(photo: Jeff Faraudo)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 165-134
Season Best Bet Record: 59-32
2/16 Card:
Purdue/Maryland o132
Western Kentucky +4.5
Gonzaga -7.5
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Purdue/Maryland o132 : This total closed at 132 as well in the previous matchup between these two teams. That game ended on 113 points. However, this wasn’t a “true” 113. There were only 6 combined points scored in the last 4 minutes of this game, and both teams shot under 40% from the field. The two teams combined for 5/34 from distance. We are due for some positive shooting progression in this matchup. Also, I see this as another close game. So does Vegas. The likelihood that there are 6 combined points again in the last 4 minutes again is not high. Hopefully, a lot of late game fouling will be added to our arsenal for the over. Edey will get his, and the Maryland backcourt always plays better at home. I had a hard time not pulling the trigger on Purdue, but the line spooked me. Will just be on the over here.
Score Prediction: Purdue 70 – Maryland 67
Western Kentucky +4.5 : There is a VERY large difference in this C-USA rematch. 7 feet 5 inches large. Jamarion Sharp is healthy and is sure to impact this 2nd game vs Charlotte. He missed the first one, and the Hilltoppers lost 75-71. Sharp leads the nation in blocks, and has 17 blocks in his last three games. He is as big of a difference maker as there can be defensively. Literally. I think Charlotte will find it much more difficult to find easy buckets tonight. Also, our Hilltoppers are still scorching hot. We backed them last time out against MTSU, and they are riding a 3-game win streak into tonight. Dontaie Allen continues to be a difference maker in the starting lineup. This team is turning the corner at the right time. I think they are in this game until the very end, and I honestly have them winning by a point. I would not advise against throwing their ML in a parlay if you want to get frisky tonight.
Score Prediction: Western Kentucky 67 – Charlotte 66
Gonzaga -7.5 : Best Bet! Revenge is a dish best served cold. Gonzaga is going to be very mean to our LMU Lions tonight. Marymount snapped Gonzaga’s 75 game home winning streak at the Kennel a few weeks ago. However, there is a glaring stat that has convinced me that it was indeed a fluky performance. The Zags are 3rd in the country in points from 2 pointers. A lot of this is Timme, but the Gonzaga backcourt finds the majority of their success driving to the rim. LMU is 314th in the country in opponent percentage of points from 2’s. It is going to be a field day inside the arc for the pissed off Zags. Mark Few made some coaching mistakes in guarding Cam Shelton in the first matchup, but that won’t happen again. You are not going to burn Mark Few twice in a row with one player. There is also incentive here for Gonzaga to hang a large number on LMU. They are only one game back from SMC for the co-lead in the WCC. The tie-breaker for the WCC title goes to the NET rating. The Gaels are currently 6th in the NET, and Gonzaga ranks 12. LMU is currently 82nd in the RPI right now. This would be a firm Quad 2 win, with an outside chance of potentially becoming a Quad 1. It would certainly help the NET of the Zags to blowout LMU. Trusting them to do so. This bet is Shot Quality approved. See below for a preview of their Matchup Breakdown:
Score Prediction: Gonzaga 85 – LMU 70
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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