(photo: Texas Tech Athletics)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 121-93
Season Best Bet Record: 46-23
1/25 Card:
WVU/TTU o139
South Carolina +16
Louisville/BC o131.5
————————————
WVU/TTU o139 : Getting the Best Bet out of the way early tonight! 139 is too low for this matchup in Lubbock. I had this at 146, and with 7 points of perceived value this is a no doubt Best Bet for me. I believe that we will have an exponential amount of free throws shot in this game. West Virginia is 332nd in the country in opponent free throw attempts this season. They allow 22.2 FTA per game. With a Texas Tech team that likes to drive and force the issue, I definitely see a high volume night at the stripe for the Red Raiders. Texas Tech is not absolved of this issue either. Their opponent free throw attempts have taken a MAJOR uptick in conference play. They have allowed 69 free throw attempts in their last three outings. West Virginia should find themselves at the line quite often as well. Also, I believe we will have the pace we need tonight. Both teams are Top 100 in pace in their last 5, and Texas Tech loves to get up and down in Lubbock. They are 72nd in the country in home pace. I see this as a highly competitive and close game. This is an absolute “must win” for both ball clubs. We should see some freebie FTs at the end of this game caused by the desperate team that is staring down another Big 12 loss. Pace & free throws. Sign me up.
Score Prediction: Texas Tech 75 – West Virginia 71
South Carolina +16 : Listen, South Carolina sucks. As an alum, I can easily admit that & probably beat the drum on that more than most. However, Florida should not be laying 16 points in conference play. Florida has not beaten a team by 16 in over a month, and they have not achieved that feat in conference play yet. Florida allowed Mississippi State and Texas A&M to dictate the pace in their last two outings. The Gators scored 52 & 61 points in those games. Mississippi State ranks 323nd in pace & Texas A&M ranks 203. The Gamecocks come into this game ranked 298th. I can see Florida succumbing to this flow for a third straight game. If so, we have an excellent shot of covering 16 points in a low possession game. The Gamecocks have two expendable bodies down low that they can use to be physical with Castleton tonight in Josh Gray and Benjamin Bosmans-Verdonk. Limiting him will be huge to the spread. Also, I am not sure if the national audience noticed but GG Jackson appears to have found his early season form again. He gave Auburn 30 points on 10-21 shooting over the weekend. He also tossed in 8 rebounds. Jackson is a guy that can get hot and keep us within this number. Lastly, the Gamecocks have been decent about not turning over the basketball. They are middle of the pack in the country (183rd), which is a lot better than their record would suggest. That will be crucial to keep this game within the number. This bet is Shot Quality approved. The guys over there have this as a +14 spread.
Score Prediction: Florida 70 – South Carolina 58
Louisville/BC o131.5 : These defenses are horrific. Louisville has given up 79.5 ppg in their last four, and Boston College has allowed 79.3. We are not dealing with efficient offenses tonight, but both of these teams are getting punished in transition. Louisville averages 16.5 turnovers per game, and Boston College will take a lot of those the other way with their athletic backcourt. Also, Quinten Post is in BEAST mode right now since his return from injury. He just had 29 & 14 in South Bend, and will be licking his chops for a shot at this Louisville team with zero interior resistance. I think Boston College can easily touch 70+ tonight. Louisville will take care of the rest against a struggling Eagles defense.
Score Prediction: Boston College 75 – Louisville 62
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
threepointsniper.com 