(photo: Rachel Von)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 126-96
Season Best Bet Record: 47-24
1/27 Card:
IPFW +4
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IPFW +4 : Best Bet of the night! These two teams faced off just 11 days ago. The game was played in Fort Wayne, and Cleveland State walked away with a 12 point victory. The interesting part about that night is that the Mastadons were a -5.5 favorite at close. In 11 days, how are we looking at a 9.5 point swing in the spread when switching home courts in the Horizon? There are no injuries on the IPFW side, and a lot of their guys are finally starting to heat up. This seems like Vegas baiting casuals into a bad position on Cleveland State since they won by 12 points recently. I had this spread as IPFW -1.5, so I will gladly take the 5.5 points in my perceived value. The Mastadons led in the 2H of that game, and were pretty on par statistically with the Vikings. IPFW made more threes, shot and made more free throws, and virtually were the same on rebounds & turnovers. The Mastadons just had a tough night from the field. I like them to even the season series tonight. There is an area of attack that IPFW will likely go with tonight. Volume shooting from the three point line. The Mastadons rank 18th in the country in made threes per game, and the Vikings rank 351st while only shooting 30%. IPFW will certainly try to trade 3s for 2s in this one. The threes didn’t drop at a high rate in the first matchup, but I suspect IPFW has 10+ made threes tonight. Deonte Billups has really heated up from distance since this last matchup. He had his career high last time out against IUPUI. He scored 26 points on 7-12 shooting from distance. I know that IPFW will win the three point battle, and I think they will win the free throw shooting battle again tonight as well. The Mastadons have the best FT shooter in the country in Bobby Planutis. He is 97.2% from the stripe on the season. Also, that is NOT the only 90%+ free throw shooter on the team! Jarred Godfrey is shooting 91.2% at the guard position. These guys can close out a tight game. Lastly, I think the Mastadons can compete on the boards again. Kpedi has been phenomenal on the glass as of late. This includes gobbling up 9 offensive rebounds against this same Cleveland State team 11 days ago. I think the Mastadons win the three point and free throw shooting battle, and are able to compete on the glass. If they do those three things, they win. This Best Bet is Shot Quality approved. Their model has IPFW as a .4 favorite. Let’s cook!
Score Prediction: IPFW 70 – Cleveland State 68
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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