(photo: Elijah Hickman, California Baptist University Athletics)
February Record: 27-16
February Best Bet Record: 9-7
Boom!!! 3-1 card last night. We move to 27-16 for the month. Excellent way to jump back into things. Let’s keep it rolling with today’s card!
————————————
2/26 card :
————————————
Best of luck! Let’s snipe!!
(photo: Inside Nebraska)
February Record: 24-15
February Best Bet Record: 9-6
1-1 last night. Oklahoma cashed our Best Bet in a big way. The Wolfpack dropped a stinker. Four pack tonight. On the road until Monday. Will still give out picks, but write-ups are on pause until I get back.
————————————
2/25 card :
————————————
Best of luck! Let’s snipe!!
(photo: Sooner Sports)
February Record: 23-14
February Best Bet Record: 8-6
We are rolling into tonight feeling good about our 13-5 record last week. Our last three losses (two being Best Bets) were by the hook. It could have been even better! That’s the last of the victory lap though. Time to refocus and build out another great week. 0-0. Let’s bring home a winning night.
————————————
2/24 card :
————————————
Best of luck! Let’s snipe!!
(photo: Getty Images)
February Record: 17-12
February Best Bet Record: 7-5
Three more plays added to the initial early adds. Let’s have a day!!!
————————————
2/21 Early Adds (posted 2/20 4:30pm ET) :
————————————
2/21 Day-Of Adds (posted 2/21 11:55am):
————————————
Best of luck! Let’s snipe!!
(photo: Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images)
February Record: 17-11
February Best Bet Record: 7-4
BOOM!!!! Rolling into tonight on fire after a 3-0 sweep! 7-2 on the week and we ain’t stopping now. One play on the card for tonight with the short slate. 2/21 Early Adds coming this afternoon. Let’s snipe!
2/20 Card :
————————————
VCU/SLU over 163.5 : This number has been bet down a tad from the opener. I believe this an overreaction to how the first affair went. The total in that game closed at 171.5 (opened 168.5) and the game ended on 133. It was a very nervy 1H between the two A-10 title favorites in which we saw both teams missing wide open looks. SLU took a 30-22 lead into halftime. Only 52 points. The 2H was more true to form from how I see these teams matching up with 81 points scored. Shot Quality shows that the 1H was to blame for the total not even coming close to the closing number.
The Saint Louis offense continues to be one of the best in the country. The Billikens are 2nd in the country in effective FG%, 2nd in 3PT %, and 1st in average 2PA distance per KenPom. VCU’s offense continues to climb the ranks as well. They are now 44th in KenPom adjusted offensive efficiency. Their bread and butter is driving to the rim and finishing or getting fouled (sometimes both!). This will be the perfect Rim & 3 rate game that we need to get over this large total.
We will also need pace and subpar defensive performances to aid us tonight. I think we will see that. As I mentioned before, the possessions were there in the first matchup. Just a poor shooting start. We will get the pace we need with SLU pushing up-tempo at home, and VCU being happy to oblige. Both defenses are also due for regression per Shot Quality’s Regression Analysis. SLU is allowing 0.96 PPP and SQ expects it to be closer to 1.08. Pretty hefty jump there. Also, VCU is allowing 1.05 PP and SQ is expecting more like 1.09. I like seeing this pop up on the SQ Regression Analysis when I am eyeing an over.
Points, Points, Points! Let’s have a fun (& profitable) Friday night, gents.
Score Prediction: Saint Louis 88 – VCU 80
————————————
Best of luck! Let’s snipe!!
(photo: University of Texas Arlington Athletics)
February Record: 14-11
February Best Bet Record: 6-4
2/19 Card :
————————————
1-1 night on Wednesday. Despite a 39 point inferno from Andre Mills, Northwestern was still in position to cover late and just couldn’t close. The Zags picked us up in the nightcap. 4-2 on the week. Three pack today. Let’s snipe!
————————————
Best of luck! Let’s snipe!!
(photo: Henry Frieman)
February Record: 13-10
February Best Bet Record: 6-3
2/18 Card :
————————————
Northwestern -8 : Love this play tonight. You don’t often see a 10-16 team laying 8 points over a 10-15 opponent. It is justified (and then some) in this scenario.
Maryland’s defense is going to be the focus of this handicap. The Terps come into this game ranked 325th in the country in effective FG% allowed per KenPom. Putrid. It is easy to see why when you dive into the ShotQuality analytics. Maryland ranks 349th in the country in SQ Rim & 3 PPP allowed.
Northwestern is continuing to do the right things on offense despite their results. They are still running what Collins wants. That is important when backing a team with this record. The Wildcats rank 69th in KenPom adjusted offensive efficiency. A lot better than some would expect. Their ShotQuality profile also shows they have a perfect recipe to attack the many weaknesses of the Terps
I am expecting big performances from Nick Martinelli down the stretch at Welsh-Ryan. He has been a vital piece for the Wildcats in their best stretch of basketball in the history of their program. He is a winner. This year hasn’t gone as they had hoped, but this senior fights as hard as anyone in the country. Also, how can we not look back on last year and get positive vibes for tonight?!
Perhaps the most exciting finish last year for @NUMensBball was Nick Martinelli at the buzzer vs Maryland. pic.twitter.com/gJ9jRVkazy
— Ryan Lindley (@RLins12) February 11, 2026
We are laying the big number here. Best Bet.
Score Prediction: Northwestern 79 – Maryland 65
Gonzaga -13.5 : It’s Davis Fogle SZN.
Gonzaga is flying under the radar in the national picture, particularly after losing to Portland, but the emergence of Davis Fogle makes Mark Few’s regularly scheduled trip to the second weekend a near given.
— Riley Davis (@Riley_Davis3) February 11, 2026
Averaging 11.8 ppg and 4.5 rpg over his last 7 pic.twitter.com/T5U08Lb9El
Fogle continued his impressive stretch with another great performance in a massive road win over Santa Clara . His energetic burst in the 2H helped the Zags get over the hump and walk away with the victory. Listen, he is not Braden Huff. The absence of Huff will undoubtedly cause issues in March for the Zags, but Fogle has the ability to continue to contribute to winning in a weak WCC. Especially on the defensive end.
The Zags continue to be as good as it gets analytically. The college basketball community has jumped off of this team way too soon after the Portland loss. San Francisco is wobbling coming down the stretch. 2-5 straight up in their L7 with several blow out losses. I know they have been scheduling their Gonzaga games at the Chase Center since it opened for some extra $$$, but it has proven to be a horrible basketball decision. Gonzaga dominates USF in this arena every year, and the Zags won by 20 last year against a better Dons team that what they are facing today. These teams played a tightly contested game earlier this season. A 68-66 win for Gonzaga. However, ShotQuality had the result as 83-60. I think we see something similar today. A patented Gonzaga blowout victory propelled by the momentum from winning at Santa Clara over the weekend. I am laying the big number here.
Score Prediction: Gonzaga 82 – San Francisco 64
————————————
Best of luck! Let’s snipe!!
(photo: AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
February Record: 10-9
February Best Bet Record: 5-3
2/14 Card :
————————————
Houston/Iowa State was a beautiful palate cleanser after our Murray State melt on Sunday night. Ready to get back to it today. Profitable first week back. Time to build on it with a four pack today. Write-up coming tomorrow for Wednesday’s action!
————————————
Best of luck! Let’s snipe!!
(photo: Murray State University Athletics)
February Record: 10-8
February Best Bet Record: 5-2
2/15 Card :
————————————
Profitable first week back. Let’s end on a high note!
————————————
Best of luck! Let’s snipe!!
(photo: AP Photo/Mitch Alcala)
February Record: 6-4
February Best Bet Record: 3-1
2/14 Card :
————————————
This is the slate I have been working on the most when I decided to make our return on Tuesday. I am trusting the handicapping that I have put into today’s action, and I think we are going to have a MASSIVE day! Three wagers rise to the level of a Best Bet. First time in a long time we have had that! Excited to watch all of the action today. Let’s have a day, boys!
————————————
Best of luck! Let’s snipe!!
threepointsniper.com