(photo: KY Today – Chip Hutcheson)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 150-123
Season Best Bet Record: 55-29
2/9 Card:
WKU -1
Loyola Marymount +8.5
Stanford -2.5
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WKU -1 : Best Bet of the night!! The Hilltoppers are going to make it a perfect 3-0 homestand with a win tonight over MTSU. Dontaie Allen entered the starting lineup against UTSA on 2/2, and it has paid immediate dividends. He had 22 pts & 7 reb on 38 minutes in that one, and then followed that up with 25 pts & 7 reb on 34 minutes in a win over UTEP last time out. The UK transfer is in the zone and flourishing as a Hilltopper, finally. That completely changes the makeup of this team. The Hilltoppers now have another shot maker to go along with Dayvion McKnight. They also have the defensive pieces to compete with an athletic Blue Raiders team. Emmanuel Akot is an elite on-ball defender as a 6’8 guard (Leon Rice trained), and 7’5 Jamarion Sharp continues to lead the nation in blocked shots at 4.2 per game. The Hilltoppers still have solid home support at Diddle even though they are underperforming from preseason expectations, so I will still give a nice home court edge here. Allen’s recent scoring is the difference maker here, and I am putting my money behind that continuing in the comfort of his home gym.
Score Prediction: Western Kentucky 75 – Middle Tennessee State 69
Loyola Marymount +8.5 : Going back to our Lions! They have been good to us this year, and we are going to catch Saint Mary’s in a sleepy road spot after their thrilling comeback win over Gonzaga. The Lions are 4-1 at home in the WCC this season. They have also shown that they can compete with anyone in the country on their day. They have wins over Wake Forest, Nevada, BYU and Gonzaga this season. Cam Shelton’s aggressiveness going to the rim should prove fruitful tonight. The Gaels have been a little foul happy as of late. They committed 18 fouls against San Francisco, and then followed that up with 20 against Gonzaga. Shelton has gone to the line 18 times over this last three games, and went to the stripe 9 times in the first meeting with SMC. They Lions also have the three ball edge at their disposal. The Gaels are really struggling to shoot the ball right now, and LMU is 23rd in the country in made threes per game. I think they can pack a punch long enough in this game to cover the 8.5. This is now down to 7.5 at most books. I would not play it below 7.
Score Prediction: SMC 67 – Loyola Marymount 62
Stanford -2.5 : Stanford has been a major disappointment this season, but the majority of their struggles have come on the road/neutral site. They have actually been pretty good at Maples outside of a beatdown from UCLA. I can excuse that. They have won four in a row at home outright, and Shot Quality graded their two close losses at Maples before that as wins based on their looks (see below). The Sun Devils are also dipping in form. They have lost 5 of their last 6, with the only win coming against Oregon State in Tempe. I think that Arizona State will have a lot of trouble with Spencer Jones and Harrison Ingram tonight. The Cardinal took 2 out of 3 last season from ASU, including a W at Maples. They could not keep Ingram off of the glass, and could not guard Jones from the perimeter. A casual gambler will look at this game and take the three points with a 16-8 team vs a 10-13 team. We know what to do.
Score Prediction: Stanford 72 – Arizona State 66
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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