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2/9 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Texas Athletics)

I will do my best to provide a daily three ball of picks for all of you snipers out there. The goal is a 2-1 night, with some 3-0’s sprinkled occasionally. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little three ball parlay!

Season Record: 128-97-5

2/9 Four Point Play:

Georgia State / South Alabama o143

Texas tto 72.5 / -13.5

West Virginia +6

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Georgia State / South Alabama o143 : The pace will be dictated by the home team today. Georgia State ranks 27th nationally in possessions per game. South Alabama is about middle of the pack, but they tend to play at the speed of their superior opponents when they take a step-up. The teams average 83.1 and 76.4 ppg respectively. I expect threes, fouls, fast breaks, and a close game coming down to the wire. We may even get some OT action, but we are going over the total regardless.

Score Prediction: Georgia State 77 – South Alabama 74

Texas tto 72.5 / -13.5 : Shaka Smart’s team has had to listen all weekend long about how they are frauds. About how they have lost 4 out of 5. About how this is the same old Texas. That is baaaaaad bad news for Kansas State. You never want to be in a match-up with a team that is significantly better than you, and pissed off. The three headed monster of Ramey, Coleman and Jones shot a combined 10-49 from the field in Stillwater. Look for that to be around 25-49 today. This will be an absolute assault. Get Right Game at it’s core.

Score Prediction: Texas 82 – Kansas State 61

West Virginia +6 : I am taking with the points with the Mountaineers in what should be another instant classic tonight in Lubbock. The first time these two met up this season was one of the best games of the year. It came down to a last second shot from Mac McClung to win the game that rolled off of the rim. Tonight, McClung makes that shot. However, it will be a one possession game again. I will take two possessions in points to my favor.

Score Prediction: Texas Tech 73 – WVU 70

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

2/8 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Babcock Hoops)

Season Record: 124-97-5

2/8 Four Point Play:

Lafayette -1.5

Ohio State -3

Gonzaga 1H -5.5 / -10

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Lafayette -1.5 : B2B system play here. Loyola MD got their first win of the season over Lafayette yesterday, so the Leopards will get their revenge today. Just how it has worked in the B2B series this season. I love Justin Jaworski and E.J. Stephens as scorers in this league, and they get back on the right track today.

Score Prediction: Lafayette 74 – Loyola MD 67

Ohio State -3 : The Buckeyes are one of the hottest teams in the country, and we will try to hop on to this heater with them tonight. E.J. Liddell is the real deal, and he is also getting huge scoring help from Washington Jr. and Suening. Chris Holtmann has really impressed me this season, and I trust him to get a road win over a Mark Turgeon. There is advantage in talent and coaching on Ohio State’s side, and I can’t see any reason why they will drop this one on the road tonight.

Score Prediction: Ohio State 72 – Maryland 66

Gonzaga 1H -5.5 / -10 : There is no indication of why this will not be a repeat of the earlier match-up in the season. Especially, after the scare that the Zags received the other night against Pacific. Jalen Suggs really got the team fired up, and inspired the run to eventually take control and win that game handedly. That scare should have the Zags very locked in for this road trip to Provo. BYU’s strengths are not a fit to take down Gonzaga. Zags win big again.

Score Prediction: Gonzaga 89 – BYU 70

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

2/5 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Tulsa World)

Season Record: 114-87-5

2/5 Three Ball:

Oakland ML -120

Oral Roberts +4

Seattle -2

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Oakland ML : The line points the Golden Grizzlies to get the win tonight. I completely agree. I was hoping to get points, but I will take the ML with some extra juice. Jalen Moore is one of the most productive point guards in the country with 19 ppg and 8 apg. I expect a big night from the electric guard. I also love what Trey Townsend is doing lately. The freshman is really coming into his own. Cleveland State cannot make free throws, and I trust this battle tested Oakland team in a close one tonight.

Score Prediction: Oakland 71 – Cleveland State 67

Oral Roberts +4 : I absolutely love getting points with the Eagles tonight. Max Abmas and Kevin Obanor are LEGIT. They could get minutes at any program in the country this year (outside of Baylor & Gonzaga). I expect both of them to be fired up for a big performance tonight. Abmas led the conference in points in January, and Obonar was just named to the Lou Henson Award finalist list. Oral Roberts wins this game.

Score Prediction: Oral Roberts 69 – North Dakota State 67

Seattle -2: Tonight I am picking on a Dixie State team that is poor in the three categories that I pay attention to the most. They shoot it 30% from 3, 64% from the line, and turn the ball over 15 times a game. Seattle also has a pair of guards in Darrion Trammell & Riley Grigsby that can really get it going. Both are pushing 20ppg seasons. I trust in them to get it done.

Score Prediction: Seattle 75 – Dixie State 67

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

2/4 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Montana Grizzlies Athletics)

Season Record: 112-86-5

2/4 Three Ball:

Murray State / Morehead State o128.5

Rutgers / Minnesota o140

Montana ML -115

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Murray St / Morehead St over 128.5 : This number has risen a tad since we locked it in last night, so the CLV should be in our favor. When these two teams met earlier in the season, the total landed on 117. However, there are a lot of underlying factors that lead me to believe we will easily hit the number tonight. There were 43 fouls in the first match-up. That resulted in a whopping 51 free throw attempts between the teams, but only 30 of these attempts were cashed in. 21 points left at the line. Also, the teams were a combined 7 for 34 from distance. Murray State shot 35% from the field, and Morehead shot 40% from the field. I believe we easily go over the total here. Two unit play for me.

Score Prediction: Murray State 73 – Morehead State 69

Rutgers / Minnesota over 140 : I really like this play tonight. Minnesota is coming into the RAC with a fringe top 50 pace in the country. Rutgers plays with high energy at home, and I believe they will get out and run with an inferior Minnesota team. Also, neither team rank in the top 100 in the country in defensive efficiency. There should be plenty of fast breaks, fouls, open threes, etc. that will get us across the 140 total. I was tempted to take Rutgers here, but I will go with the over instead.

Score Prediction: Rutgers 78 – Minnesota 70

Montana ML -115: A little late night Grizz action! I’m not sure if you can find this one on a stream anywhere, but make sure to add it to your bet slip. This is one of my favorite mid-major programs to follow. This year especially with the addition on Brandon Whitney. This is a big time freshman. Whitney is averaging 21.3 ppg in his last three, and is shooting it 54% from the field on the season as a guard. He will be a name in the Big Sky for years to come. Also, Portland State is just not very good. 38.5% from the field, 27.5 % from distance, and turn the ball over 15 times a game. Yuck. Give me the Griz! This may be a multi-unit play as well.

Score Prediction: Montana 69 – Portland State 60

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

2/3 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: South Carolina Gamecocks Athletics)

Season Record: 110-85-5

2/3 Three Ball:

South Carolina +9

Seton Hall ML -115

SFA -12.5

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South Carolina +9 : I know that I am biased with the Gamecocks. I have admitted this. However, after watching Frank Martin teams since my freshman year in college .. this is a game that South Carolina either wins – or competes in. There are a lot of things to like about the Gamecocks on the offensive end, which you can normally cannot say. A.J. Lawson has taken a big step as a top-option scorer this season, and Keyshawn Bryant is challenging Greg Brown for the best athlete in the country. Frank usually has a stalwart defense, and that has been missing this season. I believe you will see a more inspired effort on that end tonight after the embarrassment in Nashville.

Score Prediction: Florida 72 – South Carolina 70

Seton Hall ML : This is a must win for the Pirates, and I think they get it done. Yes, they have lost 4 of 5.. but, they lost a pair to Creighton and Villanova. Most teams in the country would suffer the same fate. Providence can occasionally get into a lackadaisical flow on offense when David Duke’s head is not in the game, and I believe the energy from Seton Hall will help them squeak out a close victory. Bryce Aiken is the X-Factor. A double digit night almost guarantees a Hall victory

Score Prediction: Seton Hall 73 – Providence 70

SFA -12.5 : The Lumberjacks have done an exceptional job of blowing out inferior opponents this season. That will not stop tonight. Texas A&M CC is one of the worst teams in America. They are still winless against Division 1 opponents, and commit SEVENTEEN!!! turnovers a game. SFA has a high pressure defense that will surely get that number over 20 tonight. This will be a cruise from start to finish. Hammer this one.

Score Prediction: SFA 84– Texas A&M CC 63

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

2/2 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: The Daily Tar Heel)

Season Record: 108-83-5

2/2 Four Point Play:

Buffalo -3

SIU Edwardsville -2.5

UNC -2

Illinois -1.5

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Buffalo -3 : Listen, I have taken Buffalo many times this year and I think they are a very competitive group.. but this play is just as much about Ball State as it is about Buffalo. Ball State is coming off of straight up beat down handed to them by Akron. K.J. Walton and several other starters missed the game due to Covid-19 protocols. There is no word if they will be back for tonight’s game in a quick turnaround, so I jumped on Buffalo at the open. This line has risen to -4.5 as of this blog, and it will reach 7 or higher if K.J. and others are out again. If you haven’t acted yet, act now..

Score Prediction: Buffalo 81 – Ball State 70

SIU Edwardsville -2.5 : We picked against the Cougars last night with our play on Austin Peay, but I expect them to come back tonight and get a home win over a struggling EIU squad. The Cougars were 18-24 from the line last night, and outrebounded Austin Peay. The also recorded more blocks and steals. I believe that these metrics will carry them to victory tonight over the Panthers.

Score Prediction: SIU Edwardsville 70 – Eastern Illinois 64

UNC -2 : These are two teams going in different directions. Yes, this is normally a spot where you take Clemson from an experienced gambling standpoint … but, no tonight. The Tar Heels are the most dominant post team in America – yes, you cannot argue me on this. Armando Bacot is leading the charge with a very impressive last three games. Now, they are also getting serviceable guard play to supplement the boys down low. Caleb Love is really finding his form, and Davis, Walton and Harris are picking up the slack as well. This team is capable of winning the ACC in it’s current form.

Score Prediction: UNC 72 – Clemson 67

Illinois -1.5 : There will be no let down tonight. The Illini have a new purpose, and it was on full display on Friday night against Iowa. This team is balanced, and can compete with anyone in the country with this mentality. The Hoosiers will be no match tonight.

Score Prediction: Illinois 77 – Indiana 65

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

2/1 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Georgia Tech Athletics)

Season Record: 106-82-5

2/1 Three Ball:

Georgia Tech +5

UMBC -2.5

Austin Peay 1H -3.5

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Georgia Tech +5 : I really love the make-up of Josh Pastner’s Yellow Jacket team this season. They have exceptional guard play, and Moses Wright can play with the best of them down low. The Jackets are getting Bubba Parham back today, and that will be a big help in an afternoon road game at Louisville. GT is coming off of a huge win over FSU, and I expect them to keep things rolling. This will be a nail biter.

Score Prediction: Louisville 69 – Georgia Tech 67

UMBC -2.5 : This is a B2B System play here. I do not believe NJIT has the ability to beat the conference leading Retrievers in back-to-back days. The Highlanders are shooting an abysmal 40% from the field this season, and they should regress back to somewhere near that number today. Brandon Horvath will have a big day for UMBC, and they will win by double digits. This feels … too… easy?

Score Prediction: UMBC 71 – NJIT 61

Austin Peay -3.5 1H : As I spoke about the other day, the Governors are just a completely different team with Jordyn Adams back in the lineup. Him and Terry Taylor could make their way into any rotation in the country. They will jump out to a quick lead this afternoon, and I would just rather get out of it early and avoid a 2nd half comeback that could challenge the spread

Score Prediction: Austin Peay 37 – SIU Edwardsville 31

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

1/28 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: The Only Colors)

Season Record: 100-77-5

1/28 Three Ball:

Rutgers -2.5

SMU -4

Austin Peay +5.5

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Rutgers -2.5 : Getting in on some RAC action tonight. The Scarlett Knights are pretty unimpressive on the road, but they are a Top 15 team when they play home games at the RAC. I will take them in this spot here against a Sparty team that has lost 3 of 5. Ron Harper Jr’s skill level travels, but the rest of the team plays much better at home. I will take them as a one possession favorite. Also, Sparty is 1-3 ATS the spread on the road (Duke stinks), and 3-9 ATS overall.

Score Prediction: Rutgers 78 – Sparty 70

SMU -4 : We should have won this match-up the other night, so we are going back to the well with the Mustangs at home. Memphis shot way above their ability in the first game, and Kendric Davis clearly got that three ball out of his hands. A lot of things went against SMU. They will let out some aggression tonight in Dallas. SMU by 10.

Score Prediction: SMU 77 – Memphis 67

Austin Peay +5.5 : This is a spot where the Governors get right. They finally have Jordyn Adams back in the lineup to pair with Terry Taylor. They had a slip-up in their last outing, but I believe this duo will fire up their team for a big time home victory over a scorching hot Belmont team. This line just screams Austin Peay to me. Not sure if they will win, but it will be a one possession ball game.

Score Prediction: Belmont 76 – Austin Peay 73

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

1/27 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Stephen F Austin University Athletics)

Season Record: 99-75-5

1/27 Three Ball:

SFA +2.5

Wisconsin -2.5

Boise State PK

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Stephen F. Austin +2.5 : I absolutely love the Lumberjacks in this spot. This is a senior laden team led by combo guard, Cameron Jackson (yes, the Duke game hero). The experience in this massive Southland match-up will be a major factor I believe. The Lumberjacks love to press, and Abilene does not have excellent guard play. Their strengths are down low. I look for the Lumberjacks to win this one on the road. I will have a money line play as well, but will take the points for picks purposes.

Score Prediction: SFA 76 – Abilene Christian 70

Wisconsin -2.5 : This play is as simple as – I do not believe Mark Turgeon can beat Greg Gard twice in one season. Maryland is scrappy, and those teams hurt the Badgers.. but, there is just no way. I’ll take the rat line bait.

Score Prediction: Wisconsin 69 – Maryland 64

Boise State PK : Boise State simply has too many ways to hurt you. They were already loaded and rolling through the season, and then they added a double digit scorer, Devonaire Doutrive, to their rotation 5 games ago. Colorado State has exceptional guard play to hang in this game. Shout out Stevens and Roddy. However, the Broncos get the W.

Score Prediction: Boise State 78 – Colorado State 73

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

1/26 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Ozarks Independent)

Season Record: 98-73-5

1/26 Three Ball:

UNC -2.5

SMU +2

Missouri State +4.5

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UNC -2.5 : I think the Tar Heels might just be ready to breakthrough. This will probably not be a 2nd weekend team no matter what, but I think they will solidify their tourney bid in the next couple of weeks. The reason? Guard play is starting to at least be existent. Caleb Love is coming off of his most impressive week as a Tar Heel – earning ACC Freshman of the Week honors. Carolina desperately needs him to score the ball, and not be a walking turnover. He just may have his swagger back. Kerwin Walton has also emerged as a knockdown three point sniper. The Heels should get it done against a thin Pitt lineup.

Score Prediction: UNC 76 – Pitt 70

SMU +2 : I really love the Mustangs. Especially, in this match-up. Memphis is very sloppy with the basketball, and the Mustangs defense will take advantage tonight. SMU has exceptional guard play that focuses on taking care of the ball. They should win the turnover battle by a decent margin. Davis, Bandoumel & McNeil have a combined 10.5/4.4 assist to turnover ratio. SMU will be without Tim Jankovich tonight, but the SMU staff can definitely coach with Penny Hardaway.

Score Prediction: SMU 74 – Memphis 70

Missouri State +4.5 : This will be Drake’s toughest test of the season, and their undefeated ATS streak will come to an end tonight. Isiaih Mosley is genuinely one of the best players in the country. He is averaging 23.5 ppg, while shooting 59% from the field, 44% from distance, and 90% from the line. His partner in crime, Gage Prim, can also score and rebound with the best of them. This will be a tight one, but the Bears will pull the upset!

Score Prediction: Missouri State 74 – Drake 72

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!