(photo: Tony Walsh/UGAAA)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 191-152
Season Best Bet Record: 66-37
2/28 Card:
Clemson/UVA o129.5
BC/Wake Forest o145
Georgia +2
TTU/Kansas u147.5
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Clemson/UVA o129.5 : This was close to a Best Bet. It will get the same unit size from my as my Best Bet tonight. Clemson games have been fireballs of late. In 5 of their last 6 games, both Clemson and their opponent have eclipsed the 70 point mark. The outlier was a 94-54 Clemson win over FSU. It is important to have a hot offense when traveling to Charlottesville. Making shots is the only way to pull UVA out of their pace/gameplan. This is purely anecdotal, but from watching UVA games this season they also appear to speed up when their shots are dropping. It is like the added confidence puts a pep in their step. They should have the ability to score efficiently on Clemson tonight. The Tigers are 135th in road defensive efficiency and that is dropping quickly. This is a nice bounce back spot for the Hoos. The spread is out of touch from where I would be comfortable laying the points, but I think we safely go over here and the Cavs walk away with a victory.
Score Prediction: UVA 70 – Clemson 65
BC/Wake Forest o145 : Wake Forest will easily surpass 75 points tonight. Boston College is 276th in the country in road defensive efficiency. Wake Forest is 42nd in the country in offensive efficiency, and average 79.8 ppg at the Joel. Wake Forest scored 85 points in first matchup of this series, and did not score for the final 2:15 minutes of the game. Possessions were high, and Wake Forest was able to get whatever they wanted. The total closed at 138.5 before that game. There was an obvious misstep by Vegas on this total and that is why we see such a big change to today’s game. Wake Forest’s spread and tto are worth looks as well.
Score Prediction: Wake Forest 80 – Boston College 69
Georgia +2 : This is my Best Bet of the night! Let’s make it FIVE in a row. Mike White has been itching to get revenge on Florida since the thumbnail picture of this article was taken. He thinks he was given a quick hook by the UF administration, and this is a great spot for him to exact his revenge. Florida is just not the same team without Colin Castleton. They are 0-3 since Castleton was ruled out for the season for a broken hand. Including, an 88-72 loss at Vanderbilt over the weekend. Georgia has had a mediocre season, but they have definitely been above average at home. They have a 5-3 SEC Home record with wins over Auburn, Mississippi State, & UK. Mike White had a phenomenal game plan against his former employer the first game of this series. The Dawgs built out a 13 point lead in the 1H of that game. Florida’s homecourt advantage eventually carried them to a 82-75 win in that game, but there were some solid take aways for UGA. The Dawgs outrebounded UF on the offensive glass 15-8, and that was a Florida team WITH Castleton. Georgia also got to the line 18 times and made 10 triples. The wrong team is favored tonight. White’s players will be amped up to get this win for him. I believe they have the means to do so.
Score Prediction: Georgia 75 – Florida 71
TTU/KU u147.5 : The total ended on 147 in the first matchup of this series this season. However, there is a glaring statistic pointing to us going under tonight. KU is 198th and TTU are 203rd in the country in made threes per game. However, both teams made double digit triples in the first meeting. I expect that we see both teams below 10 made threes tonight. Also, the defenses of these teams have been better of late, and Texas Tech would prefer if this were a slower paced game. Fardaws Aimaq also throws a wrench in this matchup. He did not play in the first meeting. Tech will want to spend time making sure he gets post touches, and he will improve the Red Raiders interior defense and rebounding. I think his addition to this game is great for going below the total of the first meeting. The under is my play here. This is also heavily Shot Quality approved. Below is their final score through their predictive model:
Score Prediction: Kansas 76 – Texas Tech 67
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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