(photo: Butler University Athletics)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 99-79
Season Best Bet Record: 39-18
1/13 Card:
Villanova/Butler o133.5
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Villanova/Butler o133.5 : One play today. The Best Bet. I have a nice edge on this total I believe, so I am happy we were blessed with this game on a short card. I have this number at 139.5. There are many paths for both teams to score tonight. First, we will start with the dreadful defense these two teams have played in their last three outings. Shockingly enough, they have the same defensive efficiency rating in those last three at 1.040. That is good for 237th in the country. Butler allowed 74.3 ppg to St John’s, Seton Hall and DePaul .. and Nova allowed 73.3 ppg to DePaul, Xavier and Georgetown. Butler has played decent defense up until this skid this season, but this has been the story of the year for Nova under Neptune. They are 219th in the country in defensive efficiency for the season. Butler should have their way on the offensive end tonight. Their offensive rating and ppg output is not strong this season, but that is due to their drastic home/road splits. Butler is averaging 75.1 ppg at Hinkle. I see them nearing that clip against the bad Wildcat defense. Another feather in our cap is Villanova’s offense does not take a huge slide when they hit the road. They only drop from 72.4ppg at home, to 70.1ppg on the road. The teams are playing very similarly in pace as they did last year. Very methodical and slow. However, these two bring out the worst in each other recently in regards to getting out of their game-plan and running. The game at Hinkle last season got a little bit up and down and the total ended on 137. That was with Butler shooting 36% from the field and 5-25 from three. Butler’s offense has improved from last season, and Nova’s defense has taken a sharp decline. I love the over tonight. Book it.
Score Prediction: Butler 72 – Villanova 68
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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