3/29 NCAA Tournament Elite 8 Card

(photo: CBS Sports)

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Season Record: 272-201-6

3/29 Elite 8 Card:

Baylor 1H -4 / Baylor -7.5 / o148 : If you weren’t impressed by the comeback against Villanova in the Sweet 16, the Bears will show you why the National Championship game will feature the Zags and Baylor just like we all predicted at the beginning of the season. Arkansas is a great team, and you are no slouch if you reach the Elite 8. However, this is a terrible matchup for the Muss Bus and his guys. Baylor has rediscovered their early season magic of turning teams over. Villanova and Wisconsin ranked in the top 10 in the country in not turning the ball over, and the Bears forced 16 and 14 turnovers from those teams respectively. Baylor also only turned the ball over a combined 10 times in those two games. That turnover edge will show up big in the box score tonight against an Arkansas team that can play wild and have mental lapses quite often. Expect a lot of fast break points from Baylor, and for this 2nd half to turn into a track meet. Hell, we may even get a track meet in the first half as well. Baylor will gladly run with Arkansas. It is in Arkansas’ best interest to slow this game down, but we all know that they just cannot help themselves. They are 17th in the country in pace, and that just will not change tonight. Baylor is scoring 72.3 ppg in the tournament against teams that made an effort to slow the game down, so I expect them to get close to 90 tonight. Baylor big.

Score Prediction: Baylor 85 – Arkansas 72 (1H: Baylor 40 – Arkansas 32)

Houston 1H -4 / Oregon State +8 / o128.5 : Participating in a cardinal rule of gambling tonight by taking different sides for the 1H and game, but they are the right plays in my opinion. Listen, Houston is the better team. We all know this. However, we can’t just let that control the entire narrative of this game as the Beavers have proved us wrong time and time again. One key factor is really driving this Cinderella run for Oregon State – the free throw line. What is the only issue with Houston’s elite defense? – fouling. The free throw stripe will prove to be an equalizer as this game moves on through the 2H. Oregon State is shooting 86.5% from the stripe this tournament, and have attempted a whopping 55 free throws in their last two games. However, they have also allowed their opponents to shoot 62 free throws in those two games. Oklahoma State & Loyola Chicago just did not cash in with high percentages. Houston has struggled from the stripe recently, so this may be another edge for Oregon State. I love the volume of free throws to also get us over the total. I don’t expect a ton of threes in this game, but those shots from the stripe will loom large on the total. Houston will come out hot with energy in this game, but fouls will catch up with them later in the contest and bring this inside of the number.

Score Prediction: Houston 69 – Oregon State 64 (1H: Houston 34 – Oregon State 28)

2021 NCAA Tournament 3/22 Second Round Card

(photo: University of Iowa Athletics)

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Season Record: 261-191-6

3/21 Second Round Card:

Iowa 1H -2.5 & o148 : The Hawkeyes looked really impressive early in their opening round game with Grand Canyon. If you remember, we cashed in on a 1H play. We are going to do so again today. We know Iowa loves a hot start, and this will be Oregon’s first tournament action following their first round cancellation due to VCU having to bow out from Covid issues. The bright lights caused many 1H unders to hit in the first round of this tournament, so I believe Oregon will come out a little shaky just like most ball clubs did. I also love the over here due to the outside shooting ability from both teams, and also both teams inability to guard the 3 point line.

Score Prediction: Iowa 80 – Oregon 76 (1H: Iowa 38 – Oregon 32)

Gonzaga / OU u155 : We are going back to the well here as well. There is a lot of value in fading the public’s desire to bet Gonzaga overs. Obviously they are going to get their points, but will OU without Harmon? Also, I expect Lon to really slow this game down. He has no prayer to stay competitive in a track meet. I lean Gonzaga on the spread, but I did not feel confident laying the 14.5.

Score Prediction: Gonzaga 80 – OU 65

UCLA -4.5 : I am not sure what the hell Texas did in their 2H against ACU, but you cannot lose to a 14 seed that shot 29.9% from the field and 16.7% from distance. UCLA won’t make that mistake. Why? Mick Cronin. Mick is lightyears better than Shaka and will take advantage of ACU’s ability to score. Johnny Juzang is having a big time tournament and I expect this to continue. UCLA will finish off the Cinderalla run for ACU tonight.

Score Prediction: UCLA 70 – ACU 62

Creighton -4.5 : I really like this spot for Creighton. As you know, I have a Sweet 16 future out with them. I knew this matchup was coming as well. Had Ohio beating UVA all of the way. I expect a big night from Chris Bishop. He has more athleticism than anyone that the Bobcats can bring to the table. Look for Zegarowski and Ballock to have eyes on him all night for a backdoor lob. This could be a game for a while, but Creighton will cover after Ohio is forced to foul late.

Score Prediction: Creighton 78 – Ohio 70

LSU +6 : This team is hot, hot, hot right now. Cannot believe we were able to grab this number. Hopefully, it has not slid back down to the 5.5 – 5 area by the time you read this.. but I like LSU all of the way to +4. I think Michigan will find it really hard to guard Trendon Watford in this game. He is a matchup nightmare for their personnel. If Thomas and Smart have big games, LSU could even win this one..

Score Prediction: Michigan 74 – LSU 72

FSU ML -120 : The Pac 12 is getting a lot of love right now. Maybe rightfully so. However, I love the matchup nightmare that FSU presents to Colorado tonight. The length and versatility of FSU could cause problems for Battey down low, and McKinley Wright will be guarding a backcourt with 5+ inches on him across the board. FSU is the more athletic team, and the better coached team. Leonard Hamilton gets the Seminoles back to the Sweet 16.

Score Prediction: FSU 72 – Colorado 67

Alabama 1H -3.5 & -6 : I am very, very confident in the Tide today. The reason? The three point line. If Alabama gets hot from deep, which they normally do, Maryland has no prayer of keeping this remotely close. They are dreadful from three point line as a ball club. Also, Maryland was lucky to make it out of the first round alive when you take a deep dive into the box score. They got outrebounded 18 to 2 on the offensive glass! Alabama is too good, and will take advantage of the things that UConn could not.

Score Prediction: Alabama 75 – Maryland 62 (1H: Alabama 36 – Maryland 28)

Kansas +2 : Do not sleep on Bill Self this time of the year. While this is not one of his most talented teams, there are still pieces present to beat Southern Cal. Especially, with the news that Jalen Wilson was joining the Jayhawks in Indianapolis. I had Southern Cal advancing in this game without him, but he is the difference maker for me. I think McCormick and Wilson as a tandem can compete with the Mobley brothers, and I give an edge to the Jayhawks in the backcourt. Bill Self will join Jay Wright in the Sweet 16 in “down years”

Score Prediction: Kansas 68 – USC 65

2021 NCAA Tournament 3/21 Second Round Card

(photo: Gator Sports)

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Season Record: 258-186-6

3/21 Second Round Card:

Illinois/Loyola o132.5

Baylor -5.5 *

WVU -3 *

TTU/Arkansas o140

Rutgers +9 *

Oral Roberts +9 *

North Texas +7

Oklahoma State -5.5

*’s were handed out yesterday. No write-ups today. Blame the hangover…. again.

2021 NCAA Tournament 3/20 First Round Card

(photo: The Post Athens)

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Season Record: 248-181-6

3/20 First Round Card:

Georgetown +6

UNCG +11

EWU +10.5

LSU ML

Texas So. +26

Creighton -6 *

Iona +17

Drake +7

Iowa 1H -7.5

UConn -2 *

Ohio +9 *

Mizzou ML

Zags u155

UCLA +4

Texas 1H -4

Oregon -5

*’s were handed out earlier this week. No write-ups today. Blame the hangover

2021 NCAA Tournament 3/19 First Round Card

(photo: NCAA.com)

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Season Record: 235-168-6

3/19 First Round Card:

Virginia Tech +1 (gave early)

Arkansas -8

Illinois/Drexel o143

Texas Tech -4 (gave early)

Oral Roberts +17 (gave early)

Baylor -25

Georgia Tech / Loyola o124

Tennessee / Oregon State u131.5

Oklahoma State / Liberty o139

Houston -11 1H

UNC -1.5 (gave early)

Purdue -7 (gave early)

Rutgers -1 (gave early)

San Diego State -2.5

WVU / Morehead State o137

Winthrop +6 (gave early)

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Virginia Tech +1 : This team gets up for a big game. Mike Young’s Hokies are 4-0 against Top 25 opponents. He won ACC Coach of the Year, and has this Hokies squad performing quicker than people thought after his move from Wofford. This play is based on what we saw from them against UNC. After two weeks off, they took the Heels to the brink in the ACC Tournament. UF has been on a decline in recent weeks, so we will hope that the return to action will have the Hokies even more dialed in for this first round match-up. VT also ranks higher in adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency. As I said, they love a big game!

Score Prediction: Virginia Tech 69 – Florida 65

Arkansas -8 : Colgate is the analytic darling coming into the tournament this season. There is just one problem. 12 of their 14 wins came from BU, Holy Cross and Army. They were able to run the score up quickly on these inferior sides, and really juiced their offensive ratings. They are very stuck in their way of getting up and down the court with pace, and this will hurt them against the Muss Bus. They do not have the athletes or ability to run with Arkansas and keep them under 80 points. I was tempted to take the over here, but feel more confident in backing Moses Moody and the Razorbacks.

Score Prediction: Arkansas 84 – Colgate 72

Illinois/Drexel o143 : Not sure how much Illinois will be interested in keeping the foot on the gas for the entirety of this one. Or, how much fire we will even see from them at all. They just won the grueling Big 10 Championship, and this may be a nice way to stay in form on the court while also getting rest for the key contributors. However, Drexel have no way of stopping anyone in the rotation from Illinois, and Drexel will grab some garbage time points in this one I would imagine. That is why I lean the over rather than the spread.

Score Prediction: Illinois 85 – Drexel 64

Texas Tech -4 : No analytical approach here. This is just trusting in the competition level of the Big 12. Texas Tech is one of the more talented 6 seeds that I have seen in recent memory in the tournament. Their defensive competitiveness and athleticism will really bother Utah State. The Aggies also struggled to score earlier in the season against competitive defenses like VCU and BYU. I think we will see more of that on Friday. Comfortable win for Chris Beard.

Score Prediction: Texas Tech 70 – Utah State 63 

Oral Roberts +17 : I was surprised to see this spread, and we will actually get some CLV here from when we locked it in. If you have been following my account, we have cashed on the Golden Eagles many times this season. Including every single game of the Summit tournament. I will sound like a broken record again, but Max Abmas and Kevin Obanor could play anywhere in the country. They are also starting to get monster contributions from outside shooter Kareem Thompson. This team is NUMBER ONE in the country in free throw percentage at 82.4%, and they shoot the three ball at 39%. This team will score enough to cover the 17. Love this play!

Score Prediction: Ohio State 83 – Oral Roberts 70

Baylor -25 : Assault.

Score Prediction: Baylor 90 – Hartford 58

Georgia Tech / Loyola Chi o124 : The absence of Moses Wright would scare most from the over, but it actually opens up a great play in my opinion. Georgia Tech will have no resistance for Krutwig down low. There is no competent replacement for Moses Wright. This will also change the game plan for Josh Pastner. Devoe, Usher, Parham and Alvarado will have a constant green light from distance. I think Georgia Tech’s threes, paired with Loyola eating down low will get us over the number. I think the spread for the game is right on the number. Wouldn’t touch it with a 10ft pole.

Score Prediction: Loyola 67 – Georgia Tech 61

Tennessee / Oregon State u131.5 : I don’t trust Tennessee to cover a near double digit spread, but I also don’t trust Oregon State to score. So, we will take the under. Tennessee is a Top 10 adjusted defensive efficiency team, and Oregon State rates outside of the Top 100 in offensive efficiency. The miracle run will end on Friday, and it will end in ugly fashion.

Score Prediction: Tennessee 67 – Oregon State 58

Oklahoma State / Liberty o139 : This will be a fun game to watch. While I think Ok State will likely cover, I think the better edge is the over. Oklahoma State will overwhelm Liberty in the paint and on the glass, and Cade Cunningham will be able to do whatever he wants. However, don’t completely sleep on Liberty. While defensively they won’t be able to hang in this game, I believe their 7th rated offense will travel. They shoot 78% from the stripe, 39% from 3, and average under 9 turnovers a game. Even if this one gets away from them, I think they will get us some garbage time points.

Score Prediction: Oklahoma State 78 – Liberty 68

Houston 1H -11 : The Cougars will be waaaaay too much to handle for Cleveland State. I believe Quentin Grimes can get a quick 30 points in this one. This will be a wrap by halftime.

Score Prediction: 1H Houston 42 – Cleveland State 27

UNC -1.5 : Rebounding. Rebounding. Rebounding. Micah Potter and Nate Reuvers are too soft to keep the best offensive rebounding team in America off of the glass. In a loss to Michigan earlier this season, the two Badgers post players combined for zero rebounds. Zero. They don’t have the competitive edge or physicality to not get abused in this one. While I like the Wisconsin guards more, the 2nd chance points will be a big deal in this one.

Score Prediction: UNC 72 – Wisconsin 69

Purdue -7 : This team is rounding into form at the right time. They are efficient on both sides of the ball, and Trevion Williams is in straight beast mode at the moment. The Boilermakers have a nice balance of experience and youth. While they have Williams, Hunter and Stefanovic leading the team, they also have four newcomers that have won Big 10 Freshman of the Week honors. Matt Painter always finds a way to get his group to the Sweet 16, and I think they will get out of this one with a 10 point victory.

Score Prediction: Purdue 69 – North Texas 59

Rutgers -1 : This play is simple. I think Clemson is the worst team to make the field that was not an automatic qualifier. Their defense is overrated in my opinion, and their offense is anemic. If you watched their performance against a Miami side that had 6 healthy scholarship players last week, then you are probably right here with me on this one.

Score Prediction: Rutgers 66 – Clemson 60

San Diego State -2.5 : The toughness of the Aztecs will cause problems for the Syracuse backcourt. They will not have the space they had in the ACC Tournament to let the three ball carry them through this game. Also, Dolezaj may struggle to find effectiveness in this one. If he gets in foul trouble, this might get ugly. I know I am in the minority here, but I don’t get the Syracuse hype…

Score Prediction: San Diego State 70 – Syracuse 64

West Virginia / Morehead St. o137 : There will be a tonnn of points scored in this game. Mostly by the Mountaineers. While I think WVU covers the number easily, the easier edge is in the total. The Eagles have many ways to score with the inside presence of Broome, and the outside shooting of Cooper and Potter. However, this team is one of the worst in the country in protecting the ball. 15.3 turnovers per game. “Press Virginia” will feast on this and have double digit fast break points. We will easily go over the number here.

Score Prediction: WVU 82 – Morehead State 65

Winthrop +6 : I believe that Jay Wright figures out how to win this game, but Winthrop will give Nova a scare. Chandler Vaudrin is one of the best players you have probably never heard of, and this is a really efficient team on both sides of the ball. As we have seen, Nova has really struggled with the injury of Gillespie. There is no true back-up point guard replacement to run the flow of the offense. In the end, Robinson-Earl and Samuels will be too much for the Eagles, but this will be a one or two possession game.

Score Prediction: Villanova 73 – Winthrop 68

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

2021 NCAA Tournament First Four Write-Up

(photo: The Salt Lake Tribune)

The best time of the year is here! This is your new home for March Madness betting previews. Please follow/like/subscribe if you are sniping with us!

Season Record: 235-168-6

3/18 First Four Card:

Texas Southern Pick’Em

Wichita State Pick’Em

App State -2.5

Michigan State -1.5

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Texas Southern Pick’Em : What an impressive finish to the season it was for the Tigers. Knocking off two previously undefeated SWAC teams, Jackson State and Prairie View A&M, on their way to the conference title. While these were upsets and a bit shocking, Texas Southern is no slouch. They rank 34th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency, and also are in the top tier of offensive rebounding teams in the country. In a close battle between 16 seeds in the First Four, we will hope that these statistics will be put to good use and that we come out with a W!

Score Prediction: Texas Southern 67 – Mount St. Mary’s 65

Wichita State Pick’Em : It was just reported that ShanQuan Hemphill is expected to play for Drake in this matchup. While this may have casual bettors running to the books to back the Bulldogs, I am going the other way. Inserting Hemphill back into the lineup after Drake has already been playing without him and Roman Penn for the last month is not a recipe for success during the tournament. While they didn’t have the option, playing Hemphill in a few games before the tournament could have reacclimated him into the rotation with time for everyone to get comfortable. Too many things will have to go right for that to be a success. Also, if you follow me you know my appreciation for Tyson Etienne for Wichita State. This do-it-all point guard is exactly the type of player you want leading your team into the big dance. He has proven that he can will them to a win over Top 10 Houston, and this Drake squad without Roman Penn will be no match. Give me the Shockers!

Score Prediction: Wichita State 71 – Drake 68

Appalachian State -2.5 : Faaaaade the MEAC. This is my favorite play of the night. I think the level of basketball this season in the MEAC was very below average from normal years. No matter who won this conference tournament, the team would have been a fade for me in a First Four matchup. Also, App State went through a lengthy Covid pause during the middle of the season, and came out of the other side stronger. The have won 5 out of their last 6 games, and stormed through a decent Sun Belt conference tournament in order to be playing on Thursday night. There is one player to keep your eye on for the Mountaineers. Senior, Michael Almonacy, is playing the best basketball of his career. He averaged 21.8 points and 6.5 boards in the four game conference championship run. This included shooting 20/39 from distance. Norfolk State will be playing catch up quickly if Almonacy stays on fire.

Score Prediction: App State 70 – Norfolk State 63

Michigan State -1.5 : This will be a very public play, but it is the right play. Tom Izzo is not someone to fade in March. Outside of the Maryland performance, Sparty has been playing great basketball. I like Mick Cronin and the guards for the UCLA, but the absences of Chris Smith and Jalen Hill will loom large again in this one. UCLA has lost four in a row, and it is mostly attributed to getting dominated down low. Cody Riley is the last line of defense in the post from the players we expected to get a lot of minutes at the beginning of this season. If he gets in foul trouble, the Bruins are down to Mac Etienne who is a 6’9 215lbs-ish freshman that should not have gotten thrown into this much action this season. I am sure he will be a fine player in the future, but he definitely needs some time in the system. Even if Riley is able to stay out of foul trouble, the offensive glass will be dominated by the Spartans if the Bruins roll with their standard 4 guard lineup. Sparty loves to attack the rim, and they will wear down an undermanned Bruins side in this one. UCLA might lead early, but Tom Izzo will move on in the end.

Score Prediction: Michigan State 71 – UCLA 66 

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

3/10 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Bucknell Athletics)

I will do my best to provide a daily three ball of picks for all of you snipers out there. The goal is a 2-1 night, with some 3-0’s sprinkled occasionally. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little three ball parlay!

Season Record: 215-158-6

3/10 Three Ball:

Syracuse -2

Louisville +3

Bucknell +12

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Syracuse -2 : I really love the Orange to make a run in this tournament. I think they win tonight, and will give UVA a real battle in the quarters. Syracuse is just not a great matchup for NC State. The Pack shot 20-24 from the line in their meeting with Cuse in the Carrier Dome last month, and still lost the game by 9 points. Jim Boeheim is a tournament wizard, and I trust him not to go home in the first round while his team is hovering around the bubble. Boeheim, Griffin and Guerrier are playing great basketball right now, and I expect the 2-3 zone to cause problems for the Wolfpack like it has earlier in the season. Cuse wins this one by two possessions or more.

Score Prediction: Syracuse 74 – NC State 69

Louisville +3 : Everyone and their uncle will be on Duke today. Vegas knows that, and they are taking advantage of it by making Duke a 3 point favorite. The casual betters will take Duke on a one possession spread. However, Louisville really should be favored here. Duke really gave this team their best punch in a OT loss at Cameron. Matthew Hurt had 37 points for heavens sakes. I trust Carlik Jones to carry Louisville to a win today, and I trust my gambling knowledge on fading the public.

Score Prediction: Louisville 71 – Duke 69

Bucknell +12 : This line is out of touch. It got bet down overnight, but I will still take it at +12. I would probably take it at +10 if you are reading this late. Colgate looks great on KenPom and have a 12-1 record. However, that record is comprised of beating the same three teams 12 times. It is a little misleading. Also, Bucknell is 5-0 straight up and ATS with John Meeks in the lineup. He is healthy and ready to go today. He is averaging 25.8ppg through those 5 contests, and I expect a big outing from him tonight. Colgate will get the W, but John Meeks will end the season 6-0 ATS.

Score Prediction: Colgate 79 – Bucknell 71

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

3/9 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: McNeese State University)

I will do my best to provide a daily three ball of picks for all of you snipers out there. The goal is a 2-1 night, with some 3-0’s sprinkled occasionally. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little three ball parlay!

Season Record: 214-153-6

3/9 Card:

McNeese State -2.5

McNeese State o145.5

Notre Dame 1H -4.5

Oral Roberts +2

Gonzaga 1H -7.5

Gonzaga 1H -13.5

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McNeese State -2.5 & o145.5 : McNeese State is a team with sneaky good metrics. They rank 40th in the nation in team assists per game. That is damn good for a team out of the Southland Conference. They also shoot 50% from the field, and 39% from distance. These metrics will lead to an offensive explosion tonight against a SE Louisiana team that allows 78 points per game. McNeese scored 95 & 88 in the two matchups earlier this season, and they should push the mid-high 80s again tonight. KeyShawn Feazell is a 6’9 Mississippi State transfer that has averaged a double-double down low this season. Working an inside-out game with him and the surrounding shooters will be a recipe for success. SE Louisiana will get their points as well. Both teams are in the top 100 in pace. We should see a McNeese State cover paired with an over.

Score Prediction: McNeese State 85 – SE Louisiana 77

Notre Dame 1H -4.5 : Mike Brey time! Since joining the ACC, Notre Dame has been a thorn in the sides of the perennial powers in the ACC Tournament. Brey knows how to get the best out of his guys during tournament season. This year, the Fighting Irish will need to win the conference tournament to have a chance at the big dance. They should come out fiery with confidence after their Senior Day performance against FSU. They outclass Wake Forest in every facet of the game. We will go with the 1H to avoid some late game heroics by Wake Forest to try to save their season.

Score Prediction: 1H Notre Dame 36 – Wake Forest 29

Oral Roberts +2 : We have bet the Golden Eagles all season long, and we are going to do it again tonight! They have been so good to us, and I really love the matchup tonight against NDSU. Oral Roberts is a fast paced team that can straight up bomb it from three. The Golden Eagles are shooting it at 39% from distance with some serious volume. NDSU does not have an outside threat, and can really struggle to score at times. Oral Roberts will definitely get hurt inside, but if Obanor stays out of foul trouble.. the Golden Eagles win this game. We all know what Max Abmas brings to the table, but Kareem Thompson has really stepped up into another scoring threat from the guard position. He is shooting 43% from distance, and had 22 points against SDSU in the semis. Let’s get our boys to the big dance!

Score Prediction: Oral Roberts 74 – NDSU 70

Gonzaga -7.5 / -13.5 : I am not sure why they are not pushing this spread closer to 20, but I will take advantage of it. This team is historic folks. I have been telling you this since Week 1 of the season. They are balanced in every area with elite talent. BYU is no match for them. Especially, with their feet firmly planted into the tournament field without needing an automatic bid. If BYU needed this one to get into the tournament, then sure I would be a little hesitant. However, this should be the third beat down of the season. The Zags led by 30 and 22 late in the previous matchups, and we should see something similar tonight. If you were worried about Gonzaga not taking the WCC Tournament serious, they proved you wrong last night. They smoked Saint Mary’s wire-to-wire. We will see as similar display tonight.

Score Prediction: Gonzaga 85 – BYU 67 (42-30 at half)

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

3/8 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Hofstra University Athletics)

I will do my best to provide a daily three ball of picks for all of you snipers out there. The goal is a 2-1 night, with some 3-0’s sprinkled occasionally. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little three ball parlay!

Season Record: 210-152-6

3/8 Starting Five:

Hofstra -4.5

Oral Roberts +5.5

UNCG -4.5

NDSU -2.5

Pepperdine +9

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Hofstra -4.5 : Jalen. Ray. That is all that you need to know. We are riding the Ray train for the 2nd day in a row in the CAA Championship. Ray could easily go for 30 tonight, and we have Tareq Coburn to supplement the scoring. The guard tandem is the best in the CAA in my opinion. Also, Elon is undersized. Isaac Kante averages 10.3 rebounds per game on the season, and should eat on the boards against a team that has guards leading their rebounding attack. To pair with being undersized, Elon does not shoot (41.3% FG / 32.7% 3point) or assist (10.9/game) the ball well at all. I feel good laying the 4.5 points here.

Score Prediction: Hofstra 74 – Elon 66

Oral Roberts +5.5 : I’m going to take 5.5 points with the Golden Eagles any time that you will give them to me in the Summit. As I have said many times before, Max Abmas and Kevin Obanor could get big time minutes at any program in the country. That is not even up for debate anymore. Oral Roberts split the season series with SDSU, but there was a glaring standout in the box score. Abmas lit them up for 42 in the first game, and 30 in the 2nd. If not for some Obanor foul trouble, Oral may have swept the season series. Give me the Golden Eagles and 5.5 points tonight.

Score Prediction: Oral Roberts 81 – SDSU 78

UNCG -4.5 : Mercer has been an incredible story through the SoCon Tournament on their way to this championship birth. However, four games in four days will come back to bite them against the Spartans. Wes Miller’s high intensity press with Isaiah Miller at the point will wear down the Bears by the 2H of this one. The Spartans are the class of the SoCon in recent years, and will earn another NCAA Tournament birth. Watch for Wes Miller’s name in the upcoming “high-major” coaching searches.

Score Prediction: UNCG 74 – Mercer 65

NDSU -2.5 : I had high hopes for South Dakota a few weeks ago, but the injury to A.J. Plitzuweit will be too much to overcome against the Bison. The season series was split, but NDSU won the game without A.J. in the lineup for the Coyotes. There is also a glaring stat from both matchups that I want to be on the right side of. NDSU won the offensive glass 22 to 5 over both contests. Mercy.

Score Prediction: NDSU 72 – South Dakota 67

Pepperdine +9 : Riding the Waves for one last time this season. I hope that is not the case, but I think they will lose a close one tonight. However, all we need them to do is cover 9 points. The spread is way out of line in my opinion. I would have thought it would be -4 to -5 in BYU’s favor. The season series was split, but Pepperdine shot 28% in their loss and it was only by 9 points. Colbey Ross, Kessler Edwards, Sedrick Altman and Jan Zidek are good enough to win this game, but they will certainly keep us in it. Ride the wave!

Score Prediction: BYU 74 – Pepperdine 70

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

3/5 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: The Denver Post)

I will do my best to provide a daily three ball of picks for all of you snipers out there. The goal is a 2-1 night, with some 3-0’s sprinkled occasionally. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little three ball parlay!

Season Record: 194-143-6

3/5 Three Ball:

Colorado State -1

San Francisco -1

Morehead State -1

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Colorado State -1 : Colorado State is the better team, however there are also other factors pointing to the Rams tonight. Nevada’s Zane Meeks has been dealing with a knee injury over the last half of the season. The Wolfpack are 1-4 without Meeks in the lineup. With Nevada being locked into the 5 seed in the Mountain West tournament regardless of win/loss, I highly doubt that they will rush him back tonight in a meaningless game. Colorado State is still playing for a Mountain West title, and should be playing with a desire tonight. David Roddy and Isaiah Stevens are the real deal, and will carry the Rams to a victory.

Score Prediction: Colorado State 74 – Nevada 67

San Francisco -1 : Going with the Dayton logic from yesterday. Better coach, better star player. Todd Golden has had a tough task in getting this team refocused for this tournament after their end of the season slide, but he is one of the best up and coming coaches in the business and he certainly did that last night. Jamaree Bouyea led the Dons in scoring, and looks like he is in postseason form. The Dons lost the matchups earlier this season to LMU, but the Lions turned the ball over 20+ times in both affairs. That will likely happen again tonight, and you just cannot win three games against a quality opponent while turning over the ball that much. Bouyea and Shabazz should provide enough offense for the Dons to squeak this one out.

Score Prediction: San Francisco 70 – LMU 67

Morehead State -1 : Yep, back to the well against EKU! Ha .. We should have covered against them last night, but we will get our revenge with the Eagles. OVC Coach of the Year, Preston Spradlin, has this team rolling. They have only lost once since Christmas, and they recently avenged that loss to Belmont. They play the best defense in the conference, and Johni Broome has been superb on his way to Freshman of the Year in the conference honors. Last nugget, this is another game that will start around 11pm ET for an EKU team that resides in the eastern time zone. Going to bed around 3am-4am, and then playing a game the next night around the same time has to throw off their game in some sort of fashion. Maybe not, but I love having that in our pocket.

Score Prediction: Morehead State 74 – EKU 66

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!