12/22 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Southeastern Conference)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 72-52

Season Best Bet Record: 31-11

12/22 Card:

San Diego -4

Vandy/Alabama A&M o137

Creighton 1H -4

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San Diego -4 : Northridge does not have a win over a D1 opponent this season, and they certainly aren’t getting their first vs our Toreros. They could play this game on Mars. Isn’t happening. Go ahead and lock this in now. I like San Diego today even without Townsend and Delaire, but if one (or both) are activated the line will sky rocket. There isn’t much news out there in regards to their injuries and they are labeled as undisclosed. So, there is a chance we may get a gift of an activation tonight. Regardless, Northridge has absolutely no way to stop Eric Williams Jr. or Seikou Sisoho Jawara. The Matadors are 246th in the country in defensive efficiency, and simply cannot handle the caliber of those two players. They don’t have a good offense to compliment the bad defense, so there is no way that they keep up in this one. They shoot 42.3% from the field and 31.6% from three. Somehow, the offensive efficiency (299th) is rated even worse than their defensive metric. Don’t be scared of the injuries. San Diego can survive without them tonight.

Score Prediction: San Diego 72 – CSUN 65

Vandy/Alabama A&M o137 :  Best Bet of the night. It looks like we will receive some great CLV here. The number is already up to 138.5. I would still play this to 139.5 as I said in a tweet. 140 and higher you start to lose value. I have this game at 144 points. I think Vanderbilt will be able to score at will. Alabama A&M is rated 262nd in defensive efficiency. Also, I think there are metrics that point to the Bulldogs being able to score enough to carry us over. Alabama A&M is ranked 22nd in pace in the country. Vanderbilt will happily run with an inferior team. The higher caliber team almost always has the advantage when there are extra possessions. So, I really believe that pace will be our friend tonight. Also, I like what I am seeing on three point metrics in this matchup. Alabama A&M is low key one of the best three point shooting teams in the country. They are shooting 41.3% from distance. That is on 92 makes in 11 games. Vanderbilt is also not great at guarding the three point line. They are 92nd in the country in opponent three point percentage, and 122nd in percentage of opponent points from the three point line. Last game before Christmas.. is Vandy really going to be locked in defensively? I love the over here.

Score Prediction: Vanderbilt 81 – Alabama A&M 63

Creighton 1H -4 : This was dangerously close to a Best Bet, but I liked the over in Vandy just a bit more. The Jays will get an inspired home crowd in Omaha tonight. The fans are really rallying together online to create a great atmosphere tonight to get Creighton back on track. Also, the return of Ryan Kalkbrenner cannot be understated. He is the absolute difference maker on this team. On both sides of the court. They also now have developed Fred King a bit, so he should be able to provide more valuable bench minutes comparative to when Kalkbrenner was healthy before. No real metrics to point to tonight, just a hunch that this crowd propels this Jays team to a nice halftime lead tonight. I am not confident in playing the full game. 8 is just too much in this matchup. Butler could definitely fight back in the 2H and backdoor this number.

Score Prediction: Creighton 38 – Butler 30

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

12/21 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Frogs Today)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 71-50

Season Best Bet Record: 30-11

12/21 Card:

VA Tech/BC u134

UNC/Michigan u155

TCU +1.5

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Va Tech/BC u134 : I am scared of a VT assault that could carry us over this total, but I have to trust the data. Let’s start with pace. Virginia Tech comes into the game ranking 290th in pace, and BC isn’t too far ahead of them at 261. These teams like to walk the ball up the court and get into half-court sets, and really make an emphasis on stopping opponent fast breaks. The Virginia Tech defense has a MAJOR edge tonight. They come into this as a Top 50 defense in the country, and Boston College sits at 296th in offensive efficiency. If this game was in Blacksburg, I would just lay the points as well. VT is a strong lean for me, but just playing the under here. I could see a late BC flurry backdooring VT backers.

Score Prediction: Virginia Tech 70 – Boston College 59

UNC/Michigan u155 :  I love the under in this matchup. We saw 124 points last year in this matchup. A lot of the same players will feature tonight. The number won’t be even close to that low, but I see a range of 146-150. Dickinson and Bacot have been going back and forth on podcasts this offseason/season, and it seems like they have had this one circled for a while. They want to go mano a mano in the post to help solidify who should be the All-American between the two. These two can command the ball in the post whenever they want from their teammates, and it should happen quite often tonight. Post work is lovely for an under. Especially, with two quality defenders engaged in stopping the other. I really worry about Michigan’s guard play. They will continue to struggle to score with high level opponents. On the other end, I can see UNC doing what they have done all year long and play to the quality of their opponent. Michigan has some length to bother Carolina defensively. As long as the Wolverines get back in transition, there is a chance they make life really tough on Carolina in the half court. We are playing on a neutral here, and neither team is comfortable with the rims at the Spectrum Center. That is a plus. A big plus after the clanking we saw from UF and Oklahoma last night. Hopefully, that continues.

Score Prediction: UNC 76 – Michigan 72

TCU +1.5 : Best Bet of the night. The Horn Frogs won’t be undervalued in the market for long, so take advantage of this while you can. TCU caught a lot of heat for beating Arkansas Pine Bluff by 1 in their opener, and then losing to Northwestern State a week later. Many have written them off. Not so fast my friend. All this has shown is just how crucial Damian Bough is to the success of the Horn Frogs. Bough did not feature in those games due to injury, and TCU is 4-0 in his return. Including, an impressive 13 point victory over Providence. Baugh is doing everything on the court for Jamie Dixon. Here is a snapshot of what he has done in those 4 games: 11.5 ppg / 50% 3pt / 5.3 rpg / 4.8 apg / 1.8 spg. This production is also freeing up Mike Miles Jr. He is finally starting to cook like we saw in the NCAA Tournament. Emmanuel Miller is also healthy and productive now. Everything is rounding into form for the Horn Frogs, and I will take advantage of the market before it catches up. Also, note that this game is not being played in Utah’s home arena. It is being played at Vivint Arena – home of the Jazz. It will still be a pro-Utes crowd, but hard to replicate a hostile atmosphere in an NBA gym. I am not giving Utah full homecourt in my handicapping tonight. Horn Frogs by 5.

Score Prediction: TCU 73 – Utah 68

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

12/20 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Maddie Washburn)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 69-49

Season Best Bet Record: 30-10

12/20 Card:

Providence ML

Miami +3.5

Florida -2.5

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Providence ML : Trusting Big East home court here. This stat could be trivial, but Marquette is 0-3 in games decided in 5 points or less. The Golden Eagles have had a phenomenal season and have blown out some incredible opponents, but I feel like this metric could rear its ugly head tonight. The free throw line has caused a lot of these problems. They just are not getting to the free throw line. Marquette is 293rd in the country in points from the stripe. They are not getting to the line effectively enough, and are only shooting 69.1% as a team when they get there. They are 62.8% in their last three, so that metric is even trending downward coming into this one. Providence is 55th in the country in points from free throws, and are shooting at a 73.3% clip as a team. Free throws matter in close games, and I think the Friars edge Marquette in a close one due to the stripe. I had this game at -3, so will take the ML value.

Score Prediction: Providence 75 – Marquette 72

Miami +3.5 :  Can UVA’s defense travel? I’m not so sure. They have only had one road test this season, and allowed Michigan to shoot 53.1% from the field. Including that outing, Michigan is only shooting 46% as a team this season. I think Ormier can find similar success to Dickinson and Howard tonight. Also, this is not a great matchup athletically at the guard position for UVA. Isaiah Wong will have his way with Clark. Look for him to drive Clark often. The Hurricanes also get a huge uptick in production from the three point line at home. They shoot it at 36.2% at home, comparatively to 28.2% on the road. UVA should not be laying 3.5 points in this matchup. I think the Canes win a close one, so I will gladly take the points. Let’s not forget. Miami led UVA at the half by 8 in Coral Gables last season and ended up letting it slip away for a 2 point Cavs victory. Revenge will be on their mind as well.

Score Prediction: Miami 70 – UVA 68

Florida -2.5 : Best Bet of the night. I smell a double digit victory for Florida here. A healthy Kyle Lofton is a biiiig problem for Gator opponents. Ohio felt that pain to the tune of a 34 point win for the Gators last time out. Lofton had 15 points & 7 assists in 25 minutes of work. He looked a lot closer to the Lofton that we have seen at Bonaventure over the years. With another 6 days off, he should be primed to carry Florida to a statement win in the Jumpman Invitational. Also, this is a juicy juicy juicy matchup for Colin Castleton. The Sooners rank 219th in the country in opponent percentage of points from 2. He is going to maul them in the post. This should be an easy wire-to-wire cover. Love the play.

Score Prediction: Florida 74 – Oklahoma 64

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

12/18 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Isaiah J. Downing)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 66-47

Season Best Bet Record: 28-10

12/18 Card:

Norfolk State -5

Colorado State +11.5

Baylor -9.5

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Norfolk State -5 : The Spartans take Chris Paul’s HBCU’s Challenge very seriously. Robert Jones stated that this mini tournament is listed as a top priority to win in their goals for the season. Just as it was a year ago when they went 2-0. Norfolk has the two best players on the court in this one. Joe Bryant Jr. is a savvy veteran guard, and Kris Bankston is as springy as it gets in the country. The Spartans are going to win this game in transition. NC A&T is 309th in the country in turning over the basketball. They give the ball over on 21.2% of their possessions. Norfolk has four losses on the season, but three of them were to Top 10 opponents. The Spartans are better than their record, and take care of an inferior opponent on a neutral court.

Score Prediction: Norfolk State 76 – NC A&T 68

Colorado State +11.5 :  Best Bet of the night. The Rams have had a couple of head scratching losses recently, but I feel that the week off has probably done them a big favor. They needed the added practice time with Isaiah Stevens back in the fold. Now, I feel like the offense will flow fluidly through him. We are getting a huge discount from the recent losses in this betting market. This line should be nowhere near 11.5. I had this as Saint Mary’s -6.5. Let’s not forget…The Rams eviscerated the Gaels in Fort Collins last season. A 74-58 point victory, in which Stevens scored 14 points. Nico Medved had a fantastic plan to combat the Gaels’ off-ball movement, and the closeouts from three were aggressive and effective. Saint Mary’s were only able to shoot 4/21 from distance. I think Medved can dial up another game plan to keep this one close after a week to prepare. I am very comfortable with this spread.

Score Prediction: Saint Mary’s 69 – Colorado State 63

Baylor -9.5 : The Baylor defense wasn’t up to Scott Drew’s standards in the early parts of this season, but that finally started to turn around after holding Gonzaga to only 63 points in one of their last two games before finals break. Baylor has had 12 days off, and I would imagine the Bears got a heavy dose of defensive practice sessions to continue to build off of the Gonzaga performance. This time off also gave Cryer and Flagler a chance to rest up. Baylor should be fully healthy for this game, and that will be a scary sight for Wazzou. The Bears will roll easily behind a pro-Baylor crowd in Dallas.

Score Prediction: Baylor 78 – Wazzou 64

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

12/16 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: University of Delaware Athletics)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 63-44

Season Best Bet Record: 26-10

12/16 Card:

Delaware +8

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Delaware +8 : Best Bet and only play of the night. 3.5 points of value in regards to the number that I had for this game. I have this as Princeton -4.5. I firmly believe that the Blue Hens will be competitive in this game throughout. Jameer Nelson Jr. is playing at an elite level. The best basketball of his career. He has TWO 30 point outings in his last 5 games. He is also bringing it on the defensive end as well. 7 steals combined in his last two games. He is fully engaged in being a star for this team, which gives the Blue Hens a 1-2 punch with Jyare Davis. I think Davis’ biggest impact tonight will be on the defensive end in a matchup guarding Toson Evboumwan. He is the perfect defender to combat Tosun’s strengths. I also think this could be a tiny let down spot for Princeton. Iona was the biggest game on their non-con schedule. They led Rick Pitino and the Gaels by 10 points in the 2H, but suffered a late game collapse and walked away with a loss. Now, they have to try to get back up for a game against a team that is rolling into this matchup on a heater on the offensive side of the court. Don’t forget, many of these Blue Hens made it all of the way to the NCAA Tournament last season. They could be finally rounding into form before they hit their CAA schedule later this month. This should be an exciting game. Be confident getting the 8.

Score Prediction: Princeton 74 – Delaware 70

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

12/15 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Ray Soldano)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 61-43

Season Best Bet Record: 25-10

12/15 Card:

PC -4.5

Chattanooga +6

Seattle -1

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PC -4.5 : I had this number at -7, so I will happily take the value in this early afternoon home spot. The Blue Hose’s 2-9 record is a bit misleading. They have played a pretty tough schedule thus far, and have competed as of late. In their last three games vs Wofford, CofC and South Carolina, PC was in a dog fight in all three of those games at some point in the 2H. They even held a lead over GG Jackson and South Carolina in the 2H. Elon has not had very many competitive basketball games this season. They are 0-3 on the road and lost those affairs by a combined 50 points. The Phoenix are rated out as 302nd in offensive efficiency, and 326th in defensive efficiency. I would lay points with pretty much any team in the country at home vs this squad. Trust the data.

Score Prediction: Presbyterian 70 – Elon 62

Chattanooga +6 :  Best Bet of the night. Jake Stephens is the best player in the country that you have not heard about. He followed his coach from VMI over to Chattanooga, and he has not missed a beat. The 7′ Center is averaging 21.4 ppg to go along with 9.5 rpgs, 3apg, 2.1 bpg. He can quite literally do it all. The most intriguing attribute that Stephens has is his range. He is 7′ 275lbs and shoots 44.7% from three on 21 makes. This is coming off of a junior year where he hit at a 49% clip. This guy is a unicorn. MTSU could have a lot of trouble with Stephens tonight. They are a scrappy bunch on the defensive end, but they are a 6’7 army. Not much size and weight to throw at him. I think the 3 point line will be a major factor in the Mocs keeping this one close. Middle Tennessee State is 221st in the country in opponent points from the three point line. Chattanooga is 4th in the country in points from three pointers at 45.4%. The Mocs shoot 39% from distance, and have 120 makes in 10 games. The three ball will be our friend tonight. The Mocs could pull off an upset here.

Score Prediction: Middle Tennessee State 70 – Chattanooga 69

Seattle U -1 : The Redhawks will have too much offense for Oregon State tonight. Seattle currently ranks 70th in the nation in offensive efficiency, and Oregon State comes in at 256th. If the jerseys were swapped, the Seattle players would be laying more points in this matchup. I have Seattle winning this game by 5 points on a neutral. I am not giving Oregon State anything at all for a home court advantage. The Beaver fans have checked out on Wayne Tinkle. It is amazing how far they have fallen since their Cinderella Elite Eight run. 3-28 last year, and are staring down the path of another very disappointing season. The spread is telling you everything you need to know. Just play it.

Score Prediction: Seattle U 70 – Oregon State 65

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

12/13 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: USA Today Sports)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 60-41

Season Best Bet Record: 24-10

12/13 Card:

Citadel/UNC o144

Texas Tech -17

Memphis/Alabama u152

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Citadel/UNC o144 : Best Bet of the night. Wow, we are certainly going to see some CLV here. Up to 147 at most places. The Citadel are one of the smaller teams in the nation. They allow their opponents to gain an offensive rebound on 32% of their possessions. That ranks 318th in the country. Hitting the offensive glass is the pillar of the Tar Heel attack. While they have not succeeded as much as normal in that area so far this season (mostly due to competition faced), I think they will boost those numbers considerably tonight behind strong nights from Bacot and Nance. Also, the Citadel rank 232nd in defensive efficiency. We could be pushing for free Bojangles biscuits at the Smith Center tonight. 100 piece is certainly in the range of possibility. I also believe there is a path for the Citadel to score tonight as well. The Heels rank 168th in defensive efficiency, and just not have shown a lot of effort there thus far. This has led to their opponents scoring 33.2% of their points from the 3 point line. The Citadel have a few shooters that can take advantage of open looks. Austin Ash (Iowa transfer) has 29 made threes this season, and Elijah Morgan is shooting 43.8% from distance. Pace will also be in our favor tonight. Citadel ran with the high octane offense of CofC last time out, and they will run again with UNC tonight. I like the Heels to cover the spread as well. However, I feel more confident in trusting the over.

Score Prediction: UNC 92 – Citadel 61

Texas Tech -17 : I really worry about Eastern Washington’s ability to score tonight in Lubbock. The Red Raiders are once again dominant on the defensive side of the court. They currently rank 23rd in defensive efficiency, and that number will only continue to rise. They are turning their opponents over on 21.5% of possessions, and that is bad news for an Eagles team that ranks 241st in turnovers per possession. The points off of turnovers metric will definitely be in favor of the Red Raiders tonight, and I also believe that they will feast at the line. Tech ranks 44th in the nation in points from free throws. Eastern Washington is 144th in the country in allowing opponent free throws, and their schedule has not seen anyone close to as physical as Texas Tech. I love the Red Raiders in this spot.

Score Prediction: Texas Tech 73 – Eastern Washington 51

Memphis/Alabama u152 : I love the defenses in tonight’s matchup. I think we will see a lot of dead ball turnovers which will be key for our under. The Tide come in ranked 24th in defensive efficiency. That is super impressive considering their gauntlet of an early season schedule. The number is also skewed due to allowing 101 to UNC in quadruple OT. In reality, their defense was pretty solid in that game. Memphis is no slouch either. The come in at 46th in defensive efficiency. Both teams also have a Top 25 metric in their cap on that side of the ball. Alabama is in the Top 25 for block percentage, and Memphis for steals per possession. This game should be physical, and we will see some free throws. Alabama is sub 70% from the line, and Memphis is riding just above it. Hopefully, we see a poor performance from the stripe in our favor. Lastly, I think Memphis will take an approach similarly to the one that I discussed with San Francisco last night. Their path to staying competitive in this game will be to play at their pace. They rank 117th in pace, and we will see them playing potentially slower tonight to combat Nate Oats’ wishes for the Tide to run and gun. I think we see a game in the low 70s, with one of the teams potentially finishing in the 60s. Would lean Memphis on the spread, but not playing it due to my respect for Bama’s home court at Coleman.

Score Prediction: Alabama 75 – Memphis 70

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

12/12 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: Albuquerque Journal)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 58-40

Season Best Bet Record: 23-10

12/12 Card:

Oral Roberts -2

Creighton -3

New Mexico/San Francisco u157

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Oral Roberts -2 : Give me Max Abmas over Darius McGhee in this big time mid-major showdown in the Mabee Center. The Golden Eagles are undefeated at home this year, and should have a big time home court advantage. I think Liberty could be in trouble on the glass tonight. They currently rank 130th in the country in allowing offensive rebounds to their opponents. They allow them on 25.2% of possessions. 7’5 Arkansas transfer, Connor Vanover, has rejuvenated his career with ORU. He is averaging 7.2 rpg this season, and I think he could be in line for some easy put-backs due to Liberty’s inability to hit the defensive glass. The Golden Eagles are also one of the more prolific three point shooting teams in the country. 116 makes in 10 games. Liberty plays a pack-line defense, so these threes will need to drop for us tonight. I trust Abmas to will us to a win.

Score Prediction: Oral Roberts 76 – Liberty 71

Creighton -3 : Creighton is being unfairly dragged online. That has caused the spread that we see tonight in the betting market. Yes, they looked poor defensively the other night against BYU. However, that was the first game without Kalkbrenner (assuming he is out again tonight – no word yet). Nothing can replicate game action attacking you without your defensive pillar. Suggesting that they will be horrific on that end of the floor again tonight is just a lazy take. Arthur Kaluma is a fantastic defender, and should be motivated to stay away from cheap fouls after fouling out the other night. Kaluma and the other Jays can utilize their new found pressure defense from the end of the BYU game to their advantage against a turnover prone Sun Devil team. ASU averages a turnover on 18.3% of their possessions. That ranks 158th in the country. Creighton seemingly had 1 million forced turnovers on BYU when they had to turn up the heat to get back into the game. I think they will use it at times today to account for the absence of Kalkbrenner if he is unable to go or not at 100%. The Jays have also finally started to find their three point stroke. They made 10 threes the other night. If they get hot, the Sun Devils can’t keep up. ASU have only 68 makes in 10 games from deep. McDermott can coach circles around Hurley. Give me Creighton.

Score Prediction: Creighton 77 – Arizona State 70

New Mexico/San Francisco u157 : Best Bet of the night. I have this total at 148. These teams can score at a high rate. They have shown that this season. New Mexico is averaging 85 ppg, and the Dons are averaging 75.8. However, I think that defense and pace are going to be major factors in bringing these two clubs below their season averages. The Lobos rank 58th in defensive efficiency, and San Fancisco ranks 69th. That is not necessarily “lock down”, but they also aren’t leaving wide open lanes to the rim like Louisville. Sorry for the ricochet, Cards. The point is that these teams compete on that end of the floor. That is what we need in a neutral site game where both teams will be working to find comfortability with the rims. Also, I think pace will play to our favor here. The Dons know that they are outmatched athletically. Also, they are aware that their sets and motion will be key to getting quality looks against a lengthy New Mexico defense. Their pace of play will be crucial to their success. They rank 96th in the country in pace, and I could see them trying to slow it down even more tonight. Lobos in a close one, and we slide under the total.

Score Prediction: New Mexico 76 – San Francisco 72

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

12/10 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: KSHB)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 53-35

Season Best Bet Record: 21-8

12/10 Card:

Wofford -5

UNC -7 1H

Mizzou +3

North Texas -3

UAB +6

Arizona -1.5

UTRGV -3

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Wofford -5 : Wofford finally got rid of the toxicity holding the program back over this past week. Coach Jay McAuley was forced into stepping away from the program after many of the players went to the AD with displeasure over how he was running the show. They followed up this news with an impressive 10 point win over Coastal. Wofford is an efficient offense and should simply outscore Georgia Southern here. The Eagles are only shooting 60% from the FT line, and 29% from distance. They have a 5-4 record, but three of those wins have come outside of D1 basketball and the other two are against two of the worst in D1, Houston Christian and Western Michigan (we will revisit these bozos later). Wofford has also battled on the road recently. Their last two road games were losses by 3 points each to Vandy and LSU. They will get their much needed first road win this afternoon.

Score Prediction: Wofford 72 – Georgia Southern 64

UNC -7 1H : The Tar Heels are finally returning home to the Dean Dome. The Heels have not seen the lights of the Smith Center since November 20th, and are coming off of four straight losses on the road/neutral sites. Georgia Tech is the perfect opponent to let out frustration with in a first half. The Jackets have played three tournament level teams so far in Iowa, Utah and Marquette. The Jackets were down 11, 13 and 8 in those contests at the break. It should be open sesame through the post for Bacot and Nance, and RJ Davis and Caleb Love are significantly better shooters in home games. The Heels will bust this one wide open early.

Score Prediction: 1H UNC 40 – Georgia Tech 29

Mizzou +3 : The first Best Bet of the day. Mizzou Arena is going to be an absolute mad house this afternoon. The Tigers are on an L7 to KU in this series, and got absolutely boat raced 102-65 last season. However, things are veryyyyyyyyy different this time around. Dennis Gates has already completely transformed the Missouri Basketball program with the transfer portal. The Tigers currently lead the nation with 93 points per game, and rank first in offensive efficiency. Efficient scoring paired with a hostile home crowd could be a special mixture for an upset today. Kansas ranks 52nd in offensive efficiency, and I worry that they could be up against several 8-0, 9-0, 10-0 runs today. This is a gut feel more than anything, but Vegas is also pointing to a Tigers victory. Dumb public money will be on KU -3 against a team that they always punish. Mizzou wins a close one.

Score Prediction: Mizzou 78 – Kansas 75

North Texas -3 : Jovan Blacksher is a game-time decision. If he happens to be out, getting the Mean Green at -3 is a steal. Even if he goes, I really like North Texas in this matchup. The total in this game is 112 (lol), but that is exactly what North Texas likes. They want to be physical and run your shot clock all of the way to zero. Also, Tylor Perry is finally feeling healthy and scored 22 points last time out against UT Arlington. He will be the difference maker in a close one.

Score Prediction: North Texas 59 – Grand Canyon 54

UAB +6 : What an opportunity for Andy Kennedy and the Blazers. With South Carolina having a horrific season, this is UAB’s last chance to get a quality non-conference win added to their resume. There is also an added revenge factor here. The Blazers were leading WVU throughout the entire game last year, before a late collapse in the final three minutes. I had this game at WVU -2.5, so I love the number where it is at. Jelly Walker is the best player on the court, and Jemison had a field day in the post last season against the Mountaineers. 8 offensive rebounds! Do not be shocked if UAB wins this one.

Score Prediction: West Virginia 76 – UAB 74

Arizona -1.5 : The second Best Bet of the day! The Wildcats are going to win this game by double digits. According to a tweet from Jordan Majewski, it is looking likely that Jalen Hood-Schifino will not be able to go today. Jordan is as plugged as it gets in the mystery world of CBB injuries. That is terrible news for the Hoosiers. His presence completely transformed the offense this season, and made Xavier Johnson a better player. However, Johnson has 13 turnovers and only 12 points in the last two games without JHS. He is completely reverting back to his old ways. He desperately needs another ball handler in the lineup with him. The tempo should be up in this one, and I can see Kriisa and Ramey just constantly picking the pocket and getting in the passing lanes from Xavier Johnson. Also, I think Indiana could really struggle with Oumar Ballo in the post. Indiana has springy defenders, but nobody to physically stop Ballo from getting where he wants. I don’t see a path to victory for Indiana today. Cats, big.

Score Prediction: Arizona 82 – Indiana 72

UTRGV -3 : THIRD BEST BET ALERT. As you guys know, I have only had one Best Bet per day this season. Sometimes none. However, I absolutely love these three today. I have to let you guys know when I am loving a play. Can we get to 2-0 ATS with the Vaqueros this season?! You’re damn right. Houston Christian is one of the worst teams in the country in my eyes. Their defense is absolutely horrific. They rank DEAD LAST in the country in defensive efficiency. Matt Figger (Frank Martin tree) will coach circles around Ron Cottrell in this one. Don’t let the Huskies’ offensive figures fool you. They are 0-7 in Division 1 games, and have not been competitive in a single one other than Western Michigan. We know my thoughts about them as well. Justin Johnson will be able to drive and get anywhere he wants tonight. He will push a 30 piece. Easy win for the Vaqueros.

Score Prediction: UTRGV 84 – Houston Christian 74

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!

12/8 Three Ball Write-Up

(photo: InForum)

I will do my best to provide college basketball winners for you on a nightly basis. The majority of the nights we will try to keep it to three plays, but some days may ask for more. I recommend you play them individually .. however, never be scared of a little sniper parlay!

Season Record: 52-34

Season Best Bet Record: 20-8

12/8 Card:

Rutgers/Ohio State u137.5

Minnesota +5

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Rutgers/Ohio State u137.5 : Best Bet of the night. Finally back to our CLV ways. This is now sitting at 136.5 at most books. I have this game finishing at 130. Oddly enough, this game also ended on 130 last year. The only reason that the total even touched 130 in that affair was due to hot shooting by both teams. Ohio State shot 10/18 from the three point line, and Rutgers shot 53.2% from the field. Both were astronomically over their season averages. Pace of play will be our friend again tonight. Ohio State ranks 266nd in pace, and Rutgers ranks 125th. Rutgers’ number is skewed by non-con. They ranked 286th last year which is normal for a Pikiell coached team. I would imagine their pace will continue to drop in conference play just as it did in their win over Indiana. Both defenses are excelling this season. Rutgers ranks 4th in defensive efficiency, and Ohio State ranks 67th. Ohio State’s number will continue to climb after their brutal schedule to start the year. Lastly, it would be out of the norm for these teams to get hot from behind the arc to drive the total up. Ohio State ranks 262nd in the percentage of their points from three, and Rutgers comes in at 334th. Twos are our friend. Unders are always scary, but have to trust the data.

Score Prediction: Ohio State 68 – Rutgers 62

Minnesota +5 : It hit my number, so I had to jump on. I had this as Michigan -3 but did not want to get involved unless I had two points in value. We finally got that with the line movement this afternoon. However, it is now back down to 4.5. I would really try to target that 5 number if you are getting involved here. Having two free throws in your back pocket when down 3 late in a game is always useful. I would have Michigan as -6.5 on a neutral, but I am giving 3.5 points of value to The Barn. Comparatively, I find it very similar to Hilton Magic in Ames. Having a great homecourt on our side will be a huge factor in what will be a Big 10 opener for Michigan. We saw that as Rutgers completely wiped the floor with Indiana at The Rac. Michigan played 12/4 in London in a monster CBB showcase against UK. Not the quickest of turnarounds, but I definitely think this could be a let down spot. The trip also did not go as planned for the Wolverines. They lost their starting point guard for the season during the loss to Big Blue. That was already a position of concern for Michigan, so they will have to go with freshman Dug McDaniel to start. After McDaniel, it will probably be Buffkin and others playing out of position. That is great news for a Gophers team who will press ball handlers behind a hostile crowd. Pharrel Payne will be key in defending Hunter Dickinson tonight. He is a freshman that is coming off of two games against Purdue and Virginia Tech where he accumulated 7 blocks. They will need him and Dawson Garcia to at least put up a fight against Dickinson. The best news of all is that Minnesota now has Jamison Battle going. He started the season injured, but is now starting to find his form after scoring 21 against Purdue. Michigan had no clue how to stop him last season and he scored 27 points in route to a 10 point victory over the Wolverines in Ann Arbor. I like Minnesota to lose a close one here, and could potentially squeak out a win behind a big night from Battle.

Score Prediction: Michigan 70 – Minnesota 68

Best of luck! Let’s snipe this one y’all!!