(photo: USA Today)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 92-73
Season Best Bet Record: 36-18
1/10 Card:
USC/UK o131
KState -4.5
Dayton/Fordham o125.5
Nova/DePaul u141
UNC +5
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USC/UK o131 : Best Bet of the night! Kentucky has a very clear path to a lot of points tonight. I truly see them touching 80 points. I lean them on the spread, but I have a higher edge on this total. This game is reminding me of the Louisville spot from a few games ago when UK got an 86-63 blowout win over the Cardinals. Oscar Tshiebwe was 10-13 from the floor, and finished with a 24 & 14 stat line. He will have another dominant performance in the post tonight. South Carolina’s interior defense is as bad as Louisville’s. As an alum that catches all of the games, I promise you this is true. This is a Gamecock team that just got humiliated on their home court by 43 points. The defense is non-existent this season under Lamont Paris. Kentucky is averaging 83.4 ppg at Rupp, and South Carolina is averaging allowing 76.9 ppg on the road. All signs point to UK getting 80 points tonight. The Gamecocks can take care of the rest.
Score Prediction: UK 82 – South Carolina 60
Kansas State -4.5 : Got a good number here last night. Will have some CLV. I see 5-5.5 at most places now. It is time for the market to face the music. Kansas State is just awesome. Jerome Tang has this team firing on all cylinders. The Wildcats have the 5th best offensive efficiency in the country through the last three games, and that has risen their rank to 27th for the season. Moussa Cisse is doubtful for this game for the Pokes after not returning to practice before today. That would be a massive absence in this matchup. He is an elite interior defender that could potentially halt this high powered KState offense, but without him I do not see a path for Oklahoma State keeping this within two possessions. I like K State by 8 tonight. I would play the current number.
Score Prediction: Kansas State 74 – Oklahoma State 66
Dayton/Fordham o125.5 : Dayton is playing some of the best defense in the country currently, but I like this over with them traveling on the road. Dayton is 11th in the country in ppg allowed at UD Arena at 55ppg. However, that number rises to 62.5 ppg allowed when they leave the comfort of home. Fordham plays a pretty fast paced game. They are 64th in the country in pace. I think that Dayton will play into this one the road. The Flyers are finally healthy and should score at a nice clip tonight. They will be dominant in the paint, and I think they cover as well.. However, I will only be on the over tonight.
Score Prediction: Dayton 70 – Fordham 61
Villanova/DePaul u141 : Nova will control this place tonight. With a 311th ranked pace, and an impressionable offense on the other side, I am confident this game will be a crawl. Low possessions will be our friend. Villanova’s strength this year has been the three ball. The good news is DePaul is not completely inept in stopping their opponents from getting hot from three. They are 130th in the country in opponent percentage of points from three. I fully expect Villanova to win tonight, and their road ppg average for the season is at 71ppg. I think they are right around that number tonight, and we slide under the total.
Score Prediction: Villanova 71 – DePaul 64
UNC +5 : I luckily grabbed this number at the full 5 earlier today before it dropped back down to +4.5. I am not sure that UVA would be favored on a neutral court in this matchup, so I will certainly not be giving them 5+ points of home court advantage. The Tar Heels completely eviscerated the Cavs both times last season. They had no answer for Armando Bacot. Shedrick has improved this season and may provide some pushback tonight. However, I think the Heels stay in this game due to their backcourt production. Carolina’s guards are in another league from UVA’s in my opinion. The emergence of Seth Trimble has been huge for this club. He is another elite on-ball defender at the guard position that the Heels can rely on. They have gotten in trouble in years past when Leaky Black has gotten in foul trouble or had to guard the wing. I see this as a one possession game either way. The Heels have a great chance to win outright. Give me the points.
Score Prediction: UVA 69 – UNC 67
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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