(photo: KTVB)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 108-88
Season Best Bet Record: 43-21
1/20 Card:
VCU -1
Boise State/New Mexico u146
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VCU -1 : Gave this one out last night. I can understand the line flip to VCU +1. A lot of the major tout outlets have Richmond favored tonight. Mostly of them see it as Richmond -2. I am not sure what they are looking at to lead them to believe Richmond should be laying a number here. VCU took 2 out of 3 in this inner-city matchup last season. It took a heroic Jacob Gilyard effort in the A-10 Championship for the Spiders to notch a win against the Rams. Bad news for Richmond tonight. Jacob Gilyard isn’t walking through that door. Richmond is going to be in major trouble tonight without a dominant point guard. Their team lead in assists is 2.8 per game from their 7′ 260lb center. VCU cooks up their opponents and forces the 7th most turnovers in the country. This leads them into being the 24th most efficient team in transition. That is bad news for a Spiders team who currently ranks 274th in in opponent percentage of shots in transition (24%). Richmond will not be able to combat this onslaught of turnovers and transition points of the Rams as they only rank 295th in turnovers forced. The Rams athleticism also caused a major problem for Tyler Burton last season. He was 7-28 from the field in the three outings. Lastly, there is not much home court given here in my cap. These arenas are usually 60/40 in favor of the home side when this matchup happens. There will be enough Rams fans in attendance to get them going when they are playing well. VCU in a fun one.
Score Prediction: VCU 69 – Richmond 64
Boise State/New Mexico u146 : Best Bet of the night! One of my favorite totals of the season. I think tonight will be a masterclass from Leon Rice. He will want this pace to be a crawl. The Broncos come into this game ranked 246th in pace, and know that a half-court game will be crucial for their chances of upsetting the Lobos at The Pit. On the surface level, everyone sees New Mexico as this very high scoring team that is having a fantastic season. However, a lot of this scoring is in transition from baiting an up & down game with inferior opponents. The Lobos are actually one of the worst jump shooting teams in the country in the half-court. New Mexico ranks 324th in three pointers made per game at only 5.7. This is a Boise State defense that packs the interior and loves forcing their opponents into tough mid-range jumpers and three pointers. I think this is a crucial edge for our total. Also, these defenses just rock. Boise State is 12th in the country in defensive efficiency this year. That is elite. New Mexico’s defense isn’t too shabby either. 52nd in the country in defensive efficiency. Shot Quality does not have as much conviction as me on this under, but that is the play their model suggests as a 143 point total. Below is a preview of their Value Finder (free gift of Kent St/Ball St – I’m a man of the people). Use promo code – SNIPER – for 30% off of all membership packages. The Shot Quality guys have great stuff. Very useful when handicapping. I have this at 137. 9 points of perceived value. Big time play for me. Let’s bring this one home!
Score Prediction: Boise State 69 – New Mexico 68
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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