(photo: Jose Carlos Fajardo/Bay Area News Group)
24/25 Season Record: 302-241
2025 NCAA Tournament: 24-19 (9-3 Best Bet)
BOOM!!! A scorching hot 8-2 (2-0 Best Bet) performance in the Sweet 16 has me buzzing for this Elite 8 action! We are also up 5.64 units on the Race to 10 pizza plays. Let’s keep this shit rolling! My card for today’s Elite 8 slate is listed below. I have included our Race to 10 pizza plays below as well. Make sure to scroll down!
———————————————————
3/29 Card (+ given on Thursday):
Florida -6.5 **Best Bet** (DK) (6:09pm – TBS) +
I could not have jumped on this number faster on Thursday night. Chance McMillian is a MAJOR loss to this Texas Tech rotation. Especially when you have to keep up with backcourt scoring of the likes of Arkansas and Florida. TTU was able to get away with his absence against Drake by spamming Toppin and Williams in the paint, but the Red Raiders were severely stuck in the mud when going against a team with the length of Arkansas. Florida’s defensive prowess is even more daunting. I know Christian Anderson made shots late, but a lot of the reason why Texas Tech is here today is more to due with Arkansas shitting themselves in my opinion. As of writing this article, I do not see any reports that McMillian is a confirmed go today. I would not be surprised if he tries to play, but I made this game 10 full points due to the absence or limitation of McMillian.
It will be interesting to see the minutes split of Florida’s frontcourt today. Condon will be active and all signs point to him not having limitations today from the ankle roll a few days ago. That is huge. I also think that Thomas Haugh has a very solid chance to lead that group in minutes again tonight. I think he is a perfect weapon to deploy against Darrion Williams. He was really able to frustrate Julian Reese and I think we see more of the same today. His lateral quickness and athleticism defensively is going to give Williams fits on the offensive end. I also think he will find success offensively with his constant movement.
Texas Tech ranks 242nd in shot selection per ShotQuality (promo code: SNIPER25). We saw that in live action against the Razorbacks last time out. I think it finally puts the nail in their coffin today. Florida will get theirs no matter how good you are defensively. Let’s lay it here and get our Gators to the Final Four. Best Bet.
Score Prediction: Florida 84 – Texas Tech 73
Alabama/Duke over 174 points (Ceasars) (8:49pm – TBS) +
I did not get the best number here due to crashing out over Calipari almost blowing our Best Bet, but I am still confident in what we have. These rims at the Prudential Center are lubed up and unscrewed to say the least. We saw 394 points (!!!) in the two games played at this arena in the Sweet 16. These rims carried Alabama to the all=time NCAA Tournament record for threes made in a game with damn near 8 minutes still left on the clock. With both of these offenses humming at full potential and forgiving rims, I am definitely going to be on the over.
I lean Duke on the spread as well. They are going to carve this Alabama defense. We saw a quiet Proctor performance from the game flow the other night, but don’t forget just how hot this man is from three at the moment.
The Blue Devils are going to be able to compete from the three point line. Alabama ranks 340th in allowing opponents high quality threes per ShotQuality. Proctor, Knueppel, Flagg, etc will be able to take advantage. That is the major edge in this matchup because Duke is flat out better in every other facet. Cooper Flagg’s excellence is continuing to grow game by game and that is mind blowing after the year he has already had. There is not a defender on the Tide that can check him. Alabama’s shot making in this arena is what has pushed me to the over as opposed to laying it with the Blue Devils though. I would not be surprised to see Alabama take an early lead and then just see the Duke train roll. Anyways, Let’s score some points.
Score Prediction: Duke 94 – Alabama 85
Player Prop Parlay: ALT Lines – Tyrese Proctor over 9.5 points x Chris Youngblood over 9.5 points (+100 at Caesars)
Back by popular demand from the success yesterday. Let’s hit another one! There will be plenty of points to go around in this game. I love the way both of these guys are shooting the three. I love the way that the Prudential Center rims are accepting the threes. Let’s make some threes.
Score Prediction: Proctor 15 points, Youngblood 13 points
———————————————————
3/29 – Race to 10’s (14-9 ; up 5.64 pizzas)
Florida -155 (Caesars)
Alabama +130 (Caesars)
———————————————————
If you would like to leave a thank you, the tip jar is below. Not required, always appreciated!
————————————
Best of luck! Let’s snipe!!
threepointsniper.com 