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11/28 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Pitt Athletics)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 38-24

Season Best Bet Record: 13-6

11/28 Card:

Arkansas/Troy o140

Pittsburgh +10

Sam Houston +4

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Arkansas/Troy o140 : Bud Walton Arena will be fired up for this one tonight. The Hogs are returning home after a very successful trip to Maui, and it is coming off of the heels of a bad end to the season for the football program. This fan base is now all-in on this electric basketball team. That should really fuel the pace in this game. Arkansas is already 18th in the country in possessions per game, so the added momentum from the crowd should keep the pace moving. Also, Troy has nobody that can guard Anthony Black. I really love this kid. He should be a Top 5 pick in the upcoming draft per my eyes. The 6’7 point guard can do it all on the court. The reason why I like the over instead of Arkansas here is I feel like the defensive efficiency could be a little sloppy after returning home from such a big Feast Week tournament. I see this game in the 13-15 point win range for Arkansas. -17 is too rich for my liking.

Score Prediction: Arkansas 81 – Troy 67

Pittsburgh +10: My oh my are we going to receive some nice CLV in this one. The line is already down to +7 across the majority of the books. This is my Best Bet of the night. I feel like the oddsmakers were not accounting for the return of John Hugley in this opening line. He is an absolute game changer for this team, and Northwestern really has nobody to deal with prominent post players following the exits of Pete Nance and Ryan Young. Hugley has quickly made an impact in limited minutes to start the year. 13ppg in 21 minutes per game. Also, Blake Hinson is really flourishing after transferring from Ole Miss. These two will cause a lot of issues for the Wildcats. Also, I just really love the backcourt that Capel brought in from the portal. Nelly Cummings and Greg Elliot are really good players. This line was way too high. It should be a 5 point affair either way. Pitt may even win.

Score Prediction: Northwestern 68 – Pitt 65

Sam Houston +4 : Defense travels. We will be rocking with one of the better defensive units in the country tonight. The Bearkats are 6th in the country in defensive efficiency, and 4th in points allowed at 48.3. You may be wondering about the competition that they have played, but it has actually been decently tough. They have already knocked off Oklahoma and Utah. The Bearkats are also scoring to go along with this defense. They are averaging 81.5ppg on 17 assists. I really, really like this team. They could add another upset under their belt tonight. Nevada’s lack of a true point guard will really hurt them against a potent defense.

Score Prediction: Sam Houston 64 – Nevada 63

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

11/23 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: The San Diego Union-Tribune)

Season Record: 32-16-0

Season Best Bet Record: 10-4

11/23 Card:

Wisconsin +2

San Diego State PK

Vanderbilt +8.5

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Wisconsin +2 : I like this veteran Badger team in a low scoring affair. There are a few key metrics that I am looking at here. What are two major factors when deciding a winner in a low possession game? Second chance points and hitting big threes. Wisconsin is currently 6th in the country in not allowing their opponents to gain offensive rebounds. An edge on the glass will be crucial tonight. Also, Wisconsin has a major edge in three point percentage over Dayton – 38.5% to 29.5%. Tyler Wahl is a gamer, and don’t forget this team won the Maui Invitational last year. They don’t treat these Feast Week tournaments as a vacation. Badgers win in a close one.

Score Prediction: Wisconsin 65 – Dayton 61

San Diego State PK: The Arkansas rotation has to be gassed rolling into this one. The Mitchell brothers have played sparingly, and it has been their main five playing all of the minutes the last two days. Playing a third day in a row without a bench is no bueno. Especially, against a team that gets up in your ass with defensive pressure. The Aztecs have had heavy rotation and I imagine that they will be the livelier of the two sides tonight. Also, Arkansas appeared to treat the Creighton game as a championship. A lot of energy and emotion was used up. Can they get back up and defeat a fantastic Aztecs team with a short rotation? I don’t think so. This is my Best Bet. Aztecs by double digits.

Score Prediction: San Diego State 76 – Arkansas 64

Vanderbilt +8.5 : I like getting this many points in a game with lower possessions. There are a few factors that I believe are in the Commodores favor to keep this one close tonight. This is Saint Mary’s first road game. They have blasted their opponents on their home court, but will that travel? Vanderbilt has already traveled and had a huge win at Temple on their home court. Secondly, I like Vanderbilt’s size in this game. I think that Myles Stute and Liam Robbins could cause the Gaels a lot of trouble on the glass. Jerry Stackhouse is a fantastic coach, and that will come out in a slower paced game. Vandy keeps this one close throughout.

Score Prediction: Saint Marys 66 – Vanderbilt 61

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

11/22 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Pac-12)

Season Record: 30-15-0

Season Best Bet Record: 9-4

11/22 Card:

Creighton/Arkansas o141.5

Oral Roberts +9

Arizona -1

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Creighton/Arkansas o141.5 : I think we have the perfect mixture of scheme to put up points in this one. Creighton is normally a team that let’s their opponent dictate the pace, so Arkansas should bait them into a high possession game here. That won’t be such a bad thing for Creighton anyways. The Jays are currently 4th in offensive efficiency in the country. They were impressive yesterday in putting up 76 points against a tough Texas Tech defense. Creighton is shooting 51% as a team on the year, and Arkansas is not far behind at 49%. Both defensive metrics for these teams are skewed due to competition in the early going. With the help of the soft Maui rims, we will sail over the total in this one. Should be a very fun game to watch.

Score Prediction: Creighton 78 – Arkansas 73

Oral Roberts +9 : Similar to opening night vs Saint Mary’s, the market is not showing enough respect to Max Abmas and the Golden Eagles. Oral Roberts is the perfect underdog to back. They are exceptional at scoring the basketball, and they don’t turn it over. 56 threes thru 5 games, and only 10.4 turonvers/game. Utah State is rated at 100th in defensive efficiency, and that is coming off of a year where they finished rated 95th. I do not foresee a defensive performance from the Aggies that will keep Oral Roberts from having a competitive game. The over might be a solid look as well, but I will gladly take the points with the talented Golden Eagles.

Score Prediction: Utah State 84 – Oral Roberts 78

Arizona -1 : Best Bet of the night. This team is a wagon. The Wildcats are currently leading the country in points per game, pace, and offensive efficiency. Firing on all cylinders with a deep bench. It will be hard for a San Diego State defense, who is underperforming for their standards, to prepare for this in a tournament setting. People had questions about Arizona’s schedule, but they silenced the haters with a trouncing of Cincinnati last night in their Maui opener. San Diego State is a great team and will keep this close, but my data suggests this as closer to Arizona -5.5 on a neutral. Too much value to pass up. I would not be shocked to see this get steamed up closer -2.5 to -3 before close, but I would still take it there.

Score Prediction: Arizona 82 – San Diego State 75

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

11/18 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: ESPN)

Season Record: 20-13-0

Season Best Bet Record: 6-4

11/18 Card:

Virginia Tech -1

CofC +1

Baylor -4.5

Davidson -1

Villanova +6

UCLA -3

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Virginia Tech -1 : A clash of similar styles in this one. However, VT just does these things a little bit better. Penn State has fallen in love with the three ball under Micah Shrewsberry. This new style of play is playing dividends early in this season, but now they are playing Mike Young coached team. The Hokies are shooting 45% from three as a team on 45 makes in 4 games. Penn State won’t be able to pull away from VT via the three ball. When Penn State is not popping a quick three, they like to post Pickett in the paint and let him distribute to cutters. Furman had no answer for this, but the Hokies certainly do in Justyn Mutts. Look for this elite defender to take on that challenge and excel. This is my Best Bet.

Score Prediction: Virginia Tech 72 – Penn State 65

CofC +1 : This team is unbelievable. I currently live in Charleston, and the Cougars are the talk of a tourist town. TD Arena was packed for their blowout win over Davidson last night in the Shriners Children’s Charleston Classic. The crowd played a big advantage when the Cougars would go on a run. That is something they will have in their pocket again against the Rams. Colorado State back-cut and off-ball screened South Carolina to death, but the Cougars held up against Davidson’s similar offensive attack last night just fine. CofC is deep and can find points throughout their entire rotation. They will keep the foot on the gas and outscore Colorado State. We will keep riding this heater. Go Cougs.

Score Prediction: CofC 81 – Colorado State 77

Baylor -4.5 : The offensive attack will be too much for UVA in this one. Flager is one of the better guards in the country, and he has an 8 man rotation behind him that can fill it up as well. I also love the defensive prowess that they can bring to stop UVA’s offensive threat. Jalen Bridges and Caleb Lohner are fantastic options to throw at Jayden Gardner. The Cavs will slow this game down and drag it out. That is why I do not have this as my Best Bet. It was close, but I like VT a little more due to the pace of play. However, I do feel that we see a wire-to-wire 5-10 point lead from the Bears in this game.

Score Prediction: Baylor 71– UVA 63

Davidson -1 : As a South Carolina alum, I was downright ashamed of the defensive performance they showed against Colorado State yesterday. As I mentioned in the earlier excerpt, the Rams embarrassed the Gamecocks with fundamental Princeton style offense. With no practice time, the Gamecocks surely won’t be ready for the similar offensive style of Davidson. Davidson will be eager to right their wrongs from last night against CofC, and Colorado State gave them the perfect plan to do so. Also, look for Foster Loyer to go crazy tonight. Only four points in the loss last night.

Score Prediction: Davidson 75 – South Carolina 70

Villanova +6 : I think this game could get downright ugly. I almost played under 130, but I like the points with the Wildcats instead. I still have some concerns of what Michigan State’s offense will look like in the halfcourt, and Nova will certainly slow this game to a walking pace. Also, huge letdown spot for the Spartans after their big Double OT win over Kentucky. They may not have a proven coach, but take the points in a low scoring affair with a proven program. Even lay the ML if you feel frisky. I think they could win this game.

Score Prediction: Michigan State 61 – Villanova 60

UCLA -3:

I worry about Illinois ability to not turn the ball over, as well as their free throw shooting in this one. They are turning the ball over 15 times per game, and only shooting 64% from the line. These are not great metrics to take on a veteran Bruins bunch. Look for Jaime Jaquez to really excel in the half-court in this game. I don’t see a true natural defender for him on the Illini. Also, UCLA is very experienced as a group in a tournament setting. Illinois is trying to piece a lot of newcomers together still. I like the Bruins tonight.

Score Prediction: UCLA 74 – Illinois 69

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

11/17 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Oregon Live)

Season Record: 14-13-0

Season Best Bet Record: 5-4

11/17 Card:

Penn State -2

Towson +1

CofC/Davidson u163

Portland -4

San Diego +7.5

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Penn State -2 : The guard play from the Nittany Lions this year is incredible. FIVE guards are averaging double figures so far, and I predict we will see that through the end of the season. That is key when facing a Furman team who can fill it up. This will be a close affair throughout, but I think Penn State’s size in the post will help them pull away. The Nittany Lion guards will kill you with second chances. One of the best rebounding assets Penn State has is freshman center, Kebba Njie. He is averaging 5rpg while only playing 12.7 minutes. That is crazy efficiency on the glass. Let’s get our morning started with a W!

Score Prediction: Penn State 76 – Furman 71

Towson +1 : I may be walking into a trap here, but these teams could not be further apart in my personal power ratings. I had this game as Towson -5. Towson can flat out score the basketball, and UNCG has really struggled on that side of the court since Wes Miller departed for Cincinnati. The Spartans are shooting 42.8% from the field, 67.6% from the line and 30.9% from distance. Their defense may keep them in this one, but Timberlake and Holden will carry Towson to another road win.

Score Prediction: Towson 67 – UNCG 62

CofC/Davidson u163 : This number has ballooned too far. These are two exceptional offenses and I am thrilled to be attending in person tonight, but hitting over this total would be a “best case” scenario in regards to offense. Both teams have shown signs of straying from being efficient on that side of the floor anyways. Ex: Davidson’s 1H vs Wright State & CofC’s 2H vs Richmond. Davidson is kind of outmatched athletically here, so I would not be surprised if Foster Loyer tries to slow the tempo down at times. Also, there is a tournament aspect to this game. Those situations always tend to play to an under. Especially, a 2nd game in a session. These teams will have to wait for South Carolina and Colorado State to conclude before getting their 20-25 minute warm-up. Early in the season, not having their typical warm-up could affect the shooting early on. I see this game in the 70s.

Score Prediction: CofC 78 – Davidson 76

Portland -4 : This is my Best Bet. The offensive mismatch in this game is very vast. Air Force is coming off of a performance in which they only scored 61 points in regulation and lost to Texas A&M Commerce in OT. On the other end, Portland continued their hot shooting at Kent State in going 10-24 from three. They are shooting 40% from distance as a team on the season. Turnovers were the problem for the Pilots in their loss to Kent, but Air Force has not shown the ability to turn their opponents over. If Portland can keep the turnover number to 15 or less, they will win this game by double digits. Tyler Robertson will also reach the 20 point plateau if you have a book that offers player props in this kind of matchup.

Score Prediction: Portland 75 – Air Force 65

San Diego +7.5 : Good news. Our secret isn’t out yet. The Toreros are still getting disrespected in the market. This team has a fantastic Pac12 transfer frontcourt, and exceptional guard play. The only thing will be to watch the availability of Sisoho Jawara. He missed San Diego’s win over NJIT. No information was given publicly for his absence. I have a feeling he is playing today from some things that I have seen out there, so I was confident in locking in +7.5. If he is deemed officially active well before tip, you could see some massive line movement down to around +5.5 to +5. Go ahead and lock this one in.

Score Prediction: Utah State 75 – San Diego 72

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

11/16 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: AP)

Season Record: 13-11-0

Season Best Bet Record: 5-3

11/16 Card:

Oakland +16

Florida Gulf Coast +21

Texas PK

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Oakland +16 : Beat the market yet again. We locked this in last night, and now the Golden Grizzlies are +13.5. You may be scared to play them again after they burned us against Oklahoma State, but don’t write this team off just yet. I truly believe that is an aberration for what their season will look like. This is a massive letdown spot for Toledo. They are coming off of a big win against UAB in the Barstool Invitational. Barstool put a lot of time and resources into their inaugural tournament, and Toledo has had a lot of exposure over the last few days due to it. They were even at the Barstool College Football Show last night celebrating with their trophy before the Rockets home game against Bowling Green. I feel like this could be an edge for Oakland. They are pissed off and ready to write their wrongs from the last game, and Toledo could be lost in the hype from this weekend’s action. I still love the balanced attack from Oakland, and Toledo’s defense is not impressing me. I think the lid comes off of the rim from distance, and the Golden Grizzlies are in this one until the end. This is my Best Bet.

Score Prediction: Toledo 81 – Oakland 73

Florida Gulf Coast +21 : Too many points here. We know Florida Gulf Coast likes to “big game hunt” (ask USC), and Tennessee’s defense looked very shaky in their loss to Colorado. They allowed the Buffs to score 78 points in route to their victory. After taking a deep dive, I saw that Tennessee allowed 8 threes. Colorado does not rely on the three point line, so that is a decent amount of makes. That is not a good sign with a FGCU team coming in who bombs it from three. The Eagles have shot 99 threes in 3 games, and have made 38 of them. Their path to covering this big number will be through the three point line. Keep an eye out for Stetson transfer, Chase Johnston. In their two games vs D1 opponents (USC & San Diego) he shot 9/20 from three. He is an absolute bucket and can get his shot off no matter who is defending him. If we keep him out of foul trouble, the Eagles can score enough in Knoxville to cover.

Score Prediction: Tennessee 79 – Florida Gulf Coast 63

Texas PK : Longhorn Nation! This is the game I have had circled since the offseason. As you may know, I have a preseason title ticket on Texas. I think this could be their year. There is nothing like testing yourself early on against Mark Few and the Zags. This Texas team is complete now that they have a true point guard running the show. Tyrese Hunter is the real deal folks. Also, the defense is clicking in Year 2 of the Chris Beard system. You know from his Texas Tech teams that this is the backbone of his programs, and the Longhorns look to be exceling in that area this year. They only allowed 31 points last time out to Houston Christian. Yeah, I get it. Houston Christian. .. but 31 points is 31 points. Gonzaga has been very sloppy with the ball this season. 16 turnovers per game. The newly opened Moody Center will be absolutely rocking tonight, and could lead to even more mental errors from Gonzaga. Defense is the path to victory for Texas. They get it done tonight and cement themselves as title contenders.

Score Prediction: Texas 71 – Gonzaga 68

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

11/15 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Hunter Martin Photography)

Season Record: 10-10-0

Season Best Bet Record: 4-3

11/15 Card:

Penn +1

Duke +2

San Diego State -4.5 & Under 140

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Penn +1 : We got this line early yesterday, and the market has caught fire on Penn since. This line is up to Penn -2.5 in most places. It really exemplifies the importance of locking bets at the open. The Quakers will get their first win tonight. Penn stands at 0-3 to start the 22/23 season, but they very well may have played three tournament teams. I am really high on Mizzou, and Towson and Iona are the odds on favorites to win their conferences. The Quakers matchup with Drexel is simple. The guard play ability is not in the same stratosphere. Jordan Dingle is one of the best guards in the country, and Clark Slajchert is following up an impressive freshman season with 14.7 ppg so far this year. On the other side of the court, Drexel will struggle to cope with the losses of Cam Wynter, Xavier Bell and Melik Martin. The talent is just not there. Penn will easily cruise in this inner city matchup. It is my Best Bet.

Score Prediction: Penn 74 – Drexel 66

Duke +2 : As with Penn, we caught the line at the open in a beautiful spot. The Blue Devils are now the favorites at -1.5 at most books. Loving the CLV. There are a lot of factors in Duke’s favor tonight. First and foremost, Bill Self will not be on the bench for Kansas. He is one of the better in-game adjusters in the country. Do not let other handicappers tell you that it doesn’t matter. It does in a matchup of this magnitude. I also feel like Duke will have a massive edge on the glass tonight. KJ Adams and Jalen Wilson are very bouncy, but they stand at 6’7 and 6’8. The likes of Filipowski, Lively, Young and Mitchell could give them fits on the offensive glass. I also have questions on the scoring prowess of the Jayhawk backcourt early in this season. Can Harris and McCullar develop into impactful point producers? I am not so sure. Relying on Grady Dick this early into his freshman season is likely not to be favorable scenario against Top 10 opponents. This was close to a Best Bet, but liked Penn just a little more.

Score Prediction: Duke 75 – Kansas 70

San Diego State -4.5 & Under 140 : I am not sure how Stanford scores on the Aztecs tonight. This offense is putrid right now outside of Michael Jones. 23.7% from distance, 64.9% from the stripe, and a negative assist/turnover ratio of 12/16. As you already know, the Aztecs are a defensive stalwart on a yearly basis. They have also paired some scoring with the defense this season. It is not just the Matt Bradley show. Darrion Trammell (Seattle transfer) and Jaedon Ledee have looked phenomenal early on. I do not rate Stanford, and I think San Diego State is poised for a fantastic season. Even though it is not a great habit to get into, I will easily lay these points on the road. Also, I will be making the under an official play. As I stated earlier, I think the Cardinal will have to do everything in their power to break 60 tonight. They like to play slow (175th in pace this year), and San Diego State will happily welcome a half court game. Those reading this article will receive this pick. I won’t post it on a normal tweet. Bonus for the real ones!

Score Prediction: San Diego State 69 – Stanford 62

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

11/14 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: The Post and Courier)

Season Record: 9-8-0

Season Best Bet Record: 3-3

11/14 Card:

CofC ML

Portland +6

Hawaii -4

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CofC ML : Pat Kelsey’s Cougars are flying early this season. A great win over UTC, and a hard fought game in Chapel Hill where they lead the #1 team in the country at the half. This team is the perfect mixture of veterans and newcomers. It is hard for a team that plays at this fast of a pace to excel in an offensive efficiency rating, but the Cougars are 61st in the country in this metric so far. A solid number through 2 games with stiff competition. Not only is team scoring in an efficient manner, but they are also rebounding the hell out of the ball. They won the offensive glass in both games, including a 15-8 advantage over the Tar Heels. We know that is UNC’s strength, so that is super impressive. Also, when we took Charleston in the opener I highlighted Brzovic. He was pretty quiet in that game, but scored 15 off of the bench at the Smith Center. A sign of great things to come! If the fouls rack up or we see a close game, look for Charleston to also have the edge over Richmond. The Spiders are shooting only 63% at the stripe this season. I do not trust a Spiders team, lead by a true freshman PG, to come into Charleston and pull out a win with the pace of play that we will see from CofC. Best Bet of the night.

Score Prediction: CofC 82 – Richmond 75

Portland +6 : I had my sights set on a line of +6 in this game, and finally got it. The Pilots may win this game. I will happily take a two possession underdog spread. This is one of the best offenses in the country at the mid-major level. Hell, maybe in all of college basketball. The Pilots are averaging 92.7 points through three games. This is led by junior guard, Tyler Robertson. Robertson is averaging 19ppg / 5.7 apg / 4.7 rpg. He had a 32 point outing last time out against Portland State. He is the catalyst for this team, and the ball will be in his hands for the majority of this one. The Pilots early success comes as no surprise to me. This team really started to figure things out under Shantay Legans in February last season. This included a win over NCAA Tournament team, San Francisco. Legans has brought back a heavy dose of veterans, and they will be ready for the challenge tonight. I like Kent State. This is not a knock on them. Just a numbers play.

Score Prediction: Kent State 78 – Portland 76

Hawaii -4 : I worry about Yale’s ability to hang with a hot Hawaii team out in Honolulu. The Rainbow Warriors are clicking on all cylinders right now. They have a fantastic backcourt in Coleman and Avea. Both are scoring 15+ppg and have exceptional shooting percentages from all spots on the floor. They are paired with a phenomenal frontcourt duo as well. Da Silva and Hepa are a load to deal with on the glass, and can also create havoc around the rim for opposing offenses. I really like the make-up of this team. They can hurt you from many angles. On the other bench, I don’t really see that. Yale will share the ball nicely and get the ball to Matt Knowling, but where will the guard scoring come from if they fall behind in this game? I just don’t see the offensive firepower needed to fly into Hawaii and walk out with a win.

Score Prediction: Hawaii 70 – Yale 63

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

11/9 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Twitter – @YSUCoachCalhoun)

Season Record: 2-2-0

Season Best Bet Record: 1-0

11/9 Card:

Davidson -4

UT Martin/Youngstown State u155.5

San Diego -4

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Davidson -4 : I fully expect Wright State to feel the hurt of losing Tanner Holden and Grant Basile to the portal early in this season. A season opener is a tough time for the Raiders to be taking on a Davidson team. Especially, since Davidson has already had a regular season tune-up this week. I worry about Wright State’s ability to handle Sam Mennenga on the offensive glass without Basile. Mennenga averaged 1.6 offensive rebounds per game a year ago. Also, you want to catch Davidson when they are in a shooting slump, right? That is when the Wildcats are vulnerable. However, that does not look to be the case early in this season. Davidson shot 15-34 from three in their season opener. Give me Davidson and the McKillop system. Matt will fill in right where his father left off.

Score Prediction: Davidson 79 – Wright State 71

UT Martin/Youngstown State u155.5 : Best Bet alert. My favorite play of the season so far. Let’s get into the numbers. Both of these teams ranked in the Top 40 for possessions per game in their opener. Youngstown State scored 92 points. This matchup screams over right? Well, this may be a chance for oddsmakers to pounce on simple minded gamblers. We will start with Youngstown State. This team played a pace extremely out of character against Canisius because the Golden Griffiths wanted to run, and shots were falling for the Penguins. It is easy to get sucked into that game flow in an opener. However, this is the furthest thing from what Jerrod Calhoun wants to run. Here is where the Penguins have ranked in possessions per game under Calhoun in the last three seasons: 19/20 – 204th ; 20/21 – 189th ; 21/22 – 265th (!!!). Calhoun will be sure to have his team control the tempo in their home opener. UT Martin also looked putrid on offense in their opener. The shot 32.3% from the field, 15.8% from distance, 62.5% from the stripe + 17 turnovers. I have this game in the 140-143 area. Major, major value. Let’s get to 2-0 on Best Bets!

Score Prediction: Youngstown State 74 – UT Martin 66

San Diego -4 : We will zig, while everyone else zags. Dunk City is the talk of the college basketball world after their upset of the Trojans in LA this week. Defeating their former coach on his homecourt in the process. That will get the general public lining up to back this team as an underdog. Not so fast my friend. San Diego has secretly pieced together one of the best mid-major frontcourts in the country through the transfer portal. The Toreros added a pair of Pac 12 transfers in Jaiden Delaire (Stanford) and Eric Williams Jr. (Oregon). Both of these guys played major minutes in the Pac 12 and are seasoned veterans. Williams started playing college ball in 2017, and Delaire in 2018. This frontcourt is also paired with a sensational backcourt in Townsend & Sisoho Jawara. Both are double digit scorers that can shoot the lights out. Also, they have a fabulous sixth man coming off of the bench in Marcellus Earlington. The former St. John’s guard has really flourished in his role in San Diego. I really like the makings of this team, and that is combined with what we are seeing in Vegas. Early money is showing 54% of the tickets on Florida Gulf Coast, but 55% of the money on San Diego. Let’s ride with the Toreros.

Score Prediction: San Diego 75 – Florida Gulf Coast 65

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

11/8 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: On3 Sports)

Season Record: 2-1-0

Season Best Bet Record: 1-0

11/8 Card:

Georgetown -17

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Georgetown -17 : Laying 17 with a team on a 21 game losing streak. Whew. Buckle up. However, I feel strangely confident in my handicapping on this one. Let’s start with Coppin State. The Eagles have again deployed the bold strategy of playing back-t0-backs early in their season. I am not sure where they see they value in this, but do you boo boo. Unsurprisingly, they do not handle these b2b’s very well. Last season they had them on two occasions. They lost all four games by a combined 140 points. Yes, a 35 point loss on average in those. The Eagles played Charlotte last night and kicked off this trend in flying fashion, losing by 23 points to the 49ers. They shot 3-22 from the three point line, and got outrebounded 38-28. Georgetown has tremendous length and rebounding prowess this season with transfers Akok Akok (UConn) and Qudus Wahab (Maryland & former Hoya). It should be an assault on the glass in DC tonight. I also do not see the shots starting to drop for the Eagles on a b2b with no practice time. Now, let’s discuss Georgetown. I really fancy the backcourt that Patrick Ewing pulled together through the transfer portal. Brandon Murray (LSU) and Jay Heath (Arizona State) are big time players. I am especially excited for Brandon Murray. The former top 100 recruit really excelled in his freshman season in the SEC. He will bring a combo guard approach to the Hoyas to fill the minutes of Aminu Mohammed who went pro. Georgetown will be without starting point guard Dante Harris tonight, but I am confident that Primo Spears (Duquesne) and Denver Anglin (#88 recruit via 247 Sports) can pitch in and provide great minutes at the point guard position. Let’s trust the Coppin State back-to-back analytics, and also trust that Ewing has put together a competitive squad through the portal. Georgetown big.

Score Prediction: Georgetown 86 – Coppin State 65

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!