the lineup. San Diego has been very underwhelming in their absences. While I don’t have 100% certainty that they are back tonight, I had this number at +14 even with those two out. Adjusting for their return, I see it at +10. I am trusting that I have the Toreros covering even without Delaire and Townsend, but this is also a steal to lock in +15.5 now in the event that they are activated. The line will certainly have a sizable shift if so. I think that San Deigo can take a similar approach to Saint Mary’s that Oral Roberts did. We cashed on the Golden Eagles in that one. San Diego can hit the Gaels with an inside/out approach from Seikou Sisoho Jawara and Eric Williams Jr. Oral Roberts did that to great effect to slide under the number with Max Abmas and Vanover/Mwamba. The Toreros will need to use their athleticism to their advantage tonight. That is really the only major edge that they have in this one.
Score Prediction: Saint Mary’s 70 – San Diego 58
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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