12/12 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Albuquerque Journal)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 58-40

Season Best Bet Record: 23-10

12/12 Card:

Oral Roberts -2

Creighton -3

New Mexico/San Francisco u157

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Oral Roberts -2 : Give me Max Abmas over Darius McGhee in this big time mid-major showdown in the Mabee Center. The Golden Eagles are undefeated at home this year, and should have a big time home court advantage. I think Liberty could be in trouble on the glass tonight. They currently rank 130th in the country in allowing offensive rebounds to their opponents. They allow them on 25.2% of possessions. 7’5 Arkansas transfer, Connor Vanover, has rejuvenated his career with ORU. He is averaging 7.2 rpg this season, and I think he could be in line for some easy put-backs due to Liberty’s inability to hit the defensive glass. The Golden Eagles are also one of the more prolific three point shooting teams in the country. 116 makes in 10 games. Liberty plays a pack-line defense, so these threes will need to drop for us tonight. I trust Abmas to will us to a win.

Score Prediction: Oral Roberts 76 – Liberty 71

Creighton -3 : Creighton is being unfairly dragged online. That has caused the spread that we see tonight in the betting market. Yes, they looked poor defensively the other night against BYU. However, that was the first game without Kalkbrenner (assuming he is out again tonight – no word yet). Nothing can replicate game action attacking you without your defensive pillar. Suggesting that they will be horrific on that end of the floor again tonight is just a lazy take. Arthur Kaluma is a fantastic defender, and should be motivated to stay away from cheap fouls after fouling out the other night. Kaluma and the other Jays can utilize their new found pressure defense from the end of the BYU game to their advantage against a turnover prone Sun Devil team. ASU averages a turnover on 18.3% of their possessions. That ranks 158th in the country. Creighton seemingly had 1 million forced turnovers on BYU when they had to turn up the heat to get back into the game. I think they will use it at times today to account for the absence of Kalkbrenner if he is unable to go or not at 100%. The Jays have also finally started to find their three point stroke. They made 10 threes the other night. If they get hot, the Sun Devils can’t keep up. ASU have only 68 makes in 10 games from deep. McDermott can coach circles around Hurley. Give me Creighton.

Score Prediction: Creighton 77 – Arizona State 70

New Mexico/San Francisco u157 : Best Bet of the night. I have this total at 148. These teams can score at a high rate. They have shown that this season. New Mexico is averaging 85 ppg, and the Dons are averaging 75.8. However, I think that defense and pace are going to be major factors in bringing these two clubs below their season averages. The Lobos rank 58th in defensive efficiency, and San Fancisco ranks 69th. That is not necessarily “lock down”, but they also aren’t leaving wide open lanes to the rim like Louisville. Sorry for the ricochet, Cards. The point is that these teams compete on that end of the floor. That is what we need in a neutral site game where both teams will be working to find comfortability with the rims. Also, I think pace will play to our favor here. The Dons know that they are outmatched athletically. Also, they are aware that their sets and motion will be key to getting quality looks against a lengthy New Mexico defense. Their pace of play will be crucial to their success. They rank 96th in the country in pace, and I could see them trying to slow it down even more tonight. Lobos in a close one, and we slide under the total.

Score Prediction: New Mexico 76 – San Francisco 72

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

12/10 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: KSHB)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 53-35

Season Best Bet Record: 21-8

12/10 Card:

Wofford -5

UNC -7 1H

Mizzou +3

North Texas -3

UAB +6

Arizona -1.5

UTRGV -3

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Wofford -5 : Wofford finally got rid of the toxicity holding the program back over this past week. Coach Jay McAuley was forced into stepping away from the program after many of the players went to the AD with displeasure over how he was running the show. They followed up this news with an impressive 10 point win over Coastal. Wofford is an efficient offense and should simply outscore Georgia Southern here. The Eagles are only shooting 60% from the FT line, and 29% from distance. They have a 5-4 record, but three of those wins have come outside of D1 basketball and the other two are against two of the worst in D1, Houston Christian and Western Michigan (we will revisit these bozos later). Wofford has also battled on the road recently. Their last two road games were losses by 3 points each to Vandy and LSU. They will get their much needed first road win this afternoon.

Score Prediction: Wofford 72 – Georgia Southern 64

UNC -7 1H : The Tar Heels are finally returning home to the Dean Dome. The Heels have not seen the lights of the Smith Center since November 20th, and are coming off of four straight losses on the road/neutral sites. Georgia Tech is the perfect opponent to let out frustration with in a first half. The Jackets have played three tournament level teams so far in Iowa, Utah and Marquette. The Jackets were down 11, 13 and 8 in those contests at the break. It should be open sesame through the post for Bacot and Nance, and RJ Davis and Caleb Love are significantly better shooters in home games. The Heels will bust this one wide open early.

Score Prediction: 1H UNC 40 – Georgia Tech 29

Mizzou +3 : The first Best Bet of the day. Mizzou Arena is going to be an absolute mad house this afternoon. The Tigers are on an L7 to KU in this series, and got absolutely boat raced 102-65 last season. However, things are veryyyyyyyyy different this time around. Dennis Gates has already completely transformed the Missouri Basketball program with the transfer portal. The Tigers currently lead the nation with 93 points per game, and rank first in offensive efficiency. Efficient scoring paired with a hostile home crowd could be a special mixture for an upset today. Kansas ranks 52nd in offensive efficiency, and I worry that they could be up against several 8-0, 9-0, 10-0 runs today. This is a gut feel more than anything, but Vegas is also pointing to a Tigers victory. Dumb public money will be on KU -3 against a team that they always punish. Mizzou wins a close one.

Score Prediction: Mizzou 78 – Kansas 75

North Texas -3 : Jovan Blacksher is a game-time decision. If he happens to be out, getting the Mean Green at -3 is a steal. Even if he goes, I really like North Texas in this matchup. The total in this game is 112 (lol), but that is exactly what North Texas likes. They want to be physical and run your shot clock all of the way to zero. Also, Tylor Perry is finally feeling healthy and scored 22 points last time out against UT Arlington. He will be the difference maker in a close one.

Score Prediction: North Texas 59 – Grand Canyon 54

UAB +6 : What an opportunity for Andy Kennedy and the Blazers. With South Carolina having a horrific season, this is UAB’s last chance to get a quality non-conference win added to their resume. There is also an added revenge factor here. The Blazers were leading WVU throughout the entire game last year, before a late collapse in the final three minutes. I had this game at WVU -2.5, so I love the number where it is at. Jelly Walker is the best player on the court, and Jemison had a field day in the post last season against the Mountaineers. 8 offensive rebounds! Do not be shocked if UAB wins this one.

Score Prediction: West Virginia 76 – UAB 74

Arizona -1.5 : The second Best Bet of the day! The Wildcats are going to win this game by double digits. According to a tweet from Jordan Majewski, it is looking likely that Jalen Hood-Schifino will not be able to go today. Jordan is as plugged as it gets in the mystery world of CBB injuries. That is terrible news for the Hoosiers. His presence completely transformed the offense this season, and made Xavier Johnson a better player. However, Johnson has 13 turnovers and only 12 points in the last two games without JHS. He is completely reverting back to his old ways. He desperately needs another ball handler in the lineup with him. The tempo should be up in this one, and I can see Kriisa and Ramey just constantly picking the pocket and getting in the passing lanes from Xavier Johnson. Also, I think Indiana could really struggle with Oumar Ballo in the post. Indiana has springy defenders, but nobody to physically stop Ballo from getting where he wants. I don’t see a path to victory for Indiana today. Cats, big.

Score Prediction: Arizona 82 – Indiana 72

UTRGV -3 : THIRD BEST BET ALERT. As you guys know, I have only had one Best Bet per day this season. Sometimes none. However, I absolutely love these three today. I have to let you guys know when I am loving a play. Can we get to 2-0 ATS with the Vaqueros this season?! You’re damn right. Houston Christian is one of the worst teams in the country in my eyes. Their defense is absolutely horrific. They rank DEAD LAST in the country in defensive efficiency. Matt Figger (Frank Martin tree) will coach circles around Ron Cottrell in this one. Don’t let the Huskies’ offensive figures fool you. They are 0-7 in Division 1 games, and have not been competitive in a single one other than Western Michigan. We know my thoughts about them as well. Justin Johnson will be able to drive and get anywhere he wants tonight. He will push a 30 piece. Easy win for the Vaqueros.

Score Prediction: UTRGV 84 – Houston Christian 74

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

12/8 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: InForum)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 52-34

Season Best Bet Record: 20-8

12/8 Card:

Rutgers/Ohio State u137.5

Minnesota +5

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Rutgers/Ohio State u137.5 : Best Bet of the night. Finally back to our CLV ways. This is now sitting at 136.5 at most books. I have this game finishing at 130. Oddly enough, this game also ended on 130 last year. The only reason that the total even touched 130 in that affair was due to hot shooting by both teams. Ohio State shot 10/18 from the three point line, and Rutgers shot 53.2% from the field. Both were astronomically over their season averages. Pace of play will be our friend again tonight. Ohio State ranks 266nd in pace, and Rutgers ranks 125th. Rutgers’ number is skewed by non-con. They ranked 286th last year which is normal for a Pikiell coached team. I would imagine their pace will continue to drop in conference play just as it did in their win over Indiana. Both defenses are excelling this season. Rutgers ranks 4th in defensive efficiency, and Ohio State ranks 67th. Ohio State’s number will continue to climb after their brutal schedule to start the year. Lastly, it would be out of the norm for these teams to get hot from behind the arc to drive the total up. Ohio State ranks 262nd in the percentage of their points from three, and Rutgers comes in at 334th. Twos are our friend. Unders are always scary, but have to trust the data.

Score Prediction: Ohio State 68 – Rutgers 62

Minnesota +5 : It hit my number, so I had to jump on. I had this as Michigan -3 but did not want to get involved unless I had two points in value. We finally got that with the line movement this afternoon. However, it is now back down to 4.5. I would really try to target that 5 number if you are getting involved here. Having two free throws in your back pocket when down 3 late in a game is always useful. I would have Michigan as -6.5 on a neutral, but I am giving 3.5 points of value to The Barn. Comparatively, I find it very similar to Hilton Magic in Ames. Having a great homecourt on our side will be a huge factor in what will be a Big 10 opener for Michigan. We saw that as Rutgers completely wiped the floor with Indiana at The Rac. Michigan played 12/4 in London in a monster CBB showcase against UK. Not the quickest of turnarounds, but I definitely think this could be a let down spot. The trip also did not go as planned for the Wolverines. They lost their starting point guard for the season during the loss to Big Blue. That was already a position of concern for Michigan, so they will have to go with freshman Dug McDaniel to start. After McDaniel, it will probably be Buffkin and others playing out of position. That is great news for a Gophers team who will press ball handlers behind a hostile crowd. Pharrel Payne will be key in defending Hunter Dickinson tonight. He is a freshman that is coming off of two games against Purdue and Virginia Tech where he accumulated 7 blocks. They will need him and Dawson Garcia to at least put up a fight against Dickinson. The best news of all is that Minnesota now has Jamison Battle going. He started the season injured, but is now starting to find his form after scoring 21 against Purdue. Michigan had no clue how to stop him last season and he scored 27 points in route to a 10 point victory over the Wolverines in Ann Arbor. I like Minnesota to lose a close one here, and could potentially squeak out a win behind a big night from Battle.

Score Prediction: Michigan 70 – Minnesota 68

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

12/7 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: LINK nky)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 52-31

Season Best Bet Record: 20-7

12/7 Card:

VCU -8

BYU -9.5

Wazzou/NKU o126

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VCU -8 : Jacksonville’s physical approach can sometimes sneak up on teams in “step up” games, however that won’t fly against VCU. The Rams are as physical of a program as you will see in college basketball. You will not out tough them. Also, Jacksonville has a massive turnover issue this season. They rank 360th (out of 363) in the country in turnovers per possession at 24.7%. VCU currently ranks 9th in the country in turning over their opponents at 25.2% of possessions. Ace Baldwin is back in the mix and averages 4 steals per game himself. This is just a terrible matchup for Jacksonville. The Rams will let out some early season frustrations at the Siegel Center.

Score Prediction: VCU 68 – Jacksonville 55

BYU -9.5 : No CLV here, however this is the right play. I had this a BYU win by 12+, so I am happy with my number even though it is not the best out there. Definitely don’t want to make a habit of that though. I am guessing the steam towards Utah Valley is trending from their win over the Cougars last season, but news flash .. Fardaws Aimaq is in Lubbock, TX now. He was the reason that the Wolverines were able to upset BYU with a 24 & 22 performance. This is a great revenge spot for Mark Pope and the Cougs. He is a phenomenal coach and will definitely use this motivation angle prior to this one. Utah Valley is 0-3 on the road this season, and got blown out by Utah State and Boise State. Teams of similar caliber to BYU. BYU is starting to get really quality play from Dallin Hall. The freshman is averaging 12.7 ppg over the last three. He will need to continue this play while Johnson and Knell are out injured. Fousseyni Traore should be in line for a big night. Aziz Bandaogo is the only line of defense in the post for Utah Valley. I predict Traore’s phenomenal footwork will get him into foul trouble quickly.

Score Prediction: BYU 78 – Utah Valley 66

Wazzou/NKU o126 : Best Bet of the night. I had this game at 135, so we are getting 9 points of value. I believe there is a path for both teams to score tonight. Wazzou should be able to live in the paint and get kick out opportunities, and NKU should continue to score from the guard position. These teams are not elite defensively by any means. Washington State ranks 100th in defensive efficiency, and the Norse come in at 211. Wazzou has a home loss to Utah, but they have absolutely blown out inferior opponents in their other three home games. They averaged 87ppg in wins over Texas State, Detroit Mercy and Eastern Washington. NKU has also been packing an offensive punch recently. Marques Warrick is averaging 29ppg over his last three. Including a 45 point outing against Tennessee Tech in Double OT. He will absolutely get his again tonight. I think we easily sail over the 126.

Score Prediction: Washington State 73 – Northern Kentucky 62

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

12/6 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: 247 Sports)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 50-30

Season Best Bet Record: 19-7

12/6 Card:

James Madison +12

UGA +5

Texas -4

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James Madison +12 : Too many points in this inner-state battle. The Dukes will be very up for this one. James Madison is having one of their best starts to a season. They are third in the nation in points per game, and boast a 7-2 record. We know that they will not sniff their season ppg total due to UVA’s defense and pace of play, but I believe there is a path for them to keep this one close. That path starts with the three point line. You normally have to be exceptional from behind the arc to compete with UVA due to their exceptional pack-line defense. You are not going to be able to drive and get your normal paint work. The good news is that JMU is excelling from distance this season. The Dukes are shooting 42.2% on 81 makes in 9 games. With UVA daring them to shoot, I think they can hit close to 10 threes tonight. In a lower possession game I think that can keep us within the number.

Score Prediction: UVA 70 – JMU 62

UGA +5 : Best Bet of the night. Josh Pastner has really struggled in this series. He is 1-5 in his last 6 in this rivalry matchup. The concerning thing is that UGA has not had a competent coach on the other bench in any of them. Now, the Bulldogs are led by Mike White. While Mike White is not Dean Smith by any means, he is still a massive upgrade to Tom Crean and Mark Fox. Pastner has had the better team in the majority of these losses to UGA. That has me licking my chops for this line tonight, because I actually believe UGA has the better roster in this one. White dominated the mid-major level acquisitions of guards in the portal. McBride and Hill were major pieces to their team’s NCAA Tournament runs, and Terry Roberts is a pure scorer. The Bulldogs also just got Jailyn Ingram back in the fold. Ingram started playing college basketball in 2016. Yes, you read that right. 2016. This veteran forward brings a much needed “three and D” piece to this team. He ramped up to 20 minutes his last two outings, and we should see 25-30 tonight. He was 4/7 from distance in those games, and also recorded a steal in both. Mike White has brought his defense to Athens. The Bulldogs are ranked 30th in the country in defensive efficiency. That will cause issues for a Georgia Tech team that does not have a true facilitator. I think UGA can win this game outright tonight. I will gladly take the points for the Best Bet.

Score Prediction: UGA 65 – Georgia Tech 63

Texas -4 : Sorry to those who locked this one early with me. We normally crush CLV on almost every single early lock, but not with this one. However, if you missed the early lock .. I obviously heavily endorse the -2.5 right now. Normally, I would be concerned with line movement of this nature.. but I am not here. I still believe Illinois is being overvalued a tad in the market. We took them down with Maryland over the weekend, and I expect to do the same today. Texas is the best team in the country in my opinion. The Chris Beard defense has finally made its true arrival in Austin. The Longhorns rank 5th in defensive efficiency in the country. It would be even higher, but the Horns have already played Gonzaga and Creighton. Two of the better offenses in the country. The major improvement for Texas this season is on the offensive side of the ball. They rank 23rd in offensive efficiency after finishing 86th last season. This is largely due to the addition of Tyrese Hunter. He is continuing to prove he is one of the best PG’s in the country after winning Big 12 Freshman of the Year at Iowa State. His arrival has really helped the quality of shots that Texas takes. They are ranked 6th in the Shot Quality Adjusted Net Ranking. Illinois got punched in the mouth by Maryland. The Terps dominated the free throw attempts 18-8, and turned Illinois over 12 times. That does not bode well for the Illini against a Texas team that makes you feel their presence for 40 minutes. I had this at -6 on a neutral, so I will trust my number.

Score Prediction: Texas 74 – Illinois 67

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

12/1 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Daily Bruin)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 43-28

Season Best Bet Record: 16-6

12/1 Card:

Creighton +7

Wofford -13

UCLA -5

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Creighton +7 : Both of my preseason natty future tickets are squaring off tonight. That Texas ticket is looking great right about now. 30/1 for the #2 team in the country. The number tonight is simply too high. Yes, I watched what Texas did to Gonzaga in the Moody Center. We bet on it. However, we’ve seen that Gonzaga is not in elite form as of yet after their recent performances. Creighton packs a different punch than Gonzaga. Pure point guard play is critical when facing a Chris Beard defense. Ryan Nembhard is one of the better PG’s in the country, and I expect him to keep it close tonight. Creighton impressed with a gauntlet of a schedule in Maui. I like that they are tuned up to compete with top competition while heading into this matchup. They also should be fresh after having time off since the 23rd. I had this number as Texas -4. We will take the three points in value. 7 is also a key number. It allows two late game fouls without scoring if down 3. Should be a fantastic game.

Score Prediction: Texas 72 – Creighton 68

Wofford -13 : This is a longstanding Big Brother vs Little Brother matchup in the upstate of South Carolina. Wofford is 19-2 in the last 21 in this series, and currently on a W7. The games are never close. Little brother never gets let up for air. I expect another thrashing tonight at Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium. Presbyterian lost by 27 to Wofford at home last season. The Blue Hose’s leading scorer from that game has transferred out of the program. I do not see a path to victory for them tonight. Wofford is coming off of a close loss in Baton Rouge to a good LSU team, and this should really propel their season. They made 11 threes, and will continue the hot shooting tonight. The Terriers have 64 made threes in 7 games, and the Blue Hose have 39 makes in 8. This is the key metric that always determines the result of this matchup. Wofford made 12 last year, and Presbyterian made 1. BJ Mack and Messiah Jones should also dominate the post as veteran bigs. I am really impressed with freshman, Jackson Paveletzke. He is leading Wofford in scoring this season, and seemingly never takes a bad shot. He is averaging 16.9 ppg on 59.3% shooting. That is efficient as it gets for a guard. An almost unheard of field goal percentage. Wofford should get close to a 20 point victory tonight

Score Prediction: Wofford 75 – Presbyterian 58

UCLA -5 : This is my Best Bet. It looks like we will receive great CLV on this one. Already steamed up to -6.5. I had this number at -8. Stanford is in complete disarray on the offensive side of the ball. They currently sit 208th in offensive efficiency. In comparison, the Bruins are 15th. Also, I think UCLA can match them defensively. Especially, with the return of Jaylen Clark. He was back at practice this week, and should be full go after sitting out their last game with an illness. He can cause a lot of problems for Spencer Jones. He is considered by many to be an NBA-level defender. I am also loving the emergence of Amari Bailey. He is starting to flourish as a freshman, and is very productive in all aspects of the game. UCLA has lost both of their “step-ups” this season, and should be motivated to go make a statement at Maples. Without a strong home court advantage for the Cardinal, I like the Bruins to get a double digit victory tonight.

Score Prediction: UCLA 72 – Stanford 62

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

11/30 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: FGCU Athletics)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 41-27

Season Best Bet Record: 15-6

11/30 Card:

Toledo -4

Coastal Carolina -1

FGCU -5

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Toledo -4 : The Rockets are a wagon at the friendly confines of Savage Arena. The rims are very loose, and it is conducive to Toledo scoring an ass ton of points. In their first two home games this season, the Rockets have shot 22/46 from distance while scoring 98.5 ppg. They are ranked 13th in the country in offensive efficiency, and I think Richmond will have a hard time defensively against them. Richmond does have a size advantage, but are down a big man right now. Matt Grace is deemed as a GTD, but I am seeing that he is unlikely to play much if he is even activated at all. That is good news for an undersized Rockets team. We need Setric Millner to stay out of foul trouble and to compete on the boards, but I think the offensive attack of the Rockets takes over in this one.

Score Prediction: Toledo 77 – Richmond 70

Coastal Carolina -1 : Punching against the public in this one. The public bettors are taking a stab at UNCW for surface reasons. They remember their hot run at the end of last year and covering all of those games; paired with an upset win over North Texas for the Baha Mar Championship in the Bahamas. UNCW returned from that trip on Monday, and they are having to turn around quickly and play a road game on Wednesday. That is a major advantage for Coastal. They have remained in Myrtle Beach over the Thanksgiving holiday, and have had tons of time to prepare for this one. This will also be a game where Essam Mostafa can take over. He is 2nd in the nation in rebounds per game at 12.4. 4.2 of those are offensive rebounds. UNCW is 276th in the nation in allowing their opponents to gain offensive rebounds (30.4% of possessions), and their leading rebounder is only sitting at 4.4 per game. It should be a big night for Mostafa and the Chants. Coastal gets the home dub.

Score Prediction: Coastal 69 – UNCW 64

Florida Gulf Coast -5 : You may think that I am contradicting myself in playing a team that won their Feast Week tournament after just explaining why I didn’t like UNCW today, but there are valid reasons here. For starters, they hosted the tournament. No travel or distractions. Just winning basketball games. That is what this team is good at. It was important for Pat Chambers to right the ship after the embarrassing trip to Knoxville, and he certainly did that. This team has a perfect mixture to be competitive in every game they play. A great point guard in Purdue transfer, Isaiah Thompson. A pure scorer in Chase Johnston. Two productive bigs in Weir and Anderson. Lastly, the veteran do-it-all guard Caleb Catto. Georgia Southern has been pathetic against teams with a pulse this season. Their 4-3 record is very deceiving as they have played two D2 teams and also two of the worst teams in D1. They are shooting 26.8% from three, 45.3 from the field, and 62.6% from the line. These stats include their cupcake wins. FGCU has a major, major edge from distance in this game. They have 69 makes in 7 games from three, in comparison to 37 makes in 7 games for Georgia Southern. I had this spread at -9.5, so this is certainly my Best Bet.

Score Prediction: FGCU 75 – Georgia Southern 64

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

11/29 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Sports Illustrated)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 39-26

Season Best Bet Record: 14-6

11/29 Card:

Clemson/Penn State u134

Missouri -1

Michigan +4

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Clemson/Penn State u134 : I do not foresee a scenario where we sniff this number. Let’s jump into the numbers. Pace of play is going to be our friend in this one. Penn State comes in ranked 330th in pace, and Clemson is right there in the cellar at 332. There are only 363 Division 1 teams folks. These are not aberrations either. Clemson finished last year at 279, and Penn State at 350. There will be a lot of walking the ball up the floor and late shot clock scenarios. Both are in the upper quadrant in regards to defensive efficiency, and I think both defenses have a chance to excel here. Penn State is heavily reliant on jump shots, and that won’t fly in a hostile road environment against a good defense. Also, Clemson is still struggling on the offensive side of the ball while PJ Hall is getting back to full health. Perfect mixture for the under. I don’t like it enough to play it, but think Clemson wins a close one here if you want some extra action.

Score Prediction: Clemson 64 – Penn State 60

Missouri -1 : This is my Best Bet. I am really struggling to understand why Vegas opened this line basically near a PK. It has now been steamed up to -2.5 at most places. Missouri is an ELITE offense. They are currently averaging 93.3 points per game, and lead the country in assists at 23.1 per game. Think about that. More than Baylor, More than Arizona. Dennis Gates has also brought his defensive intensity from Cleveland State to Columbia. The Tigers also lead the nation in steals per game at 13.9. Next closest is Tennessee at 12.0. In comparison, Wichita State averages 8.5 assists per game, and 5.0 steals. I am not scared of a flukey hot shooting night from the Shockers because they have been downright dreadful in that regard as well. 26% from 3, and 41.9% from the field. My brain and analytics scream Missouri. Have to make it the Best Bet when both come together.

Score Prediction: Missouri 77 – Wichita State 67

Michigan +4 : Massive night for Juwan and the Wolverines. Admittedly, the season hasn’t started as hot as they would have hoped.. but this is a perfect spot for Michigan to get a win over #3 UVA and get the season rolling. There are a few key factors that I think could be in Michigan’s favor tonight. The glass. UVA beat Illinois and Baylor behind some hot shooting, but lost the battle on the offensive glass in both. Hunter Dickinson and Terrance Williams are tenacious on the boards and should get some easy put backs in a slower paced game. Touching back on UVA’s hot shooting. I think we see some regression to the mean in a hostile road environment. UVA is shooting 44.8% from three on the season. It is largely the same team from last year where they shot 32.2%. Michigan is not careless with the basketball, and shouldn’t fall into UVA’s defensive trap. I like the Wolverines to definitely cover the number, and probably to win. Sprinkle the ML.

Score Prediction: Michigan 63– UVA 61

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

11/28 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Pitt Athletics)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 38-24

Season Best Bet Record: 13-6

11/28 Card:

Arkansas/Troy o140

Pittsburgh +10

Sam Houston +4

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Arkansas/Troy o140 : Bud Walton Arena will be fired up for this one tonight. The Hogs are returning home after a very successful trip to Maui, and it is coming off of the heels of a bad end to the season for the football program. This fan base is now all-in on this electric basketball team. That should really fuel the pace in this game. Arkansas is already 18th in the country in possessions per game, so the added momentum from the crowd should keep the pace moving. Also, Troy has nobody that can guard Anthony Black. I really love this kid. He should be a Top 5 pick in the upcoming draft per my eyes. The 6’7 point guard can do it all on the court. The reason why I like the over instead of Arkansas here is I feel like the defensive efficiency could be a little sloppy after returning home from such a big Feast Week tournament. I see this game in the 13-15 point win range for Arkansas. -17 is too rich for my liking.

Score Prediction: Arkansas 81 – Troy 67

Pittsburgh +10: My oh my are we going to receive some nice CLV in this one. The line is already down to +7 across the majority of the books. This is my Best Bet of the night. I feel like the oddsmakers were not accounting for the return of John Hugley in this opening line. He is an absolute game changer for this team, and Northwestern really has nobody to deal with prominent post players following the exits of Pete Nance and Ryan Young. Hugley has quickly made an impact in limited minutes to start the year. 13ppg in 21 minutes per game. Also, Blake Hinson is really flourishing after transferring from Ole Miss. These two will cause a lot of issues for the Wildcats. Also, I just really love the backcourt that Capel brought in from the portal. Nelly Cummings and Greg Elliot are really good players. This line was way too high. It should be a 5 point affair either way. Pitt may even win.

Score Prediction: Northwestern 68 – Pitt 65

Sam Houston +4 : Defense travels. We will be rocking with one of the better defensive units in the country tonight. The Bearkats are 6th in the country in defensive efficiency, and 4th in points allowed at 48.3. You may be wondering about the competition that they have played, but it has actually been decently tough. They have already knocked off Oklahoma and Utah. The Bearkats are also scoring to go along with this defense. They are averaging 81.5ppg on 17 assists. I really, really like this team. They could add another upset under their belt tonight. Nevada’s lack of a true point guard will really hurt them against a potent defense.

Score Prediction: Sam Houston 64 – Nevada 63

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

11/23 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: The San Diego Union-Tribune)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 32-16-0

Season Best Bet Record: 10-4

11/23 Card:

Wisconsin +2

San Diego State PK

Vanderbilt +8.5

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Wisconsin +2 : I like this veteran Badger team in a low scoring affair. There are a few key metrics that I am looking at here. What are two major factors when deciding a winner in a low possession game? Second chance points and hitting big threes. Wisconsin is currently 6th in the country in not allowing their opponents to gain offensive rebounds. An edge on the glass will be crucial tonight. Also, Wisconsin has a major edge in three point percentage over Dayton – 38.5% to 29.5%. Tyler Wahl is a gamer, and don’t forget this team won the Maui Invitational last year. They don’t treat these Feast Week tournaments as a vacation. Badgers win in a close one.

Score Prediction: Wisconsin 65 – Dayton 61

San Diego State PK: The Arkansas rotation has to be gassed rolling into this one. The Mitchell brothers have played sparingly, and it has been their main five playing all of the minutes the last two days. Playing a third day in a row without a bench is no bueno. Especially, against a team that gets up in your ass with defensive pressure. The Aztecs have had heavy rotation and I imagine that they will be the livelier of the two sides tonight. Also, Arkansas appeared to treat the Creighton game as a championship. A lot of energy and emotion was used up. Can they get back up and defeat a fantastic Aztecs team with a short rotation? I don’t think so. This is my Best Bet. Aztecs by double digits.

Score Prediction: San Diego State 76 – Arkansas 64

Vanderbilt +8.5 : I like getting this many points in a game with lower possessions. There are a few factors that I believe are in the Commodores favor to keep this one close tonight. This is Saint Mary’s first road game. They have blasted their opponents on their home court, but will that travel? Vanderbilt has already traveled and had a huge win at Temple on their home court. Secondly, I like Vanderbilt’s size in this game. I think that Myles Stute and Liam Robbins could cause the Gaels a lot of trouble on the glass. Jerry Stackhouse is a fantastic coach, and that will come out in a slower paced game. Vandy keeps this one close throughout.

Score Prediction: Saint Marys 66 – Vanderbilt 61

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!