(photo: Loyola Marymount University)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 98-77
Season Best Bet Record: 38-18
1/12 Card:
Loyola Marymount tto 57
Gonzaga -6
Arizona -15
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Loyola Marymount tto 57 : I love this Lions offense. We are seeing a low team-total tonight due to the fantastic defense of the Gaels, but there are paths for us to clear 60. We will start at the point guard position. Cam Shelton is playing as the best point guard in the WCC. It’s not debatable. As you can see below, he is one of only 11 players in the nation to average at least 17/4/4. With the Gaels forcing their opponents into half-court sets, I think Shelton will have a phenomenal night in the pick & roll. The Lions rate very highly in those sets, and that is from Cam’s ability to finish going to his right off of them (as displayed below). Also, his play has risen immensely since the start of conference play as well. In his last 5 outings, he is averaging 16.8ppg / 7.4 reb / 7.2 ast. He has also turned it up on the defensive end which is leading to fast breaks for his teammates. He is averaging 3.4 steals in those last 5 games. Just phenomenal stuff. Saint Mary’s has struggled a bit with dynamic point guards this season. They allowed 70 points to an Oral Roberts team led by Max Abmas, and allowed 68 to a Jaelen House led New Mexico team. The Lions have another elite scorer in the fold as well. Keli Leaupepe is having a phenomenal senior season. He is averaging 14.6ppg, and I think his physicality against the Gaels could get him a lot of looks from the stripe tonight. When backing a team on the tto, you love a good three point performance. The Lions have delivered that often this season. They have 170 makes in 18 games. That is good for 24th in the country in threes made per game. Keep an eye on Ohio State transfer, Justin Ahrens. 10 made threes in his last four games. He is finally finding his footing with LMU. The Gaels will definitely try to slow the pace in this one, but Loyola will not give up on trying to run when they have the ball. They rank in the top 100 in pace in the country, and that will be a big factor in keeping them in this game. I like LMU to cover, and like the over as well. I took them small on the side. However, the Lions tto will be the only official play.
(Credit: CBB Analytics)
(Credit: Shot Quality)
Score Prediction: Saint Mary’s 72 – Loyola Marymount 63
Gonzaga -6 : BYU cannot compete on the offensive end tonight. The Cougars enter tonight’s game at 242nd in offensive efficiency. Yes, Gonzaga has had a slow start to the season in the WCC.. but, Santa Clara and San Francisco pack a nice offensive punch. Santa Clara is in the Top 100 in offensive efficiency, and San Francisco is right on the outside of it. I think tonight is the night where Gonzaga makes you remember that they still have an All-American surrounded by quality players. I see this being a double digit affair from jump street.
Score Prediction: Gonzaga 83 – BYU 72
Arizona -15 : This was close to a Best Bet. I have the same unit size on this as I do with the LMU tto. This will be an absolute bloodbath in Corvallis tonight. The Beavers have lost their last three conference games by an average of 16 points. We will be well over that average of loss tonight. Arizona is one of the most talented teams in the country and they are hungry for a beatdown tonight after they suffered an upset loss in Tuscon over the weekend. Arizona is 9th in the country in offensive efficiency, and Oregon State is 301st. That is all you need to know in this one tonight. Massive “get right” spot for the Wildcats. Zona BIG BIG.
Score Prediction: Arizona 84 – Oregon State 62
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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