(photo: Albuquerque Journal)
I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!
Season Record: 58-40
Season Best Bet Record: 23-10
12/12 Card:
Oral Roberts -2
Creighton -3
New Mexico/San Francisco u157
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Oral Roberts -2 : Give me Max Abmas over Darius McGhee in this big time mid-major showdown in the Mabee Center. The Golden Eagles are undefeated at home this year, and should have a big time home court advantage. I think Liberty could be in trouble on the glass tonight. They currently rank 130th in the country in allowing offensive rebounds to their opponents. They allow them on 25.2% of possessions. 7’5 Arkansas transfer, Connor Vanover, has rejuvenated his career with ORU. He is averaging 7.2 rpg this season, and I think he could be in line for some easy put-backs due to Liberty’s inability to hit the defensive glass. The Golden Eagles are also one of the more prolific three point shooting teams in the country. 116 makes in 10 games. Liberty plays a pack-line defense, so these threes will need to drop for us tonight. I trust Abmas to will us to a win.
Score Prediction: Oral Roberts 76 – Liberty 71
Creighton -3 : Creighton is being unfairly dragged online. That has caused the spread that we see tonight in the betting market. Yes, they looked poor defensively the other night against BYU. However, that was the first game without Kalkbrenner (assuming he is out again tonight – no word yet). Nothing can replicate game action attacking you without your defensive pillar. Suggesting that they will be horrific on that end of the floor again tonight is just a lazy take. Arthur Kaluma is a fantastic defender, and should be motivated to stay away from cheap fouls after fouling out the other night. Kaluma and the other Jays can utilize their new found pressure defense from the end of the BYU game to their advantage against a turnover prone Sun Devil team. ASU averages a turnover on 18.3% of their possessions. That ranks 158th in the country. Creighton seemingly had 1 million forced turnovers on BYU when they had to turn up the heat to get back into the game. I think they will use it at times today to account for the absence of Kalkbrenner if he is unable to go or not at 100%. The Jays have also finally started to find their three point stroke. They made 10 threes the other night. If they get hot, the Sun Devils can’t keep up. ASU have only 68 makes in 10 games from deep. McDermott can coach circles around Hurley. Give me Creighton.
Score Prediction: Creighton 77 – Arizona State 70
New Mexico/San Francisco u157 : Best Bet of the night. I have this total at 148. These teams can score at a high rate. They have shown that this season. New Mexico is averaging 85 ppg, and the Dons are averaging 75.8. However, I think that defense and pace are going to be major factors in bringing these two clubs below their season averages. The Lobos rank 58th in defensive efficiency, and San Fancisco ranks 69th. That is not necessarily “lock down”, but they also aren’t leaving wide open lanes to the rim like Louisville. Sorry for the ricochet, Cards. The point is that these teams compete on that end of the floor. That is what we need in a neutral site game where both teams will be working to find comfortability with the rims. Also, I think pace will play to our favor here. The Dons know that they are outmatched athletically. Also, they are aware that their sets and motion will be key to getting quality looks against a lengthy New Mexico defense. Their pace of play will be crucial to their success. They rank 96th in the country in pace, and I could see them trying to slow it down even more tonight. Lobos in a close one, and we slide under the total.
Score Prediction: New Mexico 76 – San Francisco 72
Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!