1/16 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Bowling Green Daily News)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 103-82

Season Best Bet Record: 41-19

1/16 Card:

Michigan State +4

George Washington +8

WKU +4.5

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Michigan State +4 : Purdue will not have a fun time at the Breslin Center today. The students are off for MLK Day, and will be fired up for a mid-day Top 5 win. Purdue walked into East Lansing as the #4 team in the country last year, and lost to a worse version of Michigan State than they will see today. While Zach Edey got his, Izzo had a great game plan to combat the rest of Purdue’s weapons. He should be able to draw up a similar scheme for today. Back to the comparison between last year’s Spartan team vs this current team.. Sparty finally has a reliable point guard. AJ Hoggard is doing it all right now. He had 20 points in Champaign when the rest of the offense was struggling, and was an absolute playmaker in the four games prior to that – averaging 8.3 assists per game. An added bonus for today is that Malik Hall seems to be playing better at home since his return from injury. Will continue to keep an eye on that. I don’t see this more than one possession either way. Michigan State could easily win this game. I will take the 4 points in a matinee home spot.

Score Prediction: Purdue 69 – Michigan State 68

George Washington +8 : Too many points in this inner-DC showdown. The Colonials split this series last season, and were leading at George Mason at the under 4 tv timeout before eventually losing. Both of these games were fantastic last season. With virtually the same rosters, I expect to see another great one today. There is a hatred between these clubs, and the fire will be lit under both of their asses. We won’t have to worry about effort or intensity from George Washington. Ricky Lindo Jr. (former Terp) is as good of a matchup as you can throw at Oduro in the A-10. Also, James Bishop and Brendan Adams are elite scorers and should keep us in this one throughout. Their offensive game doesn’t slip on the road. They average 75.6ppg at home, and 73.9ppg on the road. The Colonials will score enough to keep us under this number in a rivalry game.

Score Prediction: George Mason 76 – George Washington 71

WKU +4.5 : Best Bet of the day. The Hilltoppers will upset the Owls tonight. Sprinkle the ML. This is the perfect buy-low/sell-high spot for these two ball clubs. The Owls have the nations 2nd longest win streak at 15 games in a row, but they have been playing with fire lately. They have won their last five games by less than 5 points. Including, heading to OT with a very inferior FIU team last time they were on the road. This has risen them to 26th in the country in KenPom’s Luck rating. Their luck will run out tonight. This Hilltoppers team is finally playing the way we thought they could in the preseason. Dayvion McKnight has been an absolute force all season, but now his senior teammates are joining in on the fun. Jordan Rawls has been pretty awful for the majority of the season, but he has come alive in the last two contests. He scored 16 points in Birmingham and was the reason why the Hilltoppers upset UAB on the road. Jarius Hamilton could get the same praise for their win over FIU. He had 12/7/3 in that outing. Lastly, Luke Frampton is an absolute sniper this year. His three point percentage has risen to 47.8%. He has 43 makes in 17 games. Try to grab this number as early as you can. I think the Hilltoppers cover tonight with/without Emmanuel Akot (questionable – concussion), but he is a game changer and will definitely alter the line if he becomes active. While I think WKU wins, I would play this to +3.5 and nothing less. Inside of one possession is not valuable in my opinion in this matchup. If my W9 had to end yesterday, FAU’s W15 is the sacrifice today to get us back on track!

Score Prediction: WKU 72 – FAU 70

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

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