(photo: Trevor Ruszkowski – USA Today)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 174-139
Season Best Bet Record: 61-33
2/19 Card:
Belmont +7
Iowa -1.5
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Belmont +7 : The Bruins are having a fantastic late season charge. Casey Alexander is a phenomenal coach, so we knew this was certainly possible. The Bruins are now 12-5 in The Valley, and only one game back of first-place Drake & Bradley. They get a shot a Drake today, and I think we will see one of their best punches. Drake rolled Belmont in Nashville earlier this season. However, this was an anomaly type of shooting performance for Belmont. They were 1-16 from distance. That is certainly not their norm. The Bruins are 12th in the country at 9.8 threes made per game, and they are 3rd in the country in three point shooting percentage at 40%. Another reason why this was an anomaly is that Drake is horrific at defending the three point line. The Bulldogs are 273rd in the country in opponent percentage of points from threes. This is is a stat that I believe will swing heavily in Belmont’s favor today. Another key piece to this handicap is the superb play of late from a Bruin freshman. Cade Tyson (brother is Clemson’s Hunter Tyson) is really coming on strong for Belmont. He has scored in double figures in 9 straight, and is a matchup nightmare on the wing with his ability to shoot. I like Belmont to keep this one very close. I definitely could see them winning this game, but officially will have Drake winning by 3.
Score Prediction: Drake 75 – Belmont 72
Iowa -1.5 : Best Bet!!! I think this could be a wire-to-wire victory for the Hawkeyes. This is just a really poor matchup for Northwestern. I know they are playing well of late, and that Iowa has already beaten them this year, but the matchup is just not great for them. The Wildcats are even worse than Drake in defending the three point line. Northwestern is 340th in the country in opponent percentage of points from threes at 36.7%. Iowa took full advantage of this in the first matchup shooting 10-21 from distance, and I believe they will do the same today. Also, Northwestern just does not have the interior defense to compete with Rebraca and Murray. They combined for 36 points on 14-24 shooting in the first matchup. Lastly, Fran McCaffery has owned Chris Collins. 5-0 and 5-0 ATS in the last five in favor of the Fran. I like the Hawkeyes to win comfortably in Chicago today. This matchup is also heavily approved by the Shot Quality model. We virtually have the same predicted score. That is normally a great recipe for success.
Score Prediction: Iowa 77 – Northwestern 69
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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