(photo: Virginia Tech Athletics)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 174-142
Season Best Bet Record: 61-35
2/21 Card:
Virginia Tech -2
Tennessee +1.5
GT/Pitt o136
Tulsa +1.5
Utah St/Wyoming u146
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Virginia Tech -2 : This is my Best Bet. The Hokies are 4-1 straight up and ATS since the return of Hunter Cattoor at The Castle. This includes wins over Virginia, Duke, Syracuse and Pitt. The Hokies are probably a little too far out of the bubble to make the tournament outside of an ACC tournament title, but Mike Young will be relaying a different message to his players. There will be belief in that locker room that if they keep winning then they will have a chance at an at-large. I personally think this team is talented enough to be a tournament team. They just stumbled too much during the injury to Cattoor. However, he is back now and I think they are poised to upset #13 Miami. Cattoor has made three or more three pointers in 6 out of the 8 games in his return. Miami is susceptible to allowing a big night from distance as they only rank 191th in opponent made three pointers per game. The improved Hokies deep threat is stretching defenses and allowing Mutts more room to operate slashing to the rim. Mutts has scored in double figures in 7 out of the 8 games in Cattoor’s return. It cannot be understated just how much he means to this offense. Behind a big time home court advantage, I think this Hokie offense does enough to upset Miami. This bet is also Shot Quality approved. Here is a quick preview of their Matchup Breakdown:
Score Prediction: Virginia Tech 78 – Miami 72
Tennessee +1.5 : The entire market is loading up on A&M tonight. I love the Aggies as well, but this spot has been baked through the roof by Vegas. They have baited the market into giving the books a Volunteer handle while getting points. This line has risen to even +2.5 at some places. As of now, I am seeing 81% of bets, and 78% of money on Texas A&M. This is per Vegas Insider. I am riding with Vegas. I don’t get the disrespect to the Volunteers in this matchup. I had this game predicted as a Tennessee 3 point victory, and I assumed we would have seen a -2.5 Tennessee line. I will take the points here. The Vols are still one of the better defensive teams in the country despite their recent skid. They are only allowing 59.3ppg in SEC play. They will always give themselves a chance to win with that defense. The Aggies have a 12-2 SEC record, but have yet to play Tennessee or Alabama. I am trusting Rick Barnes to get the best out of his team tonight. Vols get a big road win. This is a major edge per the SQ model. It has Tennessee as a 7 point favorite.
Score Prediction: Tennessee 66 – Texas A&M 63
GT/Pitt o136 : I do not understand the buy back on this total compared to the first matchup in January. That total closed on 144 and the game ended on 131, but Pitt shot 43% and GT shot 36% from the field. Also, Georgia Tech made zero free throws. Literally, zero. This game was on 72 points at the half, and both offenses just went ice cold in the 2H. The amount of possessions were there for an over in that game, and I think we will see an over tonight. We also have Georgia Tech playing their best offensive basketball of the season in our favor. They are 3-1 in their last four games while scoring 74 ppg. Pitt has also been scorching on offense in their last four while averaging 80.8 ppg. We will have the pace based on the last matchup and recent performances. I am trusting the hot offenses to take care of the rest. Give us points.
Score Prediction: Pitt 76 – Georgia Tech 65
Tulsa +1.5 : I cannot in good conscious give you a write-up on Tulsa. It would be half-hearted. This is purely a play based on years of doing this. A 5-21 (1-14 C-USA) team is less than a possession underdog at home. The Golden Hurricanes will find a way to win this game.
Score Prediction: Tulsa 71 – ECU 70
Utah St./Wyoming u146 : The Cowboys want this game to be a crawl. They are 311th in the country in possessions per game. It would be in their best interest to play even slower tonight. The PAC-12 trio leaving the program has this Cowboy team extremely thin. They cannot afford foul trouble or a high possession game. I firmly believe that they will do everything in their power to control the pace tonight. We are seeing a high total due to the amount of possessions in the first game, but as I said Wyoming had Agbonkpolo, Anderson and Kyman in that game. Things are much different in Laramie now. Wyoming has a better shot of controlling the pace at home as well. Trusting them to take the air out of the ball.
Score Prediction: Utah State 74 – Wyoming 67
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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