(photo: AL.com)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 136-107
Season Best Bet Record: 51-26
2/2 Card:
UAB PK
Towson +3
San Fran/Saint Mary’s o129.5
————————————
UAB PK : Best Bet of the night!! The big question mark tonight is Jelly Walker. He has tried to play as recently as the Rice game, but the pain has been too much for him to deal with when he goes through pre-game warm ups. I have seen that there was a slight improvement with him in Monday & Tuesday practice this week, so I would be shocked if he doesn’t try to give it a go tonight. Even 15-20 minutes would be a huge boost. However, I think the Blazers can get this done tonight without him. This team is littered with seniors, and they will be licking their chops to knock off ranked a FAU team in Birmingham. There is pride on the line here. This was UAB’s conference to lose in the preseason, and they currently find themselves 6-5 in a tie for 4th place. It is important to note that a lot of these shortcomings have come on the road. The Blazers are still 11-2 at Bartow Arena this year. Importantly, the Blazers have had senior leaders step up recently in the scoring department. Ledarrius Brewer finally had his breakout performance as a Blazer. He scored 20 points on 8-14 shooting from the field. KJ Buffen added 20 & 10 as well. Also, team is defending like we thought they could this year over the last two games. Andy Kennedy finally found the right dials to turn and this team is looking dangerous again. Grabbing the Blazers at PK last night was a gift, but I still condone taking them up to -2.5. The Blazers had FAU on the ropes in Boca and almost pulled off the road victory a few weeks ago. They will return the favor tonight, and put their name back in the longshot at-large discussion. This bet is HEAVILY Shot Quality approved. Their Value Finder shows the Blazers winning by 9.5 points tonight.
Score Prediction: UAB 76 – FAU 70
Towson +3 : This is a classic overreaction line. The entire nation saw Hofstra beat ranked CofC last weekend. The nation’s darling. It was an impressive performance and they are a solid team, but laying three points to Towson is absurd. I have Towson -4.5 on a neutral. They at worst should be a 1 point favorite tonight. I will gladly take the three points in what I think will be a close one. The pre-season conference favorite Tigers have won 6 in a row, including a 68-47 win over this same Hofstra team. Towson got out to a monster lead via the offensive glass and never looked back. I believe that winning the glass in that fashion is repeatable within a two weeks stretch against the same opponent. The Tigers should clean up on the glass one again tonight. Also, Cam Holden has been an absolute monster since his disciplinary suspension. He had a 24/10/10 triple-double last time out against W&M. Triple-doubles are rare in the college ranks, and I want my money with the guy who is in that form. Hofstra is 165 in defensive efficiency, and at the end of the day they still gave up 81 points to Charleston in that win. They will not be able to stop Towson, and the Tigers should get the road win.
Score Prediction: Towson 72 – Hofstra 70
San Francisco/Saint Mary’s o129.5 : These two backcourts are fantastic. Mahaney/Johnson & Shabazz/Roberts can create their own shots at any point of a shot clock. We know that Saint Mary’s likes to slow the pace, so it is helpful to have shot creators in the half court in regards to overs. This first matchup closed at 132.5 and it ended on 139. I have this one at 135.5 tonight. We actually saw the Gaels play with an elevated pace against the Dons in that game. The defense that San Francisco plays is detrimental to their chances of stopping Saint Mary’s. The freedom they give the opposing backcourt is a serious problem when you are facing the likes of Aidan Mahaney and Logan Johnson. To make matters worse, the Dons are the 232nd worst road defense in the country in regards to defensive efficiency. I think the Gaels will enjoy themselves on the offensive end tonight, and at minimum touch 70 points. The Dons will take care of the rest.
Score Prediction: Saint Mary’s 75 – San Francisco 61
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!
threepointsniper.com 