(photo: Frank Franklin II – AP)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 243-187
Season Best Bet Record: 75-48
NCAA Tournament Record: 22-9 (Best Bet: 5-1)
3/25 Card:
FAU +2
UConn 1H -1
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FAU +2 : This is my Best Bet. Florida Atlantic is going to the Final Four. The haters are going to be furious, but the college basketball enthusiasts know how great this team is. There are a copious amount of tickets on Kansas State because people “want” Markquis Nowell to make a Final Four (I do too). The Wildcats are a super public play today. I am seeing 71% of tickets are currently on K-State. However, FAU is built to defend this Nowell playmaking style of offense. Florida Atlantic is 4th in the country in opponent assists per game. They only allow 8.2 per contest. The Owls are equipped to defend off-ball against the Wildcats when Nowell is trying to find cutters. Nowell was able to find this success consistently in their Sweet 16 game, but that is because Michigan State is horrific in defending off-ball and allowing opponent assists. The Spartans rank 203rd in that category. FAU should also find some success on the glass here. Kansas State continues to get obliterated in that metric this tournament. Meanwhile, the Owls are coming off of a game where they went toe-to-toe with Tennessee on the glass. I will share the main Shot Quality page again for FAU below. They have a stat profile that is built for tournament play. I believe that they will shock the world and head to Houston for the Final Four.
Score Prediction: FAU 74 – Kansas State 71
UConn 1H -1 : Gonzaga’s defense continues to be horrific. It will come back to bite them today. UCLA simply ran out of gas from that frenetic pace. The injuries caught up with the Bruins, and Gonzaga was able to pull away in the end. Mick probably should have read my write-up for that game (ha!). However, what have we seen from Gonzaga throughout this season and tournament? Their defense gets blasted in the 1H. The Zags rank 217th in the country in opponent 1H points per game. They allowed 36 points to Grand Canyon in R64, 38 points to TCU in the R32, and 46 to UCLA in the Sweet 16. Few is able to provide some adjustments at halftime to make them a tad (heavy on the tad) bit more competitive, but the Zags are just completely lost on that end of the court when the ball is tipped until the break. This UConn offense is HUMMING right now and should be able to take full advantage of that. The Huskies are 7th in the country in 1H scoring. They also have length and physicality to throw at Timme that UCLA was unable to do. I certainly do not see him reaching 30 points today. I also lean UConn for the full-game spread, but I believe that the edge is greater in the 1H due to the putrid Gonzaga 1H defense.
Score Prediction: 1H UConn 38 – Gonzaga 34
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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