(photo: Haley Boehm)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 221-177
Season Best Bet Record: 70-46
3/14 Card:
Toledo +7.5
Bradley +3.5
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Toledo +7.5 : This is my Best Bet. The market has definitely agreed with my early play here, and the line has dropped to 6 at most books. I think it is still good to play there. This will be a one possession either way in my opinion. What is Michigan’s desire to put out their best performance tonight? They will be playing in a very sleepy Crisler Center in a tournament they wanted no part of being in. Hunter Dickinson even used the NIT selection show as a comedic bit on his podcast, Roundball. Meanwhile, Toledo is full of veteran players who are pissed off after losing in the MAC Final. However, the NIT isn’t beneath these guys. Tod Kowalczyk has said his guys are locked in and eager to prove themselves by brining home a NIT championship. Also, let’s be honest here.. Dennis, Millner and Shumate would all start for this Michigan team. RayJ Dennis is 30th in the country in ppg (19.7), and 16th in assists (5.7). One of the most underrated point guards in the country. Michigan ranks 113th in the country in defensive efficiency, and the high powered Toledo offense should have their way against this average defense. Here is also a great stat about the Michigan interior defense from Shot Quality – “Toledo Finishing at the Rim Frequency is 18th. They are 4-1 ATS & to the over against teams ranked between 211-280 at defending this playtype. Michigan ranked 275.” The SQ model agrees with my side and has this as a Michigan 4 point win. Use Promo Code: SNIPER for 30% off all packages on their site!
Score Prediction: Michigan 78 – Toledo 76
Bradley +3.5 : This is a bad matchup for Wisconsin. Bradley is Wisconsin JR. from a playstyle standpoint. The Braves run many of the same offensive sets as the Badgers. They also play at about the same pace. The Badgers are 335th in tempo, and Bradley is 317th. Wisconsin ran into problems against teams who also like to slow the game down throughout their Big 10 season. They were 1-4 straight up against Maryland, Northwestern and Rutgers who all love to play a slow style of ball. This is also the same scenario as the Toledo/Michigan game. A mid-major who is hungry after losing their conference title game vs. a Big 10 team who could not give two shits about being there. I think that Wisconsin will also struggle with the versatility of Mast, Leons and Henry. Crowl is going to be lost following around whoever Gard decides to match him up with. Wisconsin had a woeful performance in that do-or-die Big 10 tournament opener against an undermanned Ohio State team, and I just do not see them getting off of the mat here. I have Bradley winning a close one in a low possession game.
Score Prediction: Bradley 65 – Wisconsin 64
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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