(photo: Sports Illustrated)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 132-105
Season Best Bet Record: 49-26
1/31 Card:
WVU/TCU u144
UK -6.5
Loyola/Dayton o129.5
————————————
WVU/TCU o144 : The Mike Miles injury will loom large on this pace tonight. Especially, against a Top 100 defense that West Virginia will be bringing to Fort Worth. The Horn Frogs will also have to rely on defense for success in his absence. That won’t be hard to do. TCU ranks 10th in the country in defensive efficiency. Also, they are the 6th best home defense in the country in regards to defensive efficiency. WVU has been very reliant on the scoring of Erik Stevenson lately. They are a cold night from him away from scrapping and clawing for 60 points against this elite Horn Frog defense. In TCU’s four Big 12 home games, they are averaging allowing 62 ppg. Without Miles they will struggle to score as well. This bet is Shot Quality approved. Per the Value Finder, they have this at a 137 total. Below is a screen clipping of how their Value Finder looks. Some free nuggets if you are planning on creating a heavy card tonight. Enjoy!
Score Prediction: TCU 70 – West Virginia 69
UK -6.5 : Best Bet of the night! Cats by 90. But seriously, this should be a wire-to-wire no sweater tonight. This Kentucky team is completely different now that Cason Wallace has taken over the point guard reigns. They had four impressive wins in a row (including one in Knoxville), before having a primetime battle with Kansas over the weekend. The Cats ultimately lost that game, but they were in it until the very end. That is a sign of how far they have come in such a short time. Cason was fantastic on Saturday night. He had 14 points / 6 rebounds / 5 assists / 5 steals. Maybe more importantly, only two turnovers! That is elite point guard play against a Top 5-10 team in the country. He will be licking his chops for a matchup against this horrific Ole Miss team. Also, Big O should have another dominant affair against Ole Miss. Last season he had 18 & 15 on 9-12 shooting. They have very little resistance to offer in the post, and Toppin should be able to take advantage of this as well. There are big question marks on both starting Rebel backcourt pieces tonight. Murrell is still dealing with an injury, and Ruffin was left at home over the weekend because he is “going through things” per Kermit. We will see if they play tonight. If they don’t, this is the biggest gift of a spread this season. I still love the play if they give it a go.
Score Prediction: Kentucky 75 – Ole Miss 62
Loyola/Dayton o129.5 : The Loyola defense has lost it’s identity under Valentine. They are averaging 72.1 points allowed per game this season, and it has elevated to a 75.8 average over their last five. Dayton’s phenomenal defense has also taken a hit over their last five. They allow 60.3 ppg for the season, but are averaging allowing 66.8 over their last five. While the defense has suffered for the Flyers, they have had a positive uptick offensively. Malachi Smith is now back healthy and had 13 assists (!!!) in their last outing. Kobe Elvis is also healthy again and has added some much needed perimeter shooting. I like the poor trends of the defenses, paired with the resurgence of the Dayton offense. We go over this total at UD Arena.
Score Prediction: Dayton 74 – Loyola 60
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
threepointsniper.com 