(photo: Tony Gutierrez – AP)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 174-141
Season Best Bet Record: 61-34
2/20 Card:
TCU -1.5
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TCU -1.5 : Best Bet! The Hornies are taking down the Jayhawks tonight. The only piece of this matchup that scares me is the revenge factor. It is hard to beat a Bill Self coached team twice in a season. It very rarely happens. However, this is such a great spot for TCU. The Horn Frogs took a big step forward over the weekend with the return of their leader and best player, Mike Miles Jr. TCU blew out a quality Oklahoma State team by 25 points while reaching the century mark. TCU is 13-7 ATS with Miles in the lineup this year. Including, 5-1 in the last 6. However, TCU is only 1-6 ATS when he has missed. That has caused their analytical rating to be much lower than they actually are with Miles healthy. I see TCU as a Top 10 team when healthy, and so does Vegas. That is why we see the Horn Frogs as a favorite tonight. Kansas isn’t a road dog very often. It has only happened 4 times in the last two seasons. They are 1-3 ATS in those games. The books don’t rate Kansas highly on the road in the Big 12. Vegas took a bath recently by making Kansas -2.5 @ OU & -1.5 @ Oklahoma State in their last two road contests. There was a heavy public handle on the Jayhawks in both of those games. However, by making the #3 Kansas Jayhawks an underdog tonight.. they are not changing their stance. TCU is 9-4-1 ATS as a home favorite this season, and they will get a massive win behind a rowdy crowd in Fort Worth. Here is a bonus stat from Shot Quality: TCU’s Cut Frequency is 57. Since 2022 they are 13-5 ATS against teams ranked worse than 280 at defending this play-type. Kansas is ranked 286th. If you want access to more stats like this and the incredible models at Shot Quality, use promo code: “SNIPER” for 30% off of all packages.
Score Prediction: TCU 77 – Kansas 71
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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