1/23 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: AP – Jerry Larson)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 115-93

Season Best Bet Record: 44-23

1/23 Card:

Virginia Tech -2

Baylor -1.5

Alabama A&M +2.5

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Virginia Tech -2 : The Hokies are on an L7 and facing an absolute “must win” for their tournament at-large hopes at this point. It has been a rough go. However, this team has taken a significant upswing since the return of Hunter Cattoor two games ago. They fought hard for a long time with UVA last week, but were on the unfortunate end of one of the Cavs better performances of the season. The Hokies then followed that up with a heart breaking loss at Clemson. The Hokies were up 2 in Little John with 13 seconds to go. We finally thought this was going to be the game. However, Hunter Tyson banged a three after an excellent shot fake… and that was all she wrote. Tonight is the night that the Hokies get rewarded for their better play of late. This young Duke team simply has not been good on the road in the ACC. The have a 1-3 conference road record, and barely scraped by with a 1 point win in Chestnut Hill for their only victory. Duke is feeling good about themselves after a great home victory over Miami, and the Hokies are DESPERATE for a win. Trusting Mike Young to dismantle Scheyer schematically in this one. Hokies get it done.

Score Prediction: Virginia Tech 72 – Duke 67

Baylor -1.5 : Best Bet!!!! Not sure why the Jayhawks are taking money today, but glad to have locked in -1.5. I see it is now back up to -2. Good to play it to -3.5 (although it will never get that high). Baylor will win this game by more than one possession. These are two teams on completely different trajectories in the Big 12. Kansas was playing with fire earlier in the month after barely squeaking by OU and Iowa State, and then followed those games up with two losses. Including a 23 point drubbing at Allen Fieldhouse by TCU. Meanwhile, the Bears finally have gotten healthy in the backcourt and have won four Big 12 games in a row. There won’t be many 4 game win streaks in that conference this season. Flagler and Cryer’s health are so important to this team. Dale Bonner was a massive liability to this rotation, and he was limited to 6 total minutes in their last two victories. Another reason for this win streak is the elite scoring of Keyonte George. He scored 32 points on on 10-18 shooting in Morgantown, and also had a 27 point outing in Lubbock. This three headed backcourt should score effectively tonight, and I like Jalen Bridges’ chances of *limiting* Jalen Wilson. The Bears are 114th in the country in defensive efficiency, but that number significantly improves in Waco. They are the 42nd best home defense in the country. Baylor has a great homecourt advantage (shout out Chip Gaines), and will continue their win streak tonight. This bet is also Shot Quality approved. They have this as a Baylor 3 point victory. Below is a preview of their matchup breakdown.

Score Prediction: Baylor 76 – Kansas 70

Alabama A&M +2.5 : The Bulldogs get right tonight at home. I have this game is a PK on a neutral, so I will gladly take the 2.5 points in a home spot. The shooting in this game tonight has a glaring disparity. Alabama A&M continues to be one of the better three point shooting teams in the country at 38.4%. Prairie View A&M comes into this matchup ranked 362nd out of 363 teams in the country in 3pt% at 26.5%. The Panthers are also dreadful from the field. They are only shooting 40% as team. Prairie View turns the ball over, only averages 10.6 assists per game, and can’t shoot. I can’t figure out for the life of me why they are favored on the road tonight. Alabama A&M outright.

Score Prediction: Alabama A&M 68 – Prairie View A&M 66

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

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