(photo: Westwood One)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 246-188
Season Best Bet Record: 76-49
NCAA Tournament Record: 25-10 (Best Bet: 6-2)
4/1 Card:
FAU +3
UConn 1H -3
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FAU +3 : I know a lot of you were itching for the write-up earlier in the week, but I was waiting out for this gift that we were given on this Friday morning. The Owls have just touched +3 at Caesars and a few others. I will be locking in now for my Best Bet. I think the Owls win this game, but having a full three points in my pocket makes me feel even better. I would not call this a “comfortable” matchup by any means, but FAU will be coming into this game more confident that they can attack this defense given their recent success over Tennessee. The Aztecs play a similar style of defense to the Vols. They really pack the paint and try to use their size as an advantage, and then close out aggressively with their perimeter length. The way you defeat teams like this is with spacing and knockdown shooters. FAU continues to be one of the best teams in spacing the floor in the country. They are ranked 6th in the country in that metric coming into the game. They are also the 16th most efficient three point shooting team in the country. FAU is rotating 7 guards in 4 lineup spots, so they are always fresh and coming at you in waves. The Owls are also a top quadrant team when it comes to rebounding. SDSU will not be able to impose their will on the glass. Tennessee & KState learned that the hard way. This will be a lower total, and a close game. Give me the three points. If the line movement starts heading the other way, I would not play this below 2. Below is a snapshot from Shot Quality. Use promo code “SNIPER” for 30% off of all packages.
Score Prediction: FAU 67 – SDSU 65
UConn 1H -3 : Miami has had a fantastic run to get to the Final Four. Their shot making has been exceptional, and there is no doubting their ability on the offensive end. However, the defense remains a significant liability. They are 198th in the country in defensive efficiency. Their first halves are somehow rated out even worse. Miami ranks 258th in the country in opponents points per game in the 1H. The highly efficient UConn offense will be ready to pounce on this weakness. The Huskies rank 7th in the country in points per game in the 1h at 39.4 points per game. Also, UConn’s exceptional defense grades out well in the 1H. They rank 29th in the country in opponents points per game in the 1H. Miami will have to be very cautious with fouls early in this game. Especially in the front court. There is no depth and they won’t be able to risk a player receiving 3 fouls in the 1H. Look for Dan Hurley to press the issue by attacking the rim to exploit that. If Omier gets in foul trouble early, this could get ugly. I also like UConn full game -5.5, but will get out of this one early and pull for our +1600 pre-tournament future to make it to the title game without having to lay the points.
Score Prediction: 1H UConn 38 – Miami 32
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
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